{"id":10071,"date":"2014-12-03T10:14:57","date_gmt":"2014-12-03T15:14:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=10071"},"modified":"2022-11-17T09:59:13","modified_gmt":"2022-11-17T14:59:13","slug":"such-surprise-non-tenders","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=10071","title":{"rendered":"Such surprise non-tenders (Non-Tender deadline 2014)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_4943\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/detwilerRoss_HarazGhanbari_AP_viafederalbaseball.com_.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4943\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4943\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/detwilerRoss_HarazGhanbari_AP_viafederalbaseball.com_.jpg\" alt=\"Detwiler gets another frustrating year with the Nats save a trade. Photo Haraz Ghanbari\/AP via federalbaseball.com\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\"><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-4943\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Detwiler gets another frustrating year with the Nats save a trade. Photo Haraz Ghanbari\/AP via federalbaseball.com<\/p><\/div>\n<p>So, the tender deadline came and went.&nbsp; I didn&#8217;t post any pre-tender deadline analysis because I didn&#8217;t think there was any analysis to do.&nbsp; In November I thought *maybe* the team would think about parting ways with <strong>Kevin Frandsen<\/strong> or maybe <strong>Ross Detwiler<\/strong> &#8230; but then went and re-signed Frandsen.&nbsp; I left Detwiler out of my initial salary analysis but &#8230;. thinking about it, if you&#8217;re nearing $150M of total payroll, why do you want to cut loose one of your bullpen guys over a measly $3-$4M?<\/p>\n<p>So I assumed we wouldn&#8217;t non-tender anyone.&nbsp; <a href=\"http:\/\/natsinsider.com\/2014\/12\/02\/nats-tender-contracts-to-all-10-arbitration-eligible-players\/\">And we didn&#8217;t<\/a>.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; I say &#8220;we&#8221; like i&#8217;m part of the team or something.<\/p>\n<p>Anyway.&nbsp; MLBtraderumors <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2014\/12\/list-of-non-tendered-players-2014-15.html\">summarized the list of non-tenders<\/a> yesterday and the list really surprises me.<\/p>\n<p>First; why would a team *trade for* a guy and then non-tender him??&nbsp;&nbsp; Toronto did this with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2014\/12\/blue-jays-non-tender-mayberry-smoak-dirks.html\">no less than three<\/a> recently acquired players, headlined by former uber-prospect <strong>Justin Smoak<\/strong>.&nbsp; Per <strong>Dave Cameron<\/strong>&#8216;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/blogs\/dave-cameron-fangraphs-chat-12314\/\">chat&nbsp; yesterday<\/a>, Toronto not only acquired Smoak recently but then had to pay a $200k buyout to non-tender him.&nbsp; Just kind of an inexplicable set of transactions; they basically just lit $200k on fire for the privilege of having Smoak on their active roster for 5 weeks.&nbsp; Did Smoak arrive in Toronto and immediately insult the GM&#8217;s mother or something?<\/p>\n<p>Boston acquired <strong>Juan Francisco<\/strong> off waivers last month and non-tendered him this month; weird.&nbsp; Some other interesting positional players are <strong>Gordon Beckham<\/strong> and <strong>Everth<\/strong> <strong>Cabrera<\/strong>; maybe the Nats have some more 2B options on the market now.<\/p>\n<p>But some of the newly-minted FA arms are very intriguing to me:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Kris Medlen<\/strong>; all I can say here is, wow.&nbsp; We&#8217;re talking about a guy who had a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/m\/medlekr01.shtml\">256 ERA+ in 2012<\/a>.&nbsp; Yes I know he&#8217;s just had his 2nd TJ surgery, and yes I know he came back down to earth in 2013.&nbsp; But man, he&#8217;s only 29, and he&#8217;s shown he can be a <strong>Greg Maddox<\/strong>-esque hurler in this league.&nbsp; He made $5.8M last year so his guaranteed compensation would still be roughly $5M (you can&#8217;t cut a guy&#8217;s pay more than 20% in arbitration) &#8230; don&#8217;t you keep him even if he&#8217;s not a sure thing to start the season on your roster?<\/li>\n<li><strong>Brandon Beachy<\/strong>; kind of the same logic as Medlen, but with more caution.&nbsp; Also finishing his 2nd TJ rehab but he&#8217;d be significantly cheaper (just $1.45M for 2014 in arbitrated salary).&nbsp; Again; if you&#8217;re Atlanta, are you cutting bait just to save $1.5M??<\/li>\n<li><strong>Alexi Ogando<\/strong>: i&#8217;ve always liked this guy, had him in fantasy for years.&nbsp; He&#8217;s injury prone, yes, but how much of that is because Texas kept changing its mind on how to use him?&nbsp; Is he a middle reliever (2010)?&nbsp; Is he a starter (2011)?&nbsp; Is he a closer (2012)?&nbsp; Is he an 8th inning guy (2013)?&nbsp; Or is he <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/o\/ogandal01.shtml\">washed up<\/a> (2014)?&nbsp; I&#8217;d sign him to a middle-reliever contract; he only made $2.6M last year.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Wade LeBlanc<\/strong> and <strong>Scott Snodgress<\/strong>; seem like low-risk gambles that someone might make on 4-A starters who could be decent.&nbsp; I&#8217;ll bet a low-payroll pitchers park team like San Diego could turn these guys into 100 ERA+ pitchers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Work the phones <strong>Mike Rizzo<\/strong>; maybe you can get these guys on minor\/major contracts while they rehab.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So, the tender deadline came and went.&nbsp; I didn&#8217;t post any pre-tender deadline analysis because I didn&#8217;t think there was any analysis to do.&nbsp; In November I thought *maybe* the team would think about parting ways with Kevin Frandsen or maybe Ross Detwiler &#8230; but then went and re-signed Frandsen.&nbsp; I left Detwiler out of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,5,4559],"tags":[1264,230,1879,2687,2424,2543,413,2384,970,129,51,2688,780],"class_list":["post-10071","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-mlbpitching","category-natsgeneral","category-non-tender","tag-alexi-ogando","tag-brandon-beachy","tag-everth-cabrera","tag-gordon-beckham","tag-greg-maddox","tag-juan-francisco","tag-justin-smoak","tag-kevin-frandsen","tag-kris-medlen","tag-mike-rizzo","tag-ross-detwiler","tag-scott-snodgress","tag-wade-leblanc"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10071","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10071"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10071\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17894,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10071\/revisions\/17894"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10071"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10071"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10071"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}