{"id":11895,"date":"2016-02-01T16:26:24","date_gmt":"2016-02-01T21:26:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=11895"},"modified":"2016-02-01T16:26:24","modified_gmt":"2016-02-01T21:26:24","slug":"nats-arbitration-review-2016","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=11895","title":{"rendered":"Nats Arbitration Review 2016"},"content":{"rendered":"

No arbitration hearings for the Nats this year (thankfully).\u00a0 Here’s a quickie spreadsheet look at our Arb-eligible guys, my quick guesses at their salary, MLBtraderumors.com’s guess and what they eventually settled on:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Player<\/td>\n2015 Salary<\/td>\nTodd’s Guess<\/td>\nmlbtraderumors estimate<\/td>\nActual<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Strasburg, Stephen<\/td>\n$7,400,000<\/td>\n$12,000,000<\/td>\n$10,500,000<\/td>\n$10,400,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Ramos, Wilson<\/td>\n$3,550,000<\/td>\n$4,700,000<\/td>\n$5,300,000<\/td>\n$5,350,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rendon, Anthony<\/td>\n$1,800,000<\/td>\n$4,000,000<\/td>\n$2,500,000<\/td>\n$2,800,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Espinosa, Danny<\/td>\n$1,800,000<\/td>\n$3,200,000<\/td>\n$2,700,000<\/td>\n$2,875,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Lobaton, Jose<\/td>\n$1,200,000<\/td>\n$1,500,000<\/td>\n$1,500,000<\/td>\n$1,378,500<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Moore, Tyler<\/td>\n$518,200<\/td>\n$1,200,000<\/td>\n$1,000,000<\/td>\n$900,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Revere, Ben<\/td>\n$4,100,000<\/td>\n$6,600,000<\/td>\n$6,700,000<\/td>\n$6,250,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nsums –><\/td>\n$33,200,000<\/td>\n$30,200,000<\/td>\n$29,953,500<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

So, one thing I notice here is just how amazingly close MLBTradeRumors’ estimates are.\u00a0 $100k off for Strasburg, $50k off for Ramos.\u00a0 Across 7 players they were within $250k total.\u00a0 Pretty good stuff.<\/p>\n

Rendon’s sub-par 2015 really hurts him; I was way off base thinking he’d jump to $4M in his first year of arbitration.<\/p>\n

Strasburg’s figure seems crazy low; on the open market you have to think he’s worth $18M or more.\u00a0 All the more reason the Nats need to win now with him, since they’re basically getting at half price.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

No arbitration hearings for the Nats this year (thankfully).\u00a0 Here’s a quickie spreadsheet look at our Arb-eligible guys, my quick guesses at their salary, MLBtraderumors.com’s guess and what they eventually settled on: Player 2015 Salary Todd’s Guess mlbtraderumors estimate Actual Strasburg, Stephen $7,400,000 $12,000,000 $10,500,000 $10,400,000 Ramos, Wilson $3,550,000 $4,700,000 $5,300,000 $5,350,000 Rendon, Anthony $1,800,000 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[185,498,135,2239,38,235,147],"class_list":["post-11895","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-natsgeneral","tag-anthony-rendon","tag-ben-revere","tag-danny-espinosa","tag-jose-lobaton","tag-stephen-strasburg","tag-tyler-moore","tag-wilson-ramos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11895","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11895"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11895\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11920,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11895\/revisions\/11920"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}