{"id":13884,"date":"2017-05-30T10:01:42","date_gmt":"2017-05-30T14:01:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=13884"},"modified":"2017-05-30T10:01:42","modified_gmt":"2017-05-30T14:01:42","slug":"cws-2017-field-of-64-announced-with-regional-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=13884","title":{"rendered":"CWS 2017: Field of 64 announced with Regional predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/CWS-2017_calendar-narrow.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-13886\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-13886\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/CWS-2017_calendar-narrow.jpg\" alt=\"CWS-2017_calendar-narrow\" width=\"234\" height=\"272\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Its that time of year again; Its College Baseball playoff season!<\/p>\n<p>On 5\/28\/17, a day before the entire field was announced, the <a href=\"https:\/\/d1baseball.com\/postseason\/ncaa-announces-regional-host-sites\/\">16 Regional hosts were announced<\/a>.\u00a0 These are also the top 16 seeds (though they only acknowledge the top 8 &#8220;national seeds&#8221;).\u00a0 The following day, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.collegebaseballdaily.com\/2017\/05\/29\/2017-ncaa-baseball-bracket-released\/#more-79501\">entire field was announced<\/a>.\u00a0 Here&#8217;s a look at<span style=\"color: #000000;\"> the 16 regional tournaments w<\/span>ith some quickie thoughts.<\/p>\n<p>Each of these 4-team sets is listed in the &#8220;seed&#8221; in the regional, starting with the host. \u00a0I&#8217;ve organized them as they&#8217;ll meet in the super regionals.<\/p>\n<p>#1 Oregon State, with Nebraska, Yale and Holy Cross. \u00a0No challenges here for the #1 overall seed, which finished the season an amazing 49-4.<br \/>\n#16 Clemson, with Vanderbilt, St. Johns, UNC-Greensboro: Clemson draws the always-tough Vanderbilt, who may upset the Tigers.<\/p>\n<p>#8 Stanford, with Cal State-Fullerton, BYU, Sacramento State: tough draw for Stanford, who has a national seed for the first time in a while. \u00a0Fullerton is always a tough out.<br \/>\n#9 Long Beach State, with Texas, UCLA, San Diego State: wouldn&#8217;t be surprised to see the scrappy SDSU team make some waves here, nor would I be surprised watching Texas win this. \u00a0Texas may be one of the weaker #2 seeds, but the rest of this regional is weaker too.<\/p>\n<p>#5 Texas Tech, with Arizona, Sam Houston State, Delaware. \u00a0Texas Tech has quietly put together a monster season, and I see little to prevent them from sweeping through this regional.<br \/>\n#12 Florida State, with UCF, Auburn, Texas Tech. \u00a0We&#8217;ll get to the snubs below, but the fact that Florida State is hosting over UVA (not to mention Clemson) is kind of ridiculous.<\/p>\n<p>#4 LSU, with Southeastern LA, Rice and Texas Southern. \u00a0Odd to see Rice with a #3 seed, odder still to see SELA with a #2 seed. \u00a0LSU should breeze here.<br \/>\n#13 Southern Miss, with Mississippi State, South Alabama and Illinois-Chicago. \u00a0Tough draw for Southern Miss; Illinois-Chicago has one one of the best staffs in the country.<\/p>\n<p>#2 UNC with Florida Gulf-Coast, Michigan, Davidson. \u00a0Davidson&#8217;s first ever visit to the CWS tourney will be against\u00a0the #2 team in the land &#8230;though they&#8217;ll probably save\u00a0<strong>J.B. Bukauskas<\/strong> for the second game (likely against under-seeded Michigan). \u00a0Still, not much here to trouble UNC.<br \/>\n#15 Houston with Baylor, TAMU, Iowa. \u00a0Last team in TAMU, which did not suck in the SEC this year, probably makes this regional more interesting than Houston likely wants. \u00a0I could see either Houston or TAMU winning &#8230; but\u00a0based on Houston having kicked off their #1 starter .. i&#8217;ll go TAMU.<\/p>\n<p>#7 Louisville with Oklahoma, Xavier and Radford. \u00a0Good to see Radford representing the Commonwealth here; they&#8217;ll be two and out. \u00a0Louisville has the arms and shouldn&#8217;t be troubled by any of these teams.<br \/>\n#10 Kentucky with Indiana, NC State and Ohio. \u00a0NC State may give Kentucky a run for their money in this regional, but I don&#8217;t think they can beat them.<\/p>\n<p>#6 TCU with UVA, Dallas-Baptist and Central Connecticut. \u00a0The last time UVA got snubbed so badly, they went to a stacked UC-Irvine regional, battered\u00a0<strong>Stephen Strasburg<\/strong> in his final collegiate start, and made the CWS as a regional #3 seed. \u00a0Watch out TCU.<br \/>\n#11 Arkansas with Missouri State, Oklahoma State, Oral Roberts; I know little about any of these teams; Okla State is having a down year, Arkansas was 18-11 in the SEC West. \u00a0They&#8217;re a tough out.<\/p>\n<p>#3 Florida with South Florida, Bethune-Cookman, Marist. \u00a0Man, what an easy draw for Florida.<br \/>\n#14 Wake Forest with West Virginia, Maryland, UMBC. \u00a0Well, the West Virginia-Maryland game should be interesting; does either team have enough to beat a good Wake Forest team?<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Easiest Regionals<\/strong><\/span>: Oregon State &amp; Florida<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Hardest Regionals<\/span>:\u00a0<\/strong>TCU, Stanford<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Regional Predictions<\/span><\/strong> (in the order listed above): Oregon State, Vanderbilt, CS-Fullerton, Long Beach State, Texas Tech, Florida State, LSU, Mississippi State, UNC, TAMU, Louisville, Kentucky, UVA, Arkansas, Florida, Wake Forest.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>My Omaha predictions right now: <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">#1\u00a0Oregon State, CS-Fullerton, #5 Texas Tech, #4 LSU on one side. \u00a0 #2 UNC, #7 Louisville, UVA, #3 Florida.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">DC\/MD\/VA rooting interests<\/span><\/strong>: UVA, Maryland, UMBC, Radford, plus Virginia-born players on UNC, NC State and Wake Forest rosters.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Snubs<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>The d1baseball.com guys think the last 3 teams out (roughly, ODU, Gonzaga and UConn) were more deserving than the last three teams in (roughly Maryland, St. Johns and TAMU). \u00a0But they also admit that its nit picking to some extent. \u00a0There were 6 or so &#8220;stolen bids&#8221; when the non-favored team won a 1-bid conference tourney &#8230; leaving a lot of deserving teams on the sidelines.<\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;s some <a href=\"http:\/\/www.collegebaseballdaily.com\/2017\/05\/29\/2017-ncaa-baseball-bracket-released\/\">oddities in the draw<\/a>; too many Big10 teams, which was only the 7th ranked conference, yet the Conference USA (higher ranked) only got two teams in (this goes to the ODU snub).<\/p>\n<p>But the biggest, least defensible decision was to give Clemson the #16 seed\/last host over UVA. \u00a0UVA <a href=\"https:\/\/d1baseball.com\/team\/virginia\/\">beat Clemson 10-2 in the ACC tourney<\/a>, finished with a <a href=\"https:\/\/d1baseball.com\/conference\/atlantic-coast-conference\/\">better conference and overall record<\/a> than Clemson, and (to say nothing about Clemson&#8217;s hosting) had similar arguments for hosting versus Florida State. \u00a0Then to add insult to injury &#8230; UVA gets sent to TCU&#8217;s regional. \u00a0Did UVA piss off the committee for some reason?<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Marquee Draft-related players to watch<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>I won&#8217;t go through all 64 teams, but here&#8217;s some of the more interesting names to keep an eye on:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>#1 Oregon State&#8217;s lefty starter\u00a0<strong>Luke Heimlich<\/strong> is their main draft-eligible player this year. \u00a0He leads the nation with a 0.81 ERA on the year.<\/li>\n<li>#2 UNC&#8217;s #1 starter is\u00a0of course Ashburn&#8217;s\u00a0<strong>J.B. Bukauskas<\/strong>; he likely goes #6 overall in the draft. \u00a0They also have likely 2nd rounders\u00a0<strong>Logan Warmoth\u00a0<\/strong>and\u00a0<strong>Brian Miller<\/strong> as high-end draft prospects.<\/li>\n<li>#3 Florida&#8217;s #1 starter is\u00a0<strong>Alex Faedo<\/strong>, who is probably an upper-first round talent.<\/li>\n<li>#4 LSU is led by\u00a0<strong>Alex Lange<\/strong>, who is tied to the Nats as a lower 1st round pick.<\/li>\n<li>#7 Louisville&#8217;s star is top-5 pick\u00a0<strong>Brendan McCay<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>#8 Stanford&#8217;s top-ranked draft prospect is pitcher\u00a0<strong>Tristan Beck<\/strong>, a draft-eligible sophomore who missed the whole season with a back injury.<\/li>\n<li>#10\u00a0Kentucky has a good hitting prospect in\u00a01B\u00a0<strong>Evan White<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>#11 Arkansas is led by RHP\u00a0<strong>Blaine Knight<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>#15 Houston&#8217;s former friday starter was LHP\u00a0<strong>Seth Romero<\/strong>, kicked off the team for disciplinary purposes.<\/li>\n<li>Vanderbilt has two 1st round talents in\u00a0<strong>Kyle Wright<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>Jeren Kendall<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>UVA also has two upper 1st round players in\u00a0<strong>Pavin Smith<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>Adam Haseley.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Missouri State has big hitting 3B prospect\u00a0<strong>Jake Burger\u00a0<\/strong>(4th in the nation in Homers this year).<\/li>\n<li>UCLA is led by RHP\u00a0<strong>Griffin Canning<\/strong>, likely 2nd\/3rd rounder.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Several back of the 1st round arms listed here, many of whom are rumored to be on the Nats radar at #25. \u00a0Keep an eye on Lange, Romero, Beck (even if he isn&#8217;t playing) and maybe even Faedo if he drops that far (doubtful).<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Other News<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Defending National Champ Coastal Carolina struggled on the year and failed to make the tourney. \u00a0Miami had a relatively mediocre season and <a href=\"https:\/\/d1baseball.com\/columns\/miamis-amazing-streak-ends\/\">broke an amazing streak of 44 straight<\/a> appearances in the CWS tournament. \u00a0A light year for Virginia schools with decent teams like ODU getting snubbed, VCU getting upset in the conference tourney, Virginia Tech struggling, the three local &#8220;George&#8221; teams struggling George Mason, Georgetown, George Washington), etc.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">College CWS tournament references<\/span><\/strong>: (i&#8217;ll put more here when they get posted).<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>d1baseball.com&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.d1baseball.com\/daily\/today.htm\">daily scoreboard<\/a> is my go-to link<\/li>\n<li>d1baseball&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/d1baseball.com\/regional-tournament-central\/\">Tourney Central<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Baseball America&#8217;s\u00a0College coverage home page<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.collegebaseballdaily.com\/\">CollegeBaseballDaily.com<\/a> has coverage as well.<\/li>\n<li>Ncaa.com&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/interactive-bracket\/baseball\/d1\/2017\">interactive full 64-team bracket<\/a> for 2017<\/li>\n<li>NCAA <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/baseball\/d1\/current\/individual\/200\">Individual player stats<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Warren Nolan.com&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.warrennolan.com\/baseball\/2017\/index\">College Baseball RPI<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Its that time of year again; Its College Baseball playoff season! On 5\/28\/17, a day before the entire field was announced, the 16 Regional hosts were announced.\u00a0 These are also the top 16 seeds (though they only acknowledge the top 8 &#8220;national seeds&#8221;).\u00a0 The following day, the entire field was announced.\u00a0 Here&#8217;s a look at [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,9],"tags":[2862,3202,2844,3564,3296,3561,3563,3567,3566,3451,3295,3171,3560,3559,2571,3565,38,3562],"class_list":["post-13884","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-college","category-draft","tag-adam-haseley","tag-alex-faedo","tag-alex-lange","tag-blaine-knight","tag-brendan-mccay","tag-brian-miller","tag-evan-white","tag-griffin-canning","tag-jake-burger","tag-jb-bukauskas","tag-jeren-kendall","tag-kyle-wright","tag-logan-warmoth","tag-luke-heimlich","tag-pavin-smith","tag-seth-romero","tag-stephen-strasburg","tag-tristan-beck"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13884","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13884"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13884\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13897,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13884\/revisions\/13897"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13884"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13884"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13884"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}