{"id":10356,"date":"2015-03-23T16:11:17","date_gmt":"2015-03-23T20:11:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=10356"},"modified":"2015-03-23T16:15:54","modified_gmt":"2015-03-23T20:15:54","slug":"ask-boswell-32315-edition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=10356","title":{"rendered":"Ask Boswell 3\/23\/15 Edition"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_10209\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/ScherzerMax-via-his-twitter.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10209\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-10209\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/ScherzerMax-via-his-twitter-300x191.jpg\" alt=\"Scherzer is your 2015 opening day starter.  Photo via Scherzer's twitter account.\" width=\"300\" height=\"191\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/ScherzerMax-via-his-twitter-300x191.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/01\/ScherzerMax-via-his-twitter.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-10209\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Scherzer is your 2015 opening day starter. Photo via Scherzer&#8217;s twitter account.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>So, I&#8217;ve been quiet on the blog front lately.\u00a0 Not much to write about right now, other than the injury bug that seems to be going around camp.\u00a0 <strong>Max Scherzer<\/strong> named the opening day starter; I guess that&#8217;s news for a Monday.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/live.washingtonpost.com\/ask-boswell-20150323.html\">Lets peek at today&#8217;s<\/a> <strong>Tom Boswell<\/strong> 3\/23\/15 chat to see what kind of questions he fielded.\u00a0 Despite it being post-March Madness, there&#8217;s still some baseball talk going on.\u00a0 As always, I answer here before reading Boswell&#8217;s answer and edit questions for clarity.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Q: Say the Nats are under .500 after a couple of weeks. Will a full-scale panic start, or are team and fans&#8217; nerves stronger than that?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: Maybe the media&#8217;s panic will set in, but probably not the fans.\u00a0 If the team is sub .500 after two months &#8230; you&#8217;d have to start asking some questions.\u00a0 Same kind of questions we asked basically all of 2013.\u00a0 Of course, that being said, the Nats&#8217; <a href=\"http:\/\/washington.nationals.mlb.com\/schedule\/sortable.jsp?c_id=was&amp;year=2015\">early-season calendar<\/a> isn&#8217;t exactly challenging:\u00a0 10 of their first 11 series of the year are against teams that were sub .500 last year.\u00a0 Now, we are expecting some of these teams (especially Boston, San Diego, Miami) to be much improved from last year &#8230; but the point remains.\u00a0 The team has no excuse to not come out of the gates firing.\u00a0 <em>Boswell notes that if all the current injured Nats remain hurt on 4\/1 &#8230; that fans will expect a long April.\u00a0 He then goes on a long tangent about how screwed up the Dodgers are right now<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Q: Notwithstanding Taylor&#8217;s excellent weekend; I don&#8217;t understand why Williams would bat him lead-off (regardless of Taylor&#8217;s leadoff &#8220;skills&#8221;) but wouldn&#8217;t bat Harper higher than sixth.\u00a0 Does Williams have a double standard for prospects not named Harper?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: A good question.\u00a0 Certainly some people have questioned <strong>Matt Williams<\/strong>&#8216; ongoing public criticisms of <strong>Bryce Harper<\/strong>.\u00a0 Why call him out, in the media, for his supposed transgression of baiting the runner into trying for second?\u00a0 Dude; its the 2nd week of March; it isn&#8217;t a big deal.\u00a0 Except by calling him out in public, it *becomes* a big deal since Harper is such a lightening rod in the National media (deserved or not).\u00a0 My two cents: there&#8217;s no lack of evidence coming out of the Arizona Diamondbacks organization over the last few\u00a0 years about the institutional bull-headedness concerning &#8220;the right way to play&#8221; and other old-school baseball idioms, and it seems to me that Williams has continued his dogged old-school ways as the on-field leader of the Nats.\u00a0 Is this a good thing?\u00a0 Probably not.\u00a0 Harper is talented enough to back up his actions (see last year&#8217;s NLCS when Harper was one of only two Nats hitters to bother making the trip to SF).\u00a0 But will this conflict become a distraction?\u00a0 Will it drive Harper from this team eventually?<\/p>\n<p>Sorry for that tangent.\u00a0 To answer the question at hand; with <strong>Denard Span<\/strong> out, *someone* has to bat lead off, and if you&#8217;re an &#8220;old school&#8221; guy who do you pick?\u00a0 Do you pick the skinny, fast center fielder?\u00a0 Or do you take a smarter look at your hitter capabilities?\u00a0 I guess we&#8217;ll see.\u00a0 <em>Boswell says that Taylor batted leadoff in the minors, so he&#8217;s ok there.\u00a0 Uh; the bush leagues playing infront of a few hundred people isn&#8217;t quite the majors.\u00a0 Oh, and Boswell conveniently &#8220;explains&#8221; why Harper was batting 6th too.\u00a0 Williams, the old-school manager for the old-school baseball writer Boswell<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Q: Why is Pete Rose back in the news with regard to reinstatement?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: Because new commissioner <strong>Rob Manfred<\/strong> was dumb enough to engage <strong>Pete Rose<\/strong>&#8216;s request?\u00a0\u00a0 The Dowd report was a pretty galling chronicle of Rose&#8217;s activities.\u00a0 I think Rose appears as a sympathetic figure because of the ardor to which former commissioner <strong>Bart Giamatti<\/strong> pursued his penalty.\u00a0 I too was sympathetic to Rose, feeling like baseball went far out of its way to rid themselves of him at the time.<\/p>\n<p>But, now with time and retrospection, Rose&#8217;s sins were pretty bad.<\/p>\n<p>I think the best way for baseball to deal with the likes of Rose, <strong>Shoeless Joe Jackson, Barry Bonds, Mark McGwire, Roger Clemens<\/strong> and perhaps others will to eventually create a special election with large caveats to their enshrinement.\u00a0 Yes these players were among the best in the game &#8230; but broke cardinal sins against the game.\u00a0 Imagine a veteran&#8217;s committee designed to create a permanent special exhibit in Cooperstown dedicated to great players who have clouds surrounding their names.\u00a0 I dunno.\u00a0 The cynical part of me says that the museum based in upstate New York has no incentive to *ever* stop the rhetoric surrounding these guys.\u00a0 It gets tiresome to argue about the *same things* over and over &#8230; but we do it anyway, year after year.<\/p>\n<p><em>Boswell coincidentally advocates for Rose for the HoF but not an active role in the game.\u00a0 <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Q: With the Nats celebrating ten years in the District, do you have any random memories that stand out since they&#8217;ve been in town?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: I put out a post periodically that talks about &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=6278\">Best games&#8221; in Nats history<\/a>.\u00a0 This question kind of feels like the games captured in this post and in the comments.\u00a0\u00a0 No need to re-answer.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Q: Who deserves the opening day start?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: You can make a pretty cogent argument for any of the three of <strong>Strasburg<\/strong>, <strong>Scherzer<\/strong> or <strong>Zimmermann<\/strong>.\u00a0 Strasburg since he&#8217;s gotten three straight such starts and normally you don&#8217;t replace the home-grown &#8220;Ace&#8221; of a team.\u00a0 That&#8217;d be my choice and my argument, coincidentally.\u00a0 Zimmermann b\/c of his no-hitter last year and generally accepted stance as the &#8220;actual&#8221; best hurler on the team.\u00a0 But its now known that Scherzer is getting the nod (not a real big surprise once you saw how the rotation was laid out starting from early spring).\u00a0 For me (as noted in the prior thread&#8217;s comments), Scherzer is the only guy with a Cy Young to his name, so it isn&#8217;t surprising that players&#8217; manager Williams goes with the veteran with the most career accomplishment in that ceremonial spot.\u00a0 Works for me; we just bought our <a href=\"http:\/\/washington.nationals.mlb.com\/schedule\/sortable.jsp?c_id=was&amp;year=2015\">opening day tickets<\/a> (we&#8217;re in section 131 I think) so I look forward to seeing him pitch.\u00a0 <em>Boswell says that Strasburg&#8217;s sore ankle cost him the spot.\u00a0 BS.\u00a0 <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Q: With the likelihood of multiple starters starting the season on the DL, how do you see that effecting the bench players on the roster.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: We&#8217;ve talked about this before, but clearly it means that at least one, perhaps two NRIs are getting opening day jobs.\u00a0 And it means that some options-limited guys are getting shots too.\u00a0 If Span is out a month, Werth can&#8217;t make opening day, if Rendon is down and out, if Escobar can&#8217;t get enough reps &#8230; that&#8217;s a lot of spots to fill.\u00a0 For me, just guessing, i&#8217;d say the team heads north with <strong>Tyler Moore<\/strong>, <strong>Tony Gwynn Jr<\/strong>, <strong>Michael Taylor<\/strong> and maybe <strong>Ian Stewart<\/strong> to start the season.\u00a0 <strong>Dan Uggla<\/strong>?\u00a0 Numbers are good; lots of walks.\u00a0 But he can&#8217;t play 3B (not well, presumably) and its 3B where the team might need some cover.\u00a0 <em>Boswell is more bullish on Uggla, thinking he&#8217;d be a huge steal.\u00a0 I dunno; can&#8217;t play SS, doesn&#8217;t bat lefty.\u00a0 <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Q: Are there going to be any longer-term impacts to demoting Tanner Roark to the bullpen?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: Maybe.\u00a0 Is it a coincidence that <strong>Roark<\/strong> has the worst starter stats of any pitcher this spring?\u00a0 Probably not; spring training NRIs have a tendency to be uber aggressive, and minor league defenders aren&#8217;t always adept at catching the ball when playing out of position.\u00a0 Maybe not; Roark&#8217;s attitude has sounded great, and he&#8217;s hopefully being told that he&#8217;s first in line and likely will get a big number of starts filling in for the inevitable injuries.\u00a0 He&#8217;ll have his rotation spot back next year for sure.\u00a0\u00a0 <em>Boswell doesn&#8217;t think so.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Q: If the Nats don&#8217;t make it out of the first round of the playoffs this year (assuming they will make it), do you think the fans develop the same anxiety that Caps fans have over the years?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: Yes.\u00a0 Two playoff appearances, two &#8220;best record in the majors&#8221; and two impotent first round exits to wild cards.\u00a0 If the Nats fail in 2015, then\u00a0 yeah we may begin to wonder what&#8217;s going on.\u00a0 <em>Boswell points out that the Caps have one of the worst track records in professional sports.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Q: What is your opening day lineup (including who leads off) given the injury spate?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: If it were me?\u00a0 If we assume that everyone who is\u00a0 hurt is *not* making it to opening day, I&#8217;ll go with something like this:<\/p>\n<p>Escobar-Desmond-Harper-Zimmerman-Ramos-Moore-Frandsen-Taylor pitcher.\u00a0 Escobar at 2B, Moore in LF, Frandsen at 3B and Taylor in CF.\u00a0 Not a great lineup.<\/p>\n<p>A better assumption is that Rendon and Werth will make opening day, which makes the lineup a lot easier.\u00a0 Escobar-Rendon-Harper-Zimmerman-Werth-Desmond-Ramos-Taylor-pitcher.\u00a0 When Span returns, put Escobar at #8 and that&#8217;s that.<\/p>\n<p><em>Boswell doesn&#8217;t give a leadoff-suggestion, but using induction by reduction, he&#8217;s likely pushing for Escobar at lead-off too.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Q: Is it time to cut the cord on Espinosa?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: Not until you find someone else who can play short stop in a pinch who isn&#8217;t already slated to start.\u00a0 <em>Boswell gives a non-answer too.\u00a0 I don&#8217;t feel bad.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So, I&#8217;ve been quiet on the blog front lately.\u00a0 Not much to write about right now, other than the injury bug that seems to be going around camp.\u00a0 Max Scherzer named the opening day starter; I guess that&#8217;s news for a Monday. Lets peek at today&#8217;s Tom Boswell 3\/23\/15 chat to see what kind of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[596,1446,164,1005,135,482,2730,43,667,1314,708,747,2122,637,753,38,77,125,2736,235,1569],"class_list":["post-10356","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chatmailbag-responses","tag-barry-bonds","tag-bart-giamatti","tag-bryce-harper","tag-dan-uggla","tag-danny-espinosa","tag-denard-span","tag-ian-stewart","tag-jordan-zimmermann","tag-mark-mcgwire","tag-matt-williams","tag-michael-taylor","tag-pete-rose","tag-rob-manfred","tag-roger-clemens","tag-shoeless-joe-jackson","tag-stephen-strasburg","tag-tanner-roark","tag-tom-boswell","tag-tony-gwinn-jr","tag-tyler-moore","tag-yunel-escobar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10356","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10356"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10356\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10364,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10356\/revisions\/10364"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10356"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10356"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10356"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}