Comments on: Nats Off-season News Items Wrap-up 11/18/11 edition http://www.nationalsarmrace.com/?p=2983 "... the reason you win or lose is darn near always the same - pitching.” -- Earl Weaver Wed, 22 May 2013 02:01:34 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: Todd Boss http://www.nationalsarmrace.com/?p=2983&cpage=1#comment-3443 Todd Boss Fri, 18 Nov 2011 16:00:49 +0000 http://www.nationalsarmrace.com/?p=2983#comment-3443 My thinking is kind of cascading. IF we get a veteran FA like Oswalt/Buehrle then the following happens: 1. we trade either Detwiler or Gorzelanny. Both are out of options but are valuable starter-capable lefties. I'm guessing we could trade either one to a starting-pitching poor team in exchange for perhaps a 4th outfielder or a back up middle infielder, of which we need both. I don't think either will fetch by themselves a starting positional player. Maybe a reliever to replace/augment Kimball's loss. 2. The remaining of these two becomes long-man/spot starter. Johnson likes having more than one guy in the pen who can throw long innings, and being lefty only helps. 3. Peacock and Milone are both bound for AAA for another year. I could see Peacock in the bullpen though as a 7th inning guy, but he clearly has more value as a starter so hopefully they send him to AAA to learn a new pitch. Lannan to me is safe for now. Still arb-eligible but he'll be cost controlled for another year. I'm estimating he'll get a raise from this year's $2.75M to $4.5M ... working on the theory that he's at 60% of his FA number of probably $7.5M/year on the open market. I think he's underrated as a starter, giving you innings and sneakily putting in good numbers. If he had a better offense, he'd be considered the next coming of Andy Pettitte. However, at some point the team probably moves him to replace him with a livelier arm coming up the ranks, someone like Solis or Purke, and i'm not sure if that happens in trade or non-tender or just letting him go to FA. My thinking is kind of cascading. IF we get a veteran FA like Oswalt/Buehrle then the following happens:
1. we trade either Detwiler or Gorzelanny. Both are out of options but are valuable starter-capable lefties. I’m guessing we could trade either one to a starting-pitching poor team in exchange for perhaps a 4th outfielder or a back up middle infielder, of which we need both. I don’t think either will fetch by themselves a starting positional player. Maybe a reliever to replace/augment Kimball’s loss.
2. The remaining of these two becomes long-man/spot starter. Johnson likes having more than one guy in the pen who can throw long innings, and being lefty only helps.
3. Peacock and Milone are both bound for AAA for another year. I could see Peacock in the bullpen though as a 7th inning guy, but he clearly has more value as a starter so hopefully they send him to AAA to learn a new pitch.

Lannan to me is safe for now. Still arb-eligible but he’ll be cost controlled for another year. I’m estimating he’ll get a raise from this year’s $2.75M to $4.5M … working on the theory that he’s at 60% of his FA number of probably $7.5M/year on the open market. I think he’s underrated as a starter, giving you innings and sneakily putting in good numbers. If he had a better offense, he’d be considered the next coming of Andy Pettitte. However, at some point the team probably moves him to replace him with a livelier arm coming up the ranks, someone like Solis or Purke, and i’m not sure if that happens in trade or non-tender or just letting him go to FA.

]]> By: ckstevenson http://www.nationalsarmrace.com/?p=2983&cpage=1#comment-3442 ckstevenson Fri, 18 Nov 2011 15:05:14 +0000 http://www.nationalsarmrace.com/?p=2983#comment-3442 RE: Bringing in another starter, perhaps Rizzo is saying that Lannan is competing against Milone/Peacock/Detwiler for the 5th spot? And if he loses he's competing against Gorzellany as the longman in the bullpen? Or to be the LOOGY? RE: Bringing in another starter, perhaps Rizzo is saying that Lannan is competing against Milone/Peacock/Detwiler for the 5th spot? And if he loses he’s competing against Gorzellany as the longman in the bullpen? Or to be the LOOGY?

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