{"id":12186,"date":"2016-11-14T09:45:02","date_gmt":"2016-11-14T14:45:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=12186"},"modified":"2016-12-06T09:46:49","modified_gmt":"2016-12-06T14:46:49","slug":"my-2016-end-of-season-awards-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=12186","title":{"rendered":"My 2016 End-of-Season Awards Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_13002\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/ScherzerMax-throwing-via-washtimes.com_.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-13002\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-13002\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-13002\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/ScherzerMax-throwing-via-washtimes.com_-300x175.jpg\" alt=\"Scherzer may have the best shot of our 4 &quot;finalists&quot; for awards this week. Photo via washtimes.com\" width=\"300\" height=\"175\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/ScherzerMax-throwing-via-washtimes.com_-300x175.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/ScherzerMax-throwing-via-washtimes.com_-768x448.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/ScherzerMax-throwing-via-washtimes.com_.jpg 885w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-13002\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Scherzer may have the best shot of our 4 &#8220;finalists&#8221; for awards this week. Photo via washtimes.com<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Quick break from Nats off-season stuff to talk about the &#8220;silly season&#8221; of baseball. \u00a0Its awards week, with all the major BBWAA awards to be given out this week.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s my predictions for how the awards will go. \u00a0This is not necessarily how I believe the awards should go &#8230; once again, I think narrative wins out over\u00a0<strong>Mike Trout<\/strong>&#8216;s 10+ WAR season, and we may see an east coast bias in the AL rookie award. \u00a0But lets see how it goes.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/news\/2016-mvp-cy-young-manager-rookie-of-the-year-finalists-announced\/\">list of finalists<\/a>, published last week.<\/p>\n<p>The writers have to submit their ballots at the end of the season; I finished this post in early October but waited until the awards season to arrive to publish it. \u00a0Thus, it contains no inclusion of any post-season accolades or accomplishments since the votes were already in before the playoffs started.<\/p>\n<p>How do I think the voting will go?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>AL MVP:\u00a0<\/strong>Betts, Trout, Donaldson, Machado, Altuve (maybe some 5th place votes for Ortiz).<\/li>\n<li><strong>NL MVP<\/strong>: Bryant, Seager, Murphy, Rizzo, Freeman\/Arenado<\/li>\n<li><strong>AL Cy Young<\/strong>: Kluber, Verlander, Porcello, Sale, Britton<\/li>\n<li><strong>NL Cy Young<\/strong>: Scherzer, Fernandez, Hendricks, Lester,\u00a0Snydergaard<\/li>\n<li><strong>AL Rookie<\/strong>: Sanchez, Fulmer, Mazara<\/li>\n<li><strong>NL Rookie<\/strong>: Seager, Turner, Maeda<\/li>\n<li><strong>AL Manager<\/strong>: Franconia, Bannister, Girardi<\/li>\n<li><strong>NL Manager<\/strong>: Baker, Maddon, Roberts<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Actual Award Results<\/strong> <\/span>added as they were awarded:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>AL MVP: <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2016\/11\/mike-trout-kris-bryant-win-mvp-awards.html\">Trout, Betts, Altuve, Donaldson, Machado<\/a>. \u00a0(Ortiz came in 6th).<\/li>\n<li><strong>NL MVP<\/strong>: <a href=\"http:\/\/bbwaa.com\/16-nl-mvp\/\">Bryant, Murphy, Seager, Rizzo, Arenado<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>AL Cy Young<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.yahoo.com\/news\/nationals-ace-max-scherzer-wins-nl-cy-young-award-232134299.html\">Porcello, Verlander, Kluber, Britton, Sale<\/a>\u00a0(Verlander get hosed)<\/li>\n<li><strong>NL Cy Young<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.yahoo.com\/news\/nationals-ace-max-scherzer-wins-nl-cy-young-award-232134299.html\">Scherzer, Lester, Hendricks, Bumgarner, Kershaw<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>AL Rookie<\/strong>: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2016\/11\/corey-seager-michael-fulmer-win-rookie-of-the-year-awards.html\">Fulmer, Sanchez, Naquin<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>NL Rookie<\/strong>: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mlbtraderumors.com\/2016\/11\/corey-seager-michael-fulmer-win-rookie-of-the-year-awards.html\">Seager, Turner, Maeda<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>AL Manager<\/strong>: <a href=\"http:\/\/m.mlb.com\/news\/article\/208911150\/bbwaa-al-and-nl-managers-of-the-year-announced\/\">Franconia, Bannister,\u00a0Showalter<\/a><\/li>\n<li><strong>NL Manager<\/strong>: <a href=\"http:\/\/m.mlb.com\/news\/article\/208911150\/bbwaa-al-and-nl-managers-of-the-year-announced\/\">Roberts, Maddon,\u00a0Baker<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>My prediction results: 4 for 8. \u00a0Got Seager, Franconia, Scherzer, Bryant. \u00a0Missed on Fulmer, Roberts, Porcello, Trout. \u00a0Historically i&#8217;ve been pretty good at these predictions; this was a very bad year for me. \u00a0Which is good, because it means that the electorate is improving and that generally my over-thinking of voters picking bad results should lessen.<\/p>\n<p>Links to other awards that I didn&#8217;t necessarily predict:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Sporting News\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/sports\/mlb\/2016\/11\/08\/cubs-theo-epstein-voted-tsns-mlb-executive-of-the-year\/93462942\/\">Executive of the Year<\/a>: Theo Epstein. \u00a0No surprise there.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/story\/_\/id\/18004040\/gold-glove-awards-chicago-cubs-take-two-home-san-francisco-giants-win-three\">Gold Gloves<\/a>: No Nats this year<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.billjamesonline.com\/the_2016_fielding_bible_awards\/\">Fielding Bible<\/a>: No Nats &#8230; and I don&#8217;t believe a Nat has ever been given a Fielding Bible award.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/mlb.nbcsports.com\/2016\/11\/10\/mike-trout-mookie-betts-among-thursdays-silver-slugger-award-winners\/\">Silver Sluggers<\/a>: Two Nats this year: Murphy and Ramos<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businesswire.com\/news\/home\/20161029005018\/en\/Zach-Britton-Kenley-Jansen-Named-2016-Relievers\">Relievers of the \u00a0Year<\/a> (Mariano Rivera\/Trevor Hoffman Awards): Zach Britton, Kenley Jansen<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/news\/mets-curtis-granderson-wins-2016-roberto-clemente-award\/\">Roberto Clemente Award<\/a>: Curtis Granderson<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/mlb.nbcsports.com\/2016\/11\/29\/rick-porcello-anthony-rendon-win-comeback-player-of-the-year-awards\/\">Comeback Players of the Year<\/a>: Rick Porcello in the AL, Anthony Rendon in the NL<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/majors\/chris-antonetti-shaped-indians-success\/?_wcsid=0642F331649BE48BAB74003610640D7607A8B9738765AAAB#ycFteIDPmzL03crj.97\">BA Executive of the Year<\/a>: Chris Antonelli, Cleveland.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/mlb.nbcsports.com\/2016\/11\/30\/david-ortiz-wins-the-edgar-martinez-dh-of-the-year-award\/\">DH of the Year<\/a> (Edgar Martinez Award): David Ortiz for the 8th and final time.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/story\/_\/id\/18217975\/claire-smith-wins-jg-taylor-spink-award-honored-hall-fame-weekend\">J.G. Taylor Spink Reporter of the year<\/a>: Claire Smith from ESPN.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Note: I made some prediction mistakes based on the publication of the 3 finalist links; I&#8217;ll note those in the discussion links below.<\/p>\n<p>Discussion:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">AL MVP<\/span><\/strong> :\u00a0I know some view &#8220;MVP&#8221; as &#8220;Best Player,&#8221; but it isn&#8217;t. \u00a0And I&#8217;m in agreeance with the narrative that with like candidates, the playoff chase matters. \u00a0Who cares that the Angels went 74-88 with 10-win Trout; Betts had nearly as valuable a season while doing a bit of everything for Boston. \u00a0Betts wins, Trout gets another 2nd place finish. \u00a0With the publication of the finalists, we now know that I was wrong on Donaldson for 3rd and that it will go to Altuve; i get that, since Altuve was &#8220;in the lead&#8221; for a lot of the season.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL MVP<\/strong><\/span>:\u00a0Bryant and it isn&#8217;t close. \u00a0I think Seager gets 2nd over Murphy b\/c he&#8217;s a short stop.<\/li>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">AL Cy Young<\/span><\/strong>:\u00a0I like Kluber slightly over Verlander but I could see arguments on both sides. \u00a0What I really hope does NOT happen is over-emphasis on Britton&#8217;s season. \u00a0Yes he&#8217;s had a nice season; no he isn&#8217;t the best pitcher in the AL. \u00a0I am slightly proud of myself for at least getting the top 3 right.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL Cy Young<\/strong><\/span>:\u00a0Kershaw&#8217;s injury has opened the door for a slew of guys:\u00a0Scherzer probably has the combination of wins, IPs, Ks to be the &#8220;leader&#8221; even if he&#8217;s eclipsed in WAR by Fernandez, Snydergaard. \u00a0Lester, Cueto and Hendricks also each have cases. \u00a0This could be a completely wide-open race. \u00a0I wrote most of this before the tragic death of Fernandez; will he now win out of sentimentality? \u00a0No he won&#8217;t; with the publication of the 3 finalists we know Fernandez wasn&#8217;t in the top 3.<\/li>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">AL Rookie<\/span><\/strong>: Michael Fulmer was a shoe-in until Gary Sanchez hit 20 homers in his first 45 games; this race is closer than you might think. \u00a0Fulmer really should get it, but the NY media narrative game is strong. \u00a0I think Sanchez ekes it out; it was a pretty historic debut. \u00a0I did get the third finalist wrong, Cleveland&#8217;s Naquin sneaks in.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL Rookie<\/strong><\/span>: Seager\u00a0is in the MVP discussion and should win unanimously. \u00a0Trea Turner&#8217;s probably top 3, as is Seager&#8217;s japanese teammate Maeda. \u00a0I am guessing Maeda pips Turner for 2nd place based on playing a full season.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>AL Manager<\/strong><\/span>: No idea how this goes: maybe Franconia in Cleveland still? \u00a0Perhaps Girardi for having the Yankees in the WC mix after their sell-off? \u00a0Maybe John Ferrell for getting Boston&#8217;s act back together? \u00a0Maybe Bannister in Texas for running away with a division that most thought Houston would win? \u00a0I thought Girardi would sneak in over Francona; if we knew about Francona&#8217;s post-season exploits we may be giving him the award unanimously.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL Manager<\/strong><\/span>: Baker in Washington still for me. \u00a0Yes Maddon will get some love, but Baker&#8217;s going to improve the Nats by 13 wins; the Cubs were widely expected to get to 100 wins. \u00a0Maybe Roberts in LA gets some love too. \u00a0Honestly this is the award i&#8217;m least confident in guessing.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Running Diary of Awards candidates.<\/p>\n<p>End of April; Here&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/m.mlb.com\/awards\/history-winners\/?award_id=ALPOM\">MLB&#8217;s players of the month link<\/a>.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">MVP<\/span><\/strong> : Manny Machado and Bryce Harper had fantastic months.\u00a0 Names also in the mix early in 2016: Dexter Fowler, Nolan Arenado, Josh Donaldson.<\/li>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Cy Young<\/span><\/strong>: Jordan Zimmermann and Jake Arrieta, picking up right where he left off.\u00a0 Also off to great starts: Chris Sale, Stephen Strasburg and Noah Snydergaard.<\/li>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Rookie<\/span><\/strong>: Nomar Mazara and Trevor Story.\u00a0 Also in the mix: Kenta Maeda, Aledmys Diaz, Vincent Velasquez.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Mid May Check-in:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">MVP<\/span><\/strong> : Jose Altuve now in the lead in the AL.\u00a0 Machado and Mike Trout in the mix.\u00a0 In the NL Harper has tailed off, opening the door for Clayton Kershaw and Anthony Rizzo to nose their way into the discussion.\u00a0 Arenado also tailed off a bit in May but still strong.<br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Cy Young<\/span><\/strong>: Sale has won his first 9 starts and looks unbeatable; Zimmermann has taken a step back in the AL race.\u00a0 In the NL, Kershaw remains the class of the league and the likes of Arrieta and Strasburg stay close behind.<\/li>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Rookie<\/span><\/strong>: Nomar Mazara leading the way in the AL: Twins 1B Byung Ho Park close behind.\u00a0 In the NL, Diaz is also an MVP candidate right now and remains in the NL ROY lead.\u00a0 Story&#8217;s &#8220;storybook&#8221; start keeps him close.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Half-way point of the season:\u00a0<strong>Cliff Corcoran&#8217;s\u00a0<\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.si.com\/mlb\/2016\/07\/07\/awards-watch-midseason-first-half-mvp-cy-young-rookie-of-the-year\">First half Awards<\/a>, \u00a0<strong>Jeff Passan<\/strong>&#8216;s <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.yahoo.com\/news\/first-half-mlb-awards-trout-kershaw-leading-the-way-again-015509439.html\">mid-way awards article<\/a>. \u00a0The Ringer&#8217;s\u00a0<strong>Mike Baumann<\/strong>&#8216;s <a href=\"https:\/\/theringer.com\/2016-mlb-midseason-mvp-awards-the-lineup-634b904ee3ac#.6b814hqal\">mid-season awards post<\/a>.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">AL MVP<\/span><\/strong> : Jose Altuve has cooled slightly, leaving last year&#8217;s 1-2 finishers Trout and Donaldson in the lead again this year. \u00a0But if Altuve continues to produce at these levels (with slash lines nearly identical to Trout&#8217;s) he&#8217;ll win as long as Houston stays in the playoff hunt.\u00a0 And once again, Trout finds himself leading the league in value-based stats while playing for a dead-last team, and once again he likely finishes 2nd to someone like Donaldson, who has a good but not as good of a season but plays for a winner. \u00a0Ortiz&#8217;s monster farewell season gets him top 5 votes.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL MVP<\/strong><\/span>: Harper has never regained his bat since the walk-a-thon in Chicago, and with a lack of any other candidate it seems ripe for another\u00a0Kershaw double. \u00a0He&#8217;s hit the D\/L though, having some wonder if the likes of Kris Bryant could get the award since he&#8217;s the best player on (one of the) best teams. \u00a0Matt Carpenter is quietly having a fantastic season. \u00a0If the Giants (as of the halfway point owning a better record), then their leader\u00a0Buster Posey will get votes.<\/li>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">AL Cy Young<\/span><\/strong>: Sale has started the season 14-2 and Cleveland&#8217;s entire rotation (led by Danny Salazar) sits among various league leader categories.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL Cy Young<\/strong><\/span>: Kershaw remains the class of the league and needs to miss significant time to lose out. \u00a0Its hard to fathom the season he&#8217;s having, with just 9 walks in 121 innings in the first half. \u00a0Strasburg is the first NL starter in 100 years to start a season 12-0 and seems like the likely 2nd place finisher. \u00a0But there&#8217;s a slew of NL starters with sterling numbers right now: Bumgarner and Cueto in particular. \u00a0NL East beasts Snydergaard and Fernandez have been awesome as well.<\/li>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">AL Rookie<\/span><\/strong>: Nomar Mazara\u00a0has tailed off and Park got demoted to AAA; the leader in the \u00a0clubhouse seems like Detroit starter Michael Fulmer right now. \u00a0Tyler Naquin is in the running, and Baltimore&#8217;s\u00a0Hyun Soo Kim is there as well.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL Rookie<\/strong><\/span>: Diaz and Story are still on the whole having great seasons but Dodger SS Corey Seager is running away with this and could hit 30 homers from the shortstop position this year. \u00a0Don&#8217;t sleep on Seager&#8217;s teammmate Kenta Maeda though; he&#8217;s rebounded from a rough patch to be a solid starter.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>AL Manager<\/strong><\/span>: probably Jeff Bannister for the turnaround in Texas. \u00a0Perhaps Terry Franconia for the surprise in Cleveland.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL Manager<\/strong><\/span>: likely our own Baker for having the Nats on a 96 win pace, which would beat 2015 by 13 games. \u00a0But likely it goes to Bochy or Madden for leading good teams to good records.<\/li>\n<li>Comeback Player of the year: I have nothing narrative-driven for either league. \u00a0Maybe Stephen Wright in the AL and maybe Anthony Rendon in the NL?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Mid August check in:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">AL MVP<\/span><\/strong> :\u00a0I think it goes Altuve-Trout-Donaldson at this point. \u00a0Betts and Machado fill out the top 5.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL MVP<\/strong><\/span>: With Kershaw&#8217;s injury, I think its Kris Bryant&#8217;s to lose. \u00a0Daniel Murphy gets some top 5 votes, as does Buster Posey and Nolan Arenado.<\/li>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">AL Cy Young<\/span><\/strong>: Hamels and Quintana seem like the obvious choices, even if Fulmer is leading the league in bWAR.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL Cy Young<\/strong><\/span>:\u00a0Kershaw&#8217;s injury has opened the door for a slew of guys: Bumgarner, Scherzer and Strasburg, deGrom and Arrieta. \u00a0Who knows how it shakes out. \u00a0If Strasburg finishes the season 21-3 though, it&#8217;ll be hard to vote against him.<\/li>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">AL Rookie<\/span><\/strong>: Michael Fulmer leads the AL in bWAR midway through August; he seems like a shoe-in for ROY. \u00a0And he&#8217;s crushed it for my fantasy team too; that Cespedes trade isn&#8217;t looking so hot now is it?<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL Rookie<\/strong><\/span>: Seager\u00a0sits 3rd in the NL in bWAR; he has to be the unanimous vote right now.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>AL Manager<\/strong><\/span>:\u00a0Franconia in Cleveland.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL Manager<\/strong><\/span>: Baker in Washington.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Mid September check-in:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">AL MVP<\/span><\/strong> : Its tight: Trout has now eclipsed 10 WAR on the season. \u00a0Altuve has dropped out, but Betts has risen. \u00a0Its going to be close, but I think it goes Betts-Trout-Donaldson with Machado and Altuve filling out the top 5. \u00a0You have to think Ortiz&#8217;s monster farewell season will get some votes too.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL MVP<\/strong><\/span>: This is now\u00a0Bryant&#8217;s to lose. \u00a0Daniel Murphy gets some top 5 votes, as does Buster Posey and Corey Seager. \u00a0Anthony Rizzo also gets some MVP votes, and if the Mets somehow sneak into the playoffs so does\u00a0Cespedes on narrative. \u00a0Freddie Freeman getting some attention with his monster WAR season but he&#8217;ll be a 5th-place type vote getter at best.<\/li>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">AL Cy Young<\/span><\/strong>: this race is wide open. \u00a0Kluber leads the league in bWAR but may not be the best pitcher on his staff. \u00a0Porcello has reached 20 wins but is vastly eclipsed by Kluber in terms of Ks. \u00a0Sale, Quintana in the mix, as is Verlander. \u00a0Tanaka has quietly had a solid season too. \u00a0Some narrative-driven writers are pushing for Zach Britton.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL Cy Young<\/strong><\/span>:\u00a0Kershaw&#8217;s injury has opened the door for a slew of guys:\u00a0Scherzer probably has the combination of wins, IPs, Ks to be the &#8220;leader&#8221; even if he&#8217;s eclipsed in WAR by Fernandez, Snydergaard. \u00a0Lester, Cueto and Hendricks also each have cases. \u00a0This could be a completely wide-open race. \u00a0I wrote most of this before the tragic death of Fernandez; will he now win out of sentimentality?<\/li>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">AL Rookie<\/span><\/strong>: Michael Fulmer was a shoe-in until Gary Sanchez hit 20 homers in his first 45 games; this race is closer than you might think. \u00a0Fulmer really should get it, but the NY media narrative game is strong.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL Rookie<\/strong><\/span>: Seager\u00a0is in the MVP discussion and should win unanimously. \u00a0Trea Turner&#8217;s probably top 3, as is Seager&#8217;s japanese teammate Maeda.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>AL Manager<\/strong><\/span>: No idea how this goes: maybe Franconia in Cleveland still? \u00a0Perhaps Girardi for having the Yankees in the WC mix after their sell-off? \u00a0Maybe John Ferrell for getting Boston&#8217;s act back together? \u00a0Maybe Bannister in Texas for running away with a division that most thought Houston would win?<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>NL Manager<\/strong><\/span>: Baker in Washington still for me. \u00a0Yes Maddon will get some love, but Baker&#8217;s going to improve the Nats by 13 wins; the Cubs were widely expected to get to 100 wins. \u00a0Maybe Roberts in LA gets some love too.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Quick break from Nats off-season stuff to talk about the &#8220;silly season&#8221; of baseball. \u00a0Its awards week, with all the major BBWAA awards to be given out this week. Here&#8217;s my predictions for how the awards will go. \u00a0This is not necessarily how I believe the awards should go &#8230; once again, I think narrative [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2667],"tags":[3308,185,593,1687,164,1046,3360,1169,426,2096,1957,2594,1859,2025,604,605,2903,845,187,3362,2653,2329,2975,442,1395,419,890,221,43,2562,1886,1335,2046,44,1597,1776,2912,894,1753,1183,1037,3303,3356,3361,456,3354,2326,1947,3357,266,38,3363,248,2426,3307,3358,3359,393,3355],"class_list":["post-12186","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-awards","tag-aledmys-diaz","tag-anthony-rendon","tag-anthony-rizzo","tag-bruce-bochy","tag-bryce-harper","tag-buster-posey","tag-byung-ho-park","tag-chris-sale","tag-clayton-kershaw","tag-cliff-corcoran","tag-corey-kluber","tag-corey-seager","tag-daniel-murphy","tag-danny-salazar","tag-dave-roberts","tag-david-ortiz","tag-dexter-fowler","tag-dusty-baker","tag-freddie-freeman","tag-hyun-soo-kim","tag-jacob-degrom","tag-jake-arrieta","tag-jeff-bannister","tag-jeff-passan","tag-joe-girardi","tag-joe-maddon","tag-johnny-cueto","tag-jon-lester","tag-jordan-zimmermann","tag-jose-altuve","tag-jose-fernandez","tag-jose-quintana","tag-josh-donaldson","tag-justin-verlander","tag-kenta-maeda","tag-kris-bryant","tag-kyle-hendricks","tag-madison-bumgarner","tag-manny-machado","tag-matt-carpenter","tag-max-scherzer","tag-michael-fulmer","tag-michael-sanchez","tag-mike-baumann","tag-mike-trout","tag-mookie-betts","tag-noah-snydergaard","tag-nolan-arenado","tag-nomar-mazara","tag-rick-porcello","tag-stephen-strasburg","tag-stephen-wright","tag-terry-franconia","tag-trea-turner","tag-trevor-story","tag-tyler-naquin","tag-vincent-velasquez","tag-yoenis-cespedes","tag-zack-britton"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12186","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12186"}],"version-history":[{"count":31,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12186\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13225,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12186\/revisions\/13225"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12186"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12186"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12186"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}