{"id":10249,"date":"2015-02-09T14:38:08","date_gmt":"2015-02-09T19:38:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=10249"},"modified":"2015-02-09T14:40:30","modified_gmt":"2015-02-09T19:40:30","slug":"nationals-prospect-ranks-historically","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=10249","title":{"rendered":"Nationals Prospect Ranks historically"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_4427\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/GiolitoLucas-Eric-Dearborn-photography-via-Win-for-Teddy-blog.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4427\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-4427\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/GiolitoLucas-Eric-Dearborn-photography-via-Win-for-Teddy-blog-300x224.jpg\" alt=\"Giolito is currently ranked #1 Nats prospect.  Photo Eric Dearborn via win for teddy blog\" width=\"300\" height=\"224\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/GiolitoLucas-Eric-Dearborn-photography-via-Win-for-Teddy-blog-300x224.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/08\/GiolitoLucas-Eric-Dearborn-photography-via-Win-for-Teddy-blog.jpg 630w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-4427\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Giolito is currently ranked #1 Nats prospect. Photo Eric Dearborn via win for teddy blog<\/p><\/div>\n<p>For years I&#8217;ve collected links and lists of Nationals top 10 prospect lists into a text file, just growing it chronologically year after year.\u00a0 I noticed somewhat recently that in the <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheet\/ccc?key=0AmkEIm1TLiXQdHExYldZVUZJZk9uckFjeEVCSmR5Umc&amp;hl=en#gid=28\">Nats Big Board<\/a> there are a few tabs with titles like &#8220;2013 Prospect Rankings&#8221;\u00a0 that had some but not all the rankings data that I&#8217;ve collected.\u00a0 Plus there&#8217;s no 2014 or 2015 tabs of this information.<\/p>\n<p>So, I kind of became obsessed with translating all the information I had in text format to a spreadsheet.\u00a0 Today I&#8217;ve uploaded this spreadsheet for your viewing pleasure.\u00a0 I&#8217;ve created a &#8220;Link&#8221; along the right-hand side of this blog and also offer the below Google XLS:<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1ufpQabmX1XLTN9ShcgBDOLeOnfoIQLfXlk01qelJZbA\/edit?usp=sharing<\/p>\n<p>Some quick notes on the spreadsheet:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>I&#8217;ve only included what I deem to be &#8220;professional pundits&#8221; rankings.\u00a0 That is to say, I have not included my own, or the rankings of other Nats bloggers.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 I&#8217;ve also excluded auto-generated rankings (like at Scouting Book), rankings driven by projection systems (Zips, Pecota, etc), and rankings driven by or for Fantasy purposes.<\/li>\n<li>The default XLS in Google is sorted by the Fangraphs recent ranking, then alphabetically by last name after that.<\/li>\n<li>The color schemes on the spreadsheet: Orange means that the player hadn&#8217;t been acquired and\/or drafted yet. Red means that player has either left the organization (by release, trade, etc) or has &#8220;graduated&#8221; and is no longer a candidate for these lists.\u00a0 Therefore a &#8220;white&#8221; or non-colored tab for recent lists should mean the player is still in our system, ranked or not.\u00a0 Corrections welcome.<\/li>\n<li>In the 2nd &#8220;pundits&#8221; tab you can see pundit by pundit whose lists i&#8217;ve used and (in yellow highlighting) see some of the lists I wouldn&#8217;t mind finding and including.\u00a0 In particular, if anyone has the BA handbooks from previous years, I&#8217;d love a scan of the Nats top 30 pages.<\/li>\n<li>One of the really interesting things I see in this data is the discrepant rankings from pundit to pundit by player; having all this data side by side lets you see (for example) that <strong>Keith Law<\/strong> really likes <strong>Joe Ross<\/strong> and <strong>John Sickels<\/strong> doesn&#8217;t rate <strong>Reynaldo Lopez<\/strong> nearly as highly as some of his counterparts.<\/li>\n<li>The data is pretty solid to 2010; if anyone has older links i&#8217;ll take them and include them.\u00a0 I also can carve off future time to do the google research but for now I&#8217;ve devoted enough time to this little project \ud83d\ude42<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>There are some weird discrepancies in the data as far as I can tell:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>I have not done the &#8220;not yet signed&#8221; logic for all the IFA candidates, mostly because there&#8217;s some discrepancies in some of the IFA signing dates.\u00a0 To wit; <strong>Anderson Franco<\/strong> is listed on the big board as a 2014 IFA signing, but he appeared in BA Handbook&#8217;s 2014 rankings for the team.\u00a0 That BA Handbook is written mostly in December; how could Franco be ranked if he wasn&#8217;t even signed yet?\u00a0\u00a0 Do all IFAs sign on the same July time-frame?\u00a0 Can a D.R. prospect sign the moment he turns 16, even if its outside the signing window?<\/li>\n<li>Players like <strong>Aaron Barrett<\/strong> and <strong>Taylor Jordan<\/strong> ended up on pundit ranking lists after exhausting their eligibility; that&#8217;s what numbers in red blocks means.<\/li>\n<li>mlb.com lists in particular are not published and set in stone; their system constantly adjusts the lists to account for player movement, so some of the older MLB list links may not match what&#8217;s in the xls.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The canonical history of Nats prospects ranked #1 on any list:\u00a0 <strong>Lucas Giolito<\/strong>, <strong>Brian Goodwin<\/strong>, <strong>Anthony Rendon, Bryce Harper<\/strong> (who never was NOT ranked #1 by any pundit), <strong>Stephen Strasburg<\/strong> (also never not ranked #1 in his brief stay on these lists in 2010), <strong>Jordan Zimmermann<\/strong> and lastly<strong> Chris Marrero<\/strong>, ranked #1 in the BA Nov 2007 ranking I somehow found.<\/p>\n<p>Enjoy!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For years I&#8217;ve collected links and lists of Nationals top 10 prospect lists into a text file, just growing it chronologically year after year.\u00a0 I noticed somewhat recently that in the Nats Big Board there are a few tabs with titles like &#8220;2013 Prospect Rankings&#8221;\u00a0 that had some but not all the rankings data that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,5],"tags":[916,2721,185,257,164,124,590,2720,43,110,852,1875,38,24],"class_list":["post-10249","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-draft","category-natsgeneral","tag-aaron-barrett","tag-anderson-franco","tag-anthony-rendon","tag-brian-goodwin","tag-bryce-harper","tag-chris-marrero","tag-john-sickels","tag-jor-ross","tag-jordan-zimmermann","tag-keith-law","tag-lucas-giolito","tag-reynaldo-lopez","tag-stephen-strasburg","tag-taylor-jordan"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10249","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10249"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10249\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10254,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10249\/revisions\/10254"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10249"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10249"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10249"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}