{"id":12180,"date":"2016-05-02T09:12:40","date_gmt":"2016-05-02T13:12:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=12180"},"modified":"2016-05-02T09:12:40","modified_gmt":"2016-05-02T13:12:40","slug":"operation-first-tough-stretch-of-the-season-underway","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=12180","title":{"rendered":"Operation &#8220;First tough stretch of the season&#8221; underway&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_11645\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/RobinsonClint-nats-via-yearofletters.com_.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-11645\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11645\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-11645\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/RobinsonClint-nats-via-yearofletters.com_-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"Loved the Robinson homer ... even it if cost me in fantasy.  Photo via minorleagueball.com\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/RobinsonClint-nats-via-yearofletters.com_-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/RobinsonClint-nats-via-yearofletters.com_.jpg 730w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-11645\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Loved the Robinson homer &#8230; even it if cost me in fantasy. Photo via minorleagueball.com<\/p><\/div>\n<p>We all know the Nats had a cream-puff schedule in April.\u00a0 And they delivered; despite a somewhat inexplicable sweep at home to Philadelphia, they finished 14-7 in their first 21 games against basically a collection of teams that aren&#8217;t really trying in 2016.<\/p>\n<p>14-7 is a nifty 108 win pace by the way.\u00a0 Just saying \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n<p>We all were looking at this first road trip as the first true test; they havn&#8217;t played the Mets\u00a0 yet, they havn&#8217;t really had much of a struggle (outside of a couple of pretty good Philadelphia young arms).\u00a0 They were going to their old nemesis St. Louis (where they&#8217;ve always struggled, year over year), then 3 games at the defending WS champs (and in an AL park with their inherent DH advantage), and then to top it off 4 games in Chicago against a team that looks more and more like its gonna win 110 games (hyperbole, if only slightly; they&#8217;re 17-6 right now and that&#8217;s a ridiculous 120 win pace).<\/p>\n<p>I didn&#8217;t think the Nats would win three games this entire trip.\u00a0 Imagine my surprise that they frigging SWEPT St. Louis, in St. Louis, in three games that honestly weren&#8217;t really that close?\u00a0 <strong>Strasburg<\/strong>, <strong>Ross<\/strong> and <strong>Scherzer<\/strong> pitched like bosses (no pun intended), and gave up a combined 3 earned runs in their 20 innings.\u00a0 They won a game yesterday where <strong>Harper <\/strong> struck out four times.\u00a0 They got great clutch hitting from unlikely sources (<strong>Espinosa<\/strong>, <strong>Robinson<\/strong>, <strong>Taylor<\/strong>) and they got a turn-back-the-clock Saturday from <strong>Werth<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>What does this mean?<\/p>\n<p>Well, for one, I think this already bumps up their projected win totals on the year.\u00a0 You know the adage; dominate the bad teams and break even with the good ones.\u00a0 I&#8217;ve got a little spreadsheet where I have projected Win\/Loss totals for the season and it goes like this:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The team basically breaks even with the entire rest of the league: 43-41 against the NL Central, NL West and in Interleague<\/li>\n<li>The team goes 13-6 against Atlanta, 12-7 against Philly and 11-8 against Miami.<\/li>\n<li>The team goes 9-10 against the Mets (they have an extra home game in NY this year) for a combined 45-31 in-division.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>If the team does this, then they win 88 games.\u00a0 Probably not enough to make the playoffs.\u00a0 So to improve on 88 wins, they need to pick up &#8220;extra&#8221; wins here and there.\u00a0 Instead of going 13-6 against Atlanta maybe they go something ridiculous like 18-1 or 17-2 (they&#8217;re already 6-0).\u00a0 They picked up an &#8220;extra&#8221; win against Minnesota already, sweeping them at home.<\/p>\n<p>I had them going 1-2 in St. Louis in this scenario; going 3-0 is amazing.\u00a0 Lets see what they can do in KC.\u00a0 I&#8217;m hoping for 1 win out of 3.\u00a0 They&#8217;re giving KC their two &#8220;worst&#8221; starters and they&#8217;re not really hitting well as a team, but what it does mean is that the Cubs will get Ross and Scherzer on the weekend.\u00a0 Should be fun.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We all know the Nats had a cream-puff schedule in April.\u00a0 And they delivered; despite a somewhat inexplicable sweep at home to Philadelphia, they finished 14-7 in their first 21 games against basically a collection of teams that aren&#8217;t really trying in 2016. 14-7 is a nifty 108 win pace by the way.\u00a0 Just saying [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[164,2729,135,115,2691,1037,708,38],"class_list":["post-12180","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-natsgeneral","tag-bryce-harper","tag-clint-robinson","tag-danny-espinosa","tag-jayson-werth","tag-joe-ross","tag-max-scherzer","tag-michael-taylor","tag-stephen-strasburg"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12180","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12180"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12180\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12182,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12180\/revisions\/12182"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12180"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12180"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12180"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}