{"id":12294,"date":"2016-06-02T12:24:00","date_gmt":"2016-06-02T16:24:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=12294"},"modified":"2016-06-08T10:12:54","modified_gmt":"2016-06-08T14:12:54","slug":"cws-2016-field-fo-64-announced-with-regional-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=12294","title":{"rendered":"CWS 2016: Field fo 64 announced with Regional predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Its that time of year again; Its College Baseball playoff season!<\/p>\n<p>On 5\/29\/16, a day before the entire field was announced, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.d1baseball.com\/postseason\/2016-ncaa-regional-host-sites\/\">16 Regional hosts were announced<\/a>.\u00a0 These are also the top 16 seeds (though they only acknowledge the top 8 &#8220;national seeds&#8221;).\u00a0 The following day, the entire field was announced.\u00a0 Here&#8217;s a look at the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/interactive-bracket\/baseball\/d1\/2016\">16 regional tournaments<\/a> with some quickie thoughts.<\/p>\n<p>Each of these 4-team sets is listed in the &#8220;seed&#8221; in the regional, starting with the host:<\/p>\n<p>1. <strong>Florida<\/strong>, Georgia Tech, UConn, Bethune-Cookman: hard to see the #1 overall seed and presumptive favorite all year lose at this stage.<br \/>\n16. <strong>Florida State<\/strong>, Southern Miss, South Alabama, Alabama State: Some think there&#8217;s an upset possible here, since both Southern Miss and South Alabama are tough; I still think Fla State can power its way through here.<\/p>\n<p>If seeds hold, Florida meets Florida State for a fun intra-state tourney.\u00a0 They&#8217;ve played three mid-week games this season with Florida sweeping them all, so odds are that Florida is making Omaha.<\/p>\n<p>2. <strong>Louisville<\/strong>, Ohio State, Wright State, Western Michigan: Ohio State as your 2-seed isn&#8217;t scaring anyone.<br \/>\n15. <strong>Vanderbilt<\/strong>, UC Santa Barbara, Washington, Xavier: Not really much of a challenge for Vanderbilt in this regional; not even another top-25 team.<\/p>\n<p>If seeds hold, yet another <del>intra-state<\/del> repeat super-regional matchup between these two teams, and a pretty tough draw for Louisville if it happens.\u00a0 Vanderbilt is better than a #15 seed and this match-up seems like its forced to save a few dollars in travel costs; both of these teams are legitimate Omaha threats, with Vanderbilt having made the final in both of the last two seasons.<\/p>\n<p>3. <strong>Miami<\/strong>, Florida Atlantic, Long Beach State, Stetson: Miami and Florida Atlantic split a couple of mid-week games; they have a dangerous Long Beach State as a #3 seed.\u00a0 tough regional.<br \/>\n14. <strong>Ole Miss<\/strong>, Tulane, Boston College, Utah: Ole Miss will have its hands full with Tulane but should advance.<\/p>\n<p>If seeds hold, Ole Miss gets a tough assignment going to Miami, but Miami should prevail.<\/p>\n<p>4. <strong>Texas A&amp;M<\/strong>, Minnesota, Wake Forest, Binghamton: wow, Minnesota as your #2 seed?\u00a0 Tough regional you laid out there for TAMU this year.<br \/>\n13. <strong>TCU<\/strong>, Arizona State, Gonzaga, Orel Roberts: I don&#8217;t trust any of the Pac-12 teams this year; TCU should prevail.<\/p>\n<p>If seeds hold, yet another manufactured super regional of local teams.\u00a0 They didn&#8217;t play mid-week this season.\u00a0 This could be a good series; some think TAMU is the beat team in the land.<\/p>\n<p>5. <strong>Texas Tech<\/strong>, Dallas Baptist, New Mexico, Fairfield: shouldn&#8217;t be too tough for newcomer Texas Tech.<br \/>\n12. <strong>UVA<\/strong>, Bryant, ECU, William &amp; Mary: well, UVA got kind of short changed here; Bryant isn&#8217;t tough but ECU can be.\u00a0 They can&#8217;t be happy about seeing in-state rival W&amp;M either.\u00a0 They dodged a bullet with a weaker #2 seed though.<\/p>\n<p>If seeds hold, Texas Tech-UVA is super close; they&#8217;re #6 and #7 in d1baseball&#8217;s latest poll.\u00a0 I know nothing of Texas Tech but know UVA has played great as of late, has two 1st round talents and could be a tough out.<\/p>\n<p>6. <strong>Mississippi State<\/strong>, Cal-State Fullerton, Louisiana Tech, Southeast Missouri State; Mississippi State should cruise here: Fullerton looks tough on paper but can come up short in the playoffs.<br \/>\n11. <strong>Louisiana-Lafayette<\/strong>, Arizona, Sam Houston State, Princeton: some upset potential here if you trust any Pac-12 teams.<\/p>\n<p>If seeds hold, hard to see Mississippi State (ranked #3 in d1baseball&#8217;s latest poll) losing.<\/p>\n<p>7. <strong>Clemson<\/strong>, Oklahoma State, Nebraska, Western Carolina: Clemson will be favored but will struggle with OK State.<br \/>\n10. <strong>South Carolina<\/strong>, UNC-Wilmington, Duke, Rhode Island; tough regional for South Carolina; Duke is no slouch and Wilmington is tough.<\/p>\n<p>If seeds hold (and sensing a pattern here), another intra-state superregional.\u00a0 Clemson-South Carolina would be fun.<\/p>\n<p>8. <strong>LSU, <\/strong>Rice, Southeastern LA, Utah Valley: hard to see LSU getting stressed here: Rice always underperforms in the post-season.<br \/>\n9. <strong>NC State<\/strong>, Coastal Carolina, St. Marys, Navy: tough blow for Coastal, which apparently went from just missing being a regional host to having to travel to tough ACC competitor NC State.\u00a0 Meanwhile, NC State probably has the hardest regional of them all, with Navy&#8217;s pre-season all-american <strong>Luke Gillingham<\/strong> set to go in game 1.<\/p>\n<p>If seeds hold, LSU-NC State could be a barn burner.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Easiest Regionals<\/strong>: I&#8217;d go with TAMU, Florida, Louisville.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Hardest Regionals<\/strong>: NC State, South Carolina, UVA.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>My Omaha predictions right now:<\/strong> <\/span>Florida, Louisville, Miami, TAMU, UVA, Mississippi State, South Carolina, LSU.\u00a0 A lot of chalk there.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Snubs<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>North Carolina.\u00a0 A top 20 team by RPI but yet again finishes with a sub-par, sub-.500 record in ACC play and gets left out.\u00a0 10 other ACC teams made the tournament, making college baseball more and more of an ACC-SEC affair, but not having a top 20 team by the same <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/rankings\/baseball\/d1\/rpi\">RPI factors<\/a> that clearly drove both the regional host selections and the at-large teams really is kind of hypocritical.\u00a0 Why not just tell teams at the beginning of the year, &#8220;if you don&#8217;t finish .500 in conference play you will not be selected.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The college podcasts listed a few other snubs like Kent State and PAC-12 teams Oregon and\/or Oregon State, but for me it starts and ends with UNC.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Marquee Draft-related players to watch<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>I won&#8217;t go through all 64 teams, but here&#8217;s some of the more interesting names to keep an eye on:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>#1 Florida has likely #1 overall pick <strong>A.J. Puk<\/strong>, but their &#8220;other&#8221; Ace starter <strong>Logan Shore<\/strong> is also a likely 1st or 2nd round pick.\u00a0 Also a likely high pick is OF <strong>Buddy Reed<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>#2 seed Louisville is led by likely top-5 pick <strong>Corey Ray<\/strong> and has two big arms you&#8217;ll hear mentioned on draft day (<strong>Zach Burdi <\/strong>and <strong>Kyle Funkhouser<\/strong>).<\/li>\n<li>Miami&#8217;s <strong>Zach Collins<\/strong> is probably the first catcher off the board.<\/li>\n<li>UVA is led by <strong>Conner Jones<\/strong> and <strong>Matt Thaiss<\/strong>, both likely 1st rounders.<\/li>\n<li>Mississippi State&#8217;s ace is <strong>Dakota Hudson<\/strong>, likely the 2nd or 3rd college arm drafted.<\/li>\n<li>Vanderbilt is led by 1st rounder <strong>Jordan Sheffield<\/strong> and in the field by likely 2nd rounder <strong>Bryan Reynolds<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>Boston College&#8217;s staff is led by likely 1st rounder <strong>Justin Dunn.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Wake Forest&#8217;s <strong>Will Craig<\/strong> is one of the top sluggers in the nation, on the leader boards for both average and home runs.<\/li>\n<li>UConn&#8217;s <strong>Anthony Kay<\/strong> will make life difficult for Florida if he is saved for the winner&#8217;s bracket game.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Other News<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>After Texas failed to make the tourney, their long-time coach and noted arm-shredder <strong>Augie Garrido<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/sports.yahoo.com\/news\/augie-garrido-star-college-baseball-coach-texas-173141936-ncaabb.html\">stepped down to take an administrative job<\/a>.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">College CWS tournament references<\/span><\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>d1baseball.com&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.d1baseball.com\/daily\/today.htm\">daily scoreboard<\/a> is my go-to link<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/college\/regionals-roundup\/\">Baseball America&#8217;s Regional Roundup<\/a><\/li>\n<li>d1baseball&#8217;s tournament Post season Index<\/li>\n<li>d1baseball.com&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.d1baseball.com\/postseason\/2016-ncaa-regionals-scheduleresults\/\">Regional Schedule Home Page<\/a><\/li>\n<li>d1baseball&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.d1baseball.com\/postseason\/2016-ncaa-regionals-scheduleresults\/\">Regional participant information<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.collegebaseballdaily.com\/\">CollegeBaseballDaily.com<\/a> has coverage as well.<\/li>\n<li>Ncaa.com&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/interactive-bracket\/baseball\/d1\">interactive full 64-team bracket<\/a><\/li>\n<li>NCAA <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/baseball\/d1\/current\/individual\/200\">Individual player stats<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Warren Nolan.com&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.warrennolan.com\/baseball\/2016\/index\">College Baseball RPI<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Its that time of year again; Its College Baseball playoff season! On 5\/29\/16, a day before the entire field was announced, the 16 Regional hosts were announced.\u00a0 These are also the top 16 seeds (though they only acknowledge the top 8 &#8220;national seeds&#8221;).\u00a0 The following day, the entire field was announced.\u00a0 Here&#8217;s a look at [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,9],"tags":[2906,3162,2870,3159,3115,2346,3157,3158,3160,2620,3154,3063,1016,3161,3155,3156],"class_list":["post-12294","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-college","category-draft","tag-aj-puk","tag-anthony-kay","tag-augie-garrido","tag-bryan-reynolds","tag-buddy-reed","tag-connor-jones","tag-dakota-hudson","tag-jordan-sheffield","tag-justin-dunn","tag-kyle-funkhouser","tag-logan-shore","tag-matt-thaiss","tag-todd-boss","tag-will-craig","tag-zach-burdi","tag-zach-collins"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12294","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12294"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12294\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12428,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12294\/revisions\/12428"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12294"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12294"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12294"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}