{"id":1378,"date":"2011-05-17T15:09:32","date_gmt":"2011-05-17T19:09:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=1378"},"modified":"2011-05-17T15:20:47","modified_gmt":"2011-05-17T19:20:47","slug":"minor-league-rotations-cycle-7-goodbadinconclusive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=1378","title":{"rendered":"Minor League Rotations Cycle #7: good\/bad\/inconclusive"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_1414\" style=\"width: 204px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/peacockbrad_pennlive.com-JENNY-KANE-The-Patriot-News.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1414\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1414\" title=\"peacockbrad_pennlive.com JENNY KANE, The Patriot-News\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/peacockbrad_pennlive.com-JENNY-KANE-The-Patriot-News-194x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"194\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/peacockbrad_pennlive.com-JENNY-KANE-The-Patriot-News-194x300.jpg 194w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/05\/peacockbrad_pennlive.com-JENNY-KANE-The-Patriot-News.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 194px) 100vw, 194px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1414\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Brad Peacock won his 2nd Pitcher of the Week award after his performance on 5\/13.  Photo: Jenny Kane\/The Patriot News <\/p><\/div>\n<p>Here are the daily links from NationalsProspects, for reference below.\u00a0 I&#8217;m going to put in starter names per day review to help keep track.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <a href=\"http:\/\/nationalsprospects.com\/2011\/05\/fridays-news-notes\/\">Thursday 5\/12 game reviews<\/a> (Maya, Tatusko, Potomac off, Grace )<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/nationalsprospects.com\/2011\/05\/saturdays-news-notes-5\/\">Friday 5\/13 game reviews<\/a> (Detwiler, Peacock, Selik, Cole)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/nationalsprospects.com\/2011\/05\/sundays-news-notes-6\/\">Saturday 5\/14 game reviews<\/a> (Meyers, Harrisburg rained out, Rosenbaum, Ray )<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/nationalsprospects.com\/2011\/05\/mondays-news-notes\/\">Sunday 5\/15 game reviews<\/a> (Syracuse rain out, Roark, Clegg, Hansen)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/nationalsprospects.com\/2011\/05\/tuesdays-news-notes-5\/\">Monday 5\/16 game reviews<\/a> (Syracuse rained out DH, Harrisburg off, Holder, Jordan)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Good<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>All we can say about <strong>Brad Peacock<\/strong>&#8216;s 5\/13 outing is, &#8220;wow.&#8221;\u00a0 7IP 5H 1R 1ER 1BB 14K.\u00a0 14 Strikeouts in 7 innings and he was at 106 pitches when pulled.\u00a0 His performance earned a writeup at <a href=\"http:\/\/web.minorleaguebaseball.com\/news\/article.jsp?ymd=20110513&amp;content_id=19030718&amp;fext=.jsp&amp;vkey=news_milb&amp;partnerId=rss_was\">milb.com<\/a>, earned him a second <a href=\"http:\/\/www.masnsports.com\/byron_kerr\/2011\/05\/peacock-garners-eastern-league-player-of-week-honors.html\">pitcher of the week award<\/a> in a month, and gives him a gaudy <a href=\"http:\/\/web.minorleaguebaseball.com\/news\/article.jsp?ymd=20110513&amp;content_id=19030718&amp;fext=.jsp&amp;vkey=news_milb&amp;partnerId=rss_was\">56ks (versus only 7 walks) in 42 innings on the year<\/a>.\u00a0 He&#8217;s proving again and again to be a massive steal of a 41st round draft pick and will be pushing for a promotion soon.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Brad Meyers<\/strong> picked up right where he left off from his AA days on 5\/14, going for 7IP 4H 0R 0BB 8K.\u00a0 After a mediocre first start, this was one of the cleaner outings the AAA staff has seen this year.\u00a0 Meyers wasn&#8217;t the story of the day though: his first baseman <strong>Michael Aubrey<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dcdoubleplay.com\/20110514-michael-aubrey-4homers\/\">hit FOUR homers<\/a> in the game.<\/li>\n<li>Is it too early to call for <strong>Robbie Ray<\/strong>&#8216;s promotion?\u00a0 In his 2nd pro start on 5\/14 he was as dominant as in the first: 6IP 2H 0R 1BB 7K.\u00a0 I don&#8217;t call too many starts &#8220;great&#8221; but Ray&#8217;s got two of them in a row.\u00a0 So far, he&#8217;s looking like a fantastic piece of drafting and signing by Mike Rizzo (he was a <a href=\"https:\/\/spreadsheets.google.com\/ccc?key=0AmkEIm1TLiXQdGhVRjRfNW81SG8xRlROQ1ZxZzNfbUE&amp;hl=en#gid=0\">12th rounder HS kid<\/a> who was signed away from his college commitment to U of Arkansas for $799k last summer).\u00a0 <strong>Update<\/strong>: Ray was also named <a href=\"http:\/\/nationalsprospects.com\/2011\/05\/peacock-ray-named-pitcher-of-the-week\/\">pitcher of the week<\/a> for his start.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Mitchell Clegg <\/strong>had a redeeming start in Potomac on 5\/15: 5\u2153 IP 5H 1R 1ER 1BB 2K.\u00a0 Not dominant, but pretty clean.\u00a0 Its arguably his best start of the season.\u00a0 Good for him, because it comes at a time when Potomac is looking for someone to replace in the rotation for <strong>Solis.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Bobby Hansen<\/strong> had a nice outing on 5\/15 in Hagerstown: 7IP 4H 2R 1ER 1BB 5K.\u00a0 He&#8217;s now 5-1 on the season with decent anciliary numbers considering he&#8217;s yet to turn 22.<\/li>\n<li>Despite taking the loss, i&#8217;ll give <strong>Trevor Holder<\/strong> a &#8220;good&#8221; for his 5\/16 outing in Potomac: 8IP 6H 3R 3ER 0BB 5K.\u00a0\u00a0 Through 7 innings, he had completely shut down Fredrick to the tune of 2hits and a hit batsman on 73 pitches.\u00a0 He shouldn&#8217;t have tired in the 8th, and perhaps a reliever could have stemmed the flow of the inning, but not being there its hard to make that judgement.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bad<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Not a good outing for <strong>Ross Detwiler<\/strong> on 5\/13: 6\u2154 11H 4R 4ER 1BB 3K 2HR.\u00a0 His season era now stands at 4.76 and he&#8217;s not getting nearly the K\/9 rates that one would expect out of a guy who was threatening for a MLB rotation spot.\u00a0 He&#8217;s the worst of the 5 starters in AAA right now at a time that <strong>Brian Peacock<\/strong> is pushing for a promotion.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Cameron Selik<\/strong> isn&#8217;t experiencing the success at high-A that he did in low-A thus far, getting hammered on 5\/13 for Potomac.\u00a0 Line: 4\u2153 IP 10H 9R 8ER 1BB 4K.\u00a0 Well, at least he had 4 Ks.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tanner Roark<\/strong>&#8216;s return to AA on 5\/15 wasn&#8217;t pretty: 3\u2153 IP 10H 5R 5ER 2BB 3K.\u00a0 Lets hope he&#8217;s just rusty from whatever ailment kept him in extended spring training.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Mediocre\/Inconclusive<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Yunesky Maya<\/strong> put in a so-so start 5\/12: 7\u2153 IP 7H 4R 3ER 1BB 3K 1HR.\u00a0 A solo-homer, then a leaked run after a lead-off double in the 6th and another leadoff double led to his runs allowed.\u00a0 Maya&#8217;s lesson: don&#8217;t give up leadoff doubles, since the likelihood of them scoring is something like 85%.<\/li>\n<li>Weird night for <strong>Ryan Tatusko<\/strong> on 5\/12: he only gave up one earned run but couldn&#8217;t &#8220;get out&#8221; of the 5th inning.\u00a0 Line: 4\u2154 IP 6H 2R 1ER 2BB 3K.\u00a0 6 hits, a couple wild pitches and 2 walks conspired for his <a href=\"http:\/\/web.minorleaguebaseball.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?sid=milb&amp;t=g_log&amp;gid=2011_05_12_haraax_ricaax_1\">early hook<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>Contrary to my previous post, <strong>Matt Grace<\/strong> has NOT yet lost his rotation spot and went for Hagerstown on 5\/12.\u00a0 Result: mediocre at best.\u00a0 4\u2153 IP 7H 4R 3ER 2BB 3K.<\/li>\n<li><strong>AJ Cole<\/strong>&#8216;s second professional start on 5\/13 ended before we could really pass much judgement.\u00a0 4IP 2H 1R 1ER 2BB 4K.\u00a0\u00a0 The one run he conceded was a lead-off walk (lead off walks kill), but otherwise he was solid.\u00a0 He was lifted before the 5th, oddly.\u00a0 Was he at a pitch count limit?<\/li>\n<li><strong>Denny Rosenbaum<\/strong> had a soso night on 5\/14: 7IP 10H 4R 3ER 3BB 5K.\u00a0 Per <a href=\"http:\/\/nationalsprospects.com\/2011\/05\/last-night-in-woodbridge-27\/\">Sue Dinem&#8217;s take<\/a>, he worked his way out of jams well, and consistently got the leadoff hitter to mitigate the effects of 13 baserunners in 7 innings.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Taylor Jordan<\/strong> kept his team in the game on 5\/16, going 6IP 7H 3R 3ER 2BB 5K.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Relievers of Note and other Thoughts<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The big news of this cycle was going to be the <a href=\"http:\/\/web.minorleaguebaseball.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?t=l_trn&amp;lid=122&amp;sid=l122\">assignment<\/a> of <strong>Sammy Solis<\/strong> to Potomac on 5\/11.\u00a0 But then they immediately stuck him on the 7-day DL.\u00a0 I&#8217;m sure there&#8217;s a reason for this procedurally but it doesn&#8217;t make much sense (perhaps they want him to start traveling with the team?\u00a0 Working with Potomac&#8217;s excellent pitching coach <strong>Paul Menhart<\/strong>?)<\/li>\n<li>Perhaps 2nd biggest news item; the promotion of <strong>Cole Kimball<\/strong>, one day after <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=1387\">I called for the move<\/a> in this space.\u00a0 No word yet on the corresponding move but perhaps we&#8217;ll see a wholesale shifting upwards of our closers (<strong>Mattheus<\/strong>, <strong>Lehman<\/strong>, and <strong>Manno<\/strong>), all of whom are excelling at their various levels so far this season.<\/li>\n<li>A<a href=\"http:\/\/www.masnsports.com\/byron_kerr\/2011\/05\/pitcher-roark-recalled-to-double-a-harrisburg.html\"> slew of moves on 5\/15 <\/a>resulted in <strong>Erik Davis<\/strong> going to the DL (he limped out of his previous start)<strong>, Tanner Roark<\/strong> replacing Davis in the AA rotation, and (curiously) <strong>Ryan Tatusko<\/strong> getting promoted to AAA to replace Kimball.\u00a0 Roark more or less dominated AA last year; i&#8217;m hoping that this move is a temporary one before he moves up to the AAA rotation where he belongs (though his 5\/15 outing didn&#8217;t help his cause).\u00a0 Meanwhile, i&#8217;m guessing Davis&#8217; DL stint is just for a few days (can you make 7-day DL moves retroactive to the day they got hurt?) since AA still needs a 5th starter.\u00a0 Finally Tatusko&#8217;s promotion certainly wasn&#8217;t earned; he has an <a href=\"http:\/\/www.minorleaguebaseball.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=milb&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=519338\">ugly 5.73 ERA<\/a> and an even uglier 1.94 whip and i&#8217;m guessing is more a function of his age (he is too old for AA).\u00a0 It also may be indicative of his end as a starting pitcher in the system and he&#8217;ll be tested as a reliever in AAA.<\/li>\n<li>Is Hagerstown going to a 6-man rotation for the time being?\u00a0 I would have thought Grace would be the natural guy to make way for the Jordan return plus the Cole\/Ray promotions, but he threw on 5\/11.\u00a0 <strong>McKenzie<\/strong>&#8216;s spot was skipped in the rotation this cycle, so perhaps that is the answer.<\/li>\n<li>It may be a few days before we figure out who makes way for Solis in the Potomac rotation.\u00a0 My previous guess was either Holder or Clegg.\u00a0 I&#8217;d lean towards Clegg since Holder got so much draft bonus money.\u00a0 Perhaps a topic for the next version of this post.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Collin Balester<\/strong>&#8216;s 5\/13 outing didn&#8217;t speak well of his season: 4 batters faced, 4 unretired to put Syracuse&#8217;s game completely out of reach.\u00a0 For someone whose <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=1387\">promotion I was advocating<\/a>, this outing didn&#8217;t help his chances.<\/li>\n<li>Hagerstown reliever <strong>Matt Syndenberg<\/strong> had a nice relief outing on 5\/16, going 3 shutout innings to help extend the game into extra innings.\u00a0\u00a0 His numbers on the season aren&#8217;t great though, and this reformed starter probably needs to step it up.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Trends<\/p>\n<p>AAA trends (in rotation order)<br \/>\nMaya\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0bad,soso,soso,good,great,good,soso<br \/>\nDetwiler\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0good,good,soso,soso,bad,soso,bad<br \/>\nMeyers\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0soso,good<br \/>\nMilone\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0good,soso,soso,bad,great,good<br \/>\nStammen\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0good,soso,great,bad,soso,good<\/p>\n<p>AA Trends:<br \/>\nMartis \u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0bad,bad,soso,soso<br \/>\nRoark\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0bad<br \/>\nPeacock\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0soso,good,great,good,very good,bad,great<br \/>\nArneson\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0soso<\/p>\n<p>Rosenbaum\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0soso,good,good,soso,good,good,soso<br \/>\nClegg\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0soso,soso,soso,unbelievably bad,soso,good<br \/>\nHolder\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0soso,bad,bad,soso,soso,soso,good<br \/>\nDemny\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0good,bad,good,good,soso,soso<br \/>\nSelik\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0soso,bad<\/p>\n<p>Low-A Trends:<br \/>\nJordan\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0good,soso,good,good-&gt;dl,soso,soso<br \/>\nGrace\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0good,bad,bad,bad,good,soso,soso<br \/>\nCole\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0soso,soso<br \/>\nRay\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0great,great<br \/>\nHansen\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0soso,good,very bad,very good,soso,soso,good<\/p>\n<p>Top 3 starters deserving promotion: Peacock, Milone, Jordan<br \/>\nTop 3 starters whose jobs are in jeopardy: Martis, Grace, Detwiler<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here are the daily links from NationalsProspects, for reference below.\u00a0 I&#8217;m going to put in starter names per day review to help keep track. Thursday 5\/12 game reviews (Maya, Tatusko, Potomac off, Grace ) Friday 5\/13 game reviews (Detwiler, Peacock, Selik, Cole) Saturday 5\/14 game reviews (Meyers, Harrisburg rained out, Rosenbaum, Ray ) Sunday 5\/15 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-minorspitching","category-minorleaguerotationreviews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1378","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1378"}],"version-history":[{"count":20,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1378\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1430,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1378\/revisions\/1430"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1378"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1378"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1378"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}