{"id":13493,"date":"2017-02-27T20:54:42","date_gmt":"2017-02-28T01:54:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=13493"},"modified":"2017-02-27T20:54:42","modified_gmt":"2017-02-28T01:54:42","slug":"take-a-guess-how-much-salary-the-nats-have-deferred-at-this-point","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=13493","title":{"rendered":"Take a guess how much salary the Nats have Deferred at this point?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_13507\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/MurphyDaniel-swinging-via-mlb.com_.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-13507\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-13507\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-13507\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/MurphyDaniel-swinging-via-mlb.com_-300x169.jpg\" alt=\"Even Murphy deferred some salary.. (AP Photo\/John Raoux)\" width=\"300\" height=\"169\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/MurphyDaniel-swinging-via-mlb.com_-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/MurphyDaniel-swinging-via-mlb.com_-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/MurphyDaniel-swinging-via-mlb.com_-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/MurphyDaniel-swinging-via-mlb.com_.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-13507\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Even Murphy deferred some salary.. (AP Photo\/John Raoux)<\/p><\/div>\n<p>So, I was kind of wondering the other day, &#8220;how much salary has this team deferred at this point?&#8221; \u00a0And, from the comments on the last article, others are wondering the same. \u00a0So lets play a little game; take a quick guess as to the aggregate amount of salary the Nats have kicked down the road to this point before reading on.<\/p>\n<p>Digging through <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseballprospectus.com\/compensation\/cots\/national-league\/washington-nationals\/\">Cots&#8217; website<\/a> looking for details, here&#8217;s what I discovered in terms of Nats players currently under contract and their deferral terms:<\/p>\n\n<table id=\"tablepress-32\" class=\"tablepress tablepress-id-32\">\n<thead>\n<tr class=\"row-1\">\n\t<th class=\"column-1\">Player<\/th><th class=\"column-2\">Main Contract Details<\/th><th class=\"column-3\">Deferred Pmt Details<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody class=\"row-striping row-hover\">\n<tr class=\"row-2\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Werth, Jayson<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">7 yr\/$126M (11-17)<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Deferred $10M to 2018 w\/ 5% interest<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-3\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Scherzer, Max<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">7yr\/$210M (15-21)<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">2019-21 salaries ($105M) deferred without interest, to be paid in seven $15M installments each July 1 from 2022 to 2028<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-4\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Strasburg, Stephen<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">7yr\/$175M (17-23)<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">$70M deferred without interest ($30M in 2019, $10M in 2020, $30M in 2023), paid in seven $10M installments each July 1, 2024-30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-5\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Murphy, Daniel<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">3yr\/$37.5M (16-18)<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">$5.5M of 2018 salary is deferred without interest, to be paid in installments of $2.5M on 1\/15\/19 and $3M on 1\/15\/20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-6\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Wieters, Matt<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">1yr\/$5.5M (17)<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">$5M in salary is deferred, to be paid in 2021<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-7\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Lind, Adam<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">1 year\/$1.5M (2017)<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">$500k buyout of mutual 2018 option<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<!-- #tablepress-32 from cache -->\n<p>I&#8217;m not sure I was even aware that the team deferred\u00a0<strong>Daniel Murphy<\/strong>&#8216;s salary until I saw it in print. \u00a0I also included FWIW the nominal $500k buyout of\u00a0<strong>Adam Lind<\/strong>&#8216;s mutual option as a &#8220;future&#8221; payment just for completion.<\/p>\n<p>So, how do these payments look going forward? \u00a0here&#8217;s a quick look at the next 14 years or so of deferred payments:<\/p>\n\n<table id=\"tablepress-34\" class=\"tablepress tablepress-id-34\">\n<thead>\n<tr class=\"row-1\">\n\t<th class=\"column-1\">Player<\/th><th class=\"column-2\">2017<\/th><th class=\"column-3\">2018<\/th><th class=\"column-4\">2019<\/th><th class=\"column-5\">2020<\/th><th class=\"column-6\">2021<\/th><th class=\"column-7\">2022<\/th><th class=\"column-8\">2023<\/th><td class=\"column-9\"><\/td><td class=\"column-10\"><\/td><td class=\"column-11\"><\/td><td class=\"column-12\"><\/td><td class=\"column-13\"><\/td><td class=\"column-14\"><\/td><td class=\"column-15\"><\/td><td class=\"column-16\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody class=\"row-striping row-hover\">\n<tr class=\"row-2\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Werth, Jayson<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">10000000<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-9\"><\/td><td class=\"column-10\"><\/td><td class=\"column-11\"><\/td><td class=\"column-12\"><\/td><td class=\"column-13\"><\/td><td class=\"column-14\"><\/td><td class=\"column-15\"><\/td><td class=\"column-16\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-3\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Scherzer, Max<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">15000000<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">15000000<\/td><td class=\"column-9\"><\/td><td class=\"column-10\"><\/td><td class=\"column-11\"><\/td><td class=\"column-12\"><\/td><td class=\"column-13\"><\/td><td class=\"column-14\"><\/td><td class=\"column-15\"><\/td><td class=\"column-16\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-4\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Strasburg, Stephen<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-9\"><\/td><td class=\"column-10\"><\/td><td class=\"column-11\"><\/td><td class=\"column-12\"><\/td><td class=\"column-13\"><\/td><td class=\"column-14\"><\/td><td class=\"column-15\"><\/td><td class=\"column-16\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-5\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Murphy, Daniel<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">2500000<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">3000000<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-9\"><\/td><td class=\"column-10\"><\/td><td class=\"column-11\"><\/td><td class=\"column-12\"><\/td><td class=\"column-13\"><\/td><td class=\"column-14\"><\/td><td class=\"column-15\"><\/td><td class=\"column-16\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-6\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Wieters, Matt<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">5000000<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-9\"><\/td><td class=\"column-10\"><\/td><td class=\"column-11\"><\/td><td class=\"column-12\"><\/td><td class=\"column-13\"><\/td><td class=\"column-14\"><\/td><td class=\"column-15\"><\/td><td class=\"column-16\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-7\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Lind, Adam<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">500000<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-9\"><\/td><td class=\"column-10\"><\/td><td class=\"column-11\"><\/td><td class=\"column-12\"><\/td><td class=\"column-13\"><\/td><td class=\"column-14\"><\/td><td class=\"column-15\"><\/td><td class=\"column-16\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-8\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\"><\/td><td class=\"column-2\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">10500000<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">2500000<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">3000000<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">5000000<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">15000000<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">15000000<\/td><td class=\"column-9\"><\/td><td class=\"column-10\"><\/td><td class=\"column-11\"><\/td><td class=\"column-12\"><\/td><td class=\"column-13\"><\/td><td class=\"column-14\"><\/td><td class=\"column-15\"><\/td><td class=\"column-16\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<!-- #tablepress-34 from cache -->\n\n<table id=\"tablepress-35\" class=\"tablepress tablepress-id-35\">\n<thead>\n<tr class=\"row-1\">\n\t<th class=\"column-1\">Player<\/th><th class=\"column-2\">2024<\/th><th class=\"column-3\">2025<\/th><th class=\"column-4\">2026<\/th><th class=\"column-5\">2027<\/th><th class=\"column-6\">2028<\/th><th class=\"column-7\">2028<\/th><th class=\"column-8\">2028<\/th><th class=\"column-9\">Total<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody class=\"row-striping row-hover\">\n<tr class=\"row-2\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Werth, Jayson<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-3\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Scherzer, Max<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">15000000<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">15000000<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">15000000<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">15000000<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">15000000<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-9\">75000000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-4\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Strasburg, Stephen<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">10000000<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">10000000<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">10000000<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">10000000<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">10000000<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">10000000<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">10000000<\/td><td class=\"column-9\">70000000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-5\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Murphy, Daniel<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-6\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Wieters, Matt<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-7\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">Lind, Adam<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">0<\/td><td class=\"column-9\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-8\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\"><\/td><td class=\"column-2\">25000000<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">25000000<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">25000000<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">25000000<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">25000000<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">10000000<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">10000000<\/td><td class=\"column-9\">145000000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<!-- #tablepress-35 from cache -->\n<p>Since those two tables may not be easy to follow, here&#8217;s the answer: <strong>$196,000,000 in total deferred salary over the next 14 years<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s how it breaks down year over year:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>2017: nothing or this year; all our roughly $152M in payroll for this year (current dollars) is for players, this year.<\/li>\n<li>2018:\u00a0<strong>Jayson Werth<\/strong>&#8216;s $10M from last year plus Lind&#8217;s $500k buyout.<\/li>\n<li>2019 and 2020:\u00a0Murphy&#8217;s $5.5M total deferred salary, split between the two years.<\/li>\n<li>2021:\u00a0<strong>Matt Wieter<\/strong>s&#8217; $5M of 2017 salary deferral comes due.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>That&#8217;s all chump change compared to what&#8217;s coming up after that:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>2022, 2023: $15M each year for the beginning of\u00a0<strong>Max Scherzer<\/strong>&#8216;s deferred payments.<\/li>\n<li>2024-2028: $25M each year for both Scherzer&#8217;s and\u00a0<strong>Stephen Strasburg<\/strong>&#8216;s deferred payments.<\/li>\n<li>2029, 2030: Scherzer&#8217;s payments drop off, leaving just Strasburg&#8217;s $10M\/year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>$196M total, and five straight years of $25M right off the top going to deferred payments. \u00a0Now, there is a silver lining in that Scherzer&#8217;s *entire* 2019, 2020 and 2021 salaries are deferred, leaving roughly $30M each year unspent and thus allowing the team to (in theory) use those dollars in those years to augment the roster. \u00a0And the same happens for Strasburg&#8217;s deferred salary; his entire 2019 salary of $30M is deferred in 2019 and again in 2019, meaning that the team should have use of those dollars in their budget for those years. \u00a0So there&#8217;s that.<\/p>\n<p>But man, 2024-2028 better see a significant change in the financial landscape of the league, else $25M off the top of dead money could be crippling. \u00a0That&#8217;d be 1\/6th of their general payrolls that they&#8217;ve been running lately. \u00a0To put that into perspective, there&#8217;s a recurring theme about the Nats behavior this off season that seems to imply that the team isn&#8217;t willing to fork over the dollars required to buy the upgrades it needs, especially at closer. \u00a0Well, if the team is payroll strapped at $150M &#8230; what happens when $25M of that is dead money? \u00a0Is $125M going to be the new norm in those \u00a0years? \u00a0Are we assuming that the MASN RSN mess is magically going to be solved by then?<\/p>\n<p>Food for thought. \u00a0Not an issue for now &#8230; but potentially a big issue later.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So, I was kind of wondering the other day, &#8220;how much salary has this team deferred at this point?&#8221; \u00a0And, from the comments on the last article, others are wondering the same. \u00a0So lets play a little game; take a quick guess as to the aggregate amount of salary the Nats have kicked down the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[689,1859,115,2094,1037,38],"class_list":["post-13493","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-natsgeneral","tag-adam-lind","tag-daniel-murphy","tag-jayson-werth","tag-matt-wieters","tag-max-scherzer","tag-stephen-strasburg"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13493","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13493"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13493\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13510,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13493\/revisions\/13510"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13493"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13493"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13493"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}