{"id":15689,"date":"2019-02-20T11:44:35","date_gmt":"2019-02-20T16:44:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=15689"},"modified":"2019-02-20T11:44:35","modified_gmt":"2019-02-20T16:44:35","slug":"san-diego-your-2020-nl-west-champs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=15689","title":{"rendered":"San Diego; your 2020 NL West Champs"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Machado<\/a>

Machado states on the West coast … and should help SD make the playoffs really soon. Photo via Baltimore sun<\/p><\/div>\n

I was listening to Baseball America’s podcast this week, where they reviewed their top 30 farm system rankings, and they noted a pretty amazing stat:<\/p>\n

13 of the last 14 Farm systems they’ve ranked #1 made the playoffs within 2 seasons of being ranked #1 … and the 14th made it within 3.<\/p>\n

It was so amazing, I just had to go back and quantify it.\u00a0 Using my Minor League System Org Rankings<\/a> worksheet (which contains every ranking I can find from 2000 to present), here’s how the data stacks up:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\t\n\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t
Year<\/th>#1 ranked Farm<\/th>Major Names driving #1 Ranking<\/th>prev season record<\/th>Next make playoffs<\/th># yrs<\/th>Best playoff finish<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
2001<\/td>Chicago White Sox<\/td>Buehrle, Garland, Rowand<\/td>95-67<\/td>2005<\/td>4<\/td>WS Winner<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2002<\/td>Chicago Cubs<\/td>Prior, Wood, Zambrano<\/td>88-74<\/td>2003<\/td>1<\/td>NLCS <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2003<\/td>Cleveland<\/td>Sabathia, Lee, Sizemore<\/td>74-88<\/td>2007<\/td>4<\/td>NLCS <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2004<\/td>Milwaukee<\/td>Fielder, Hardy, Weeks<\/td>68-94<\/td>2008<\/td>4<\/td>LDS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2005<\/td>Los Angeles Angels<\/td>Weaver, Santana, Krod<\/td>92-70<\/td>2007<\/td>2<\/td>ALCS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2006<\/td>Arizona<\/td>Drew, Reynolds<\/td>77-85<\/td>2007<\/td>1<\/td>NLCS <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2007<\/td>Tampa Bay<\/td>Longoria, Upton, Garza<\/td>61-101<\/td>2008<\/td>1<\/td>WS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2008<\/td>Tampa Bay<\/td>Price, Davis<\/td>66-96<\/td>2010<\/td>2<\/td>LDS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2009<\/td>Texas<\/td>Andrus, Smoak, Feliz<\/td>79-83<\/td>2010<\/td>1<\/td>WS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2010<\/td>Tampa Bay<\/td>Moore, Cobb<\/td>84-78<\/td>2011<\/td>1<\/td>LDS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2011<\/td>Kansas City<\/td>Hosmer, Perez, Moustakas, Ventura<\/td>67-95<\/td>2014<\/td>3<\/td>WS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2012<\/td>Washington pre Trade<\/td>Harper, Rendon, Cole, Peacock<\/td>80-81<\/td>2014<\/td>2<\/td>LDS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2012<\/td>Texas <\/td>Odor, Deshields, Gallo<\/td>96-66<\/td>2015<\/td>3<\/td>LDS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2013<\/td>St. Louis<\/td>Tavares, Miller, Wacha, Martinez<\/td>88-74<\/td>2014<\/td>1<\/td>NLCS <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2014<\/td>Pittsburgh<\/td>Cole, Polanco<\/td>94-68<\/td>2015<\/td>1<\/td>NLWC<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2015<\/td>Chicago Cubs<\/td>Bryant, Soler, Baez, Schwarber<\/td>73-89<\/td>2016<\/td>1<\/td>WS Winner<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2016<\/td>Los Angeles Dodgers<\/td>Seager, Bellinger, Urias<\/td>92-70<\/td>2017<\/td>1<\/td>WS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017<\/td>Atlanta<\/td>Acuna, Swanson, Albies, Camargo<\/td>68-93<\/td>2018<\/td>1<\/td>LDS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2018<\/td>Atlanta<\/td>Acuna, Gohara, Wright, Toussant<\/td>72-90<\/td>tbd<\/td>tbd<\/td>tbd<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2019<\/td>San Diego<\/td>Tatis, Gore, Urias, Mejia<\/td>66-96<\/td>tbd<\/td>tbd<\/td>tbd<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n

Sure enough … every team who has been ranked by BA as the #1 farm system since 2005 has made the playoffs within 2 years, with the exception of Kansas City … who made it in 3 years and actually WON the World Series on the backs of their #1 rank-driving players.\u00a0 You’ll notice I put in two rankings in 2012: that was the year that the Nats were ranked #1 … then traded a ton of their depth for\u00a0Gio Gonzalez<\/strong> and got dropped 10 points in-between the time that Baseball America published their annual rankings and they posted their rankings online … so technically the Nats qualify here, but after that big trade Texas ascended to #1.<\/p>\n

Pretty amazing stat.<\/p>\n

So, with the Padres ranked #1 right now … and having just added one of the best players in the game … its a good assumption that they’re back in the playoffs just as soon as their top-end prospects matriculate.\u00a0 Do I really think they can overcome the high-spending Dodgers to actually WIN the division?\u00a0 A tougher call; they’re going to need to commit to spending what it takes (in terms of dollars or prospects) to fill holes.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I was listening to Baseball America’s podcast this week, where they reviewed their top 30 farm system rankings, and they noted a pretty amazing stat: 13 of the last 14 Farm systems they’ve ranked #1 made the playoffs within 2 seasons of being ranked #1 … and the 14th made it within 3. It was […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[385,1753],"class_list":["post-15689","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nonnatsbaseball","tag-gio-gonzalez","tag-manny-machado"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15689","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15689"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15689\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15698,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15689\/revisions\/15698"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15689"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15689"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15689"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}