{"id":15746,"date":"2019-04-15T12:52:30","date_gmt":"2019-04-15T16:52:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=15746"},"modified":"2019-05-14T13:09:21","modified_gmt":"2019-05-14T17:09:21","slug":"minor-league-rotations-good-and-bad-starts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=15746","title":{"rendered":"Minor League Rotations: Good and Bad Starts"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Voth<\/a>

Voth has looked pretty good so far. Photo mlb.com official<\/p><\/div>\n

We’re now a couple turns through the four full season minor league rotations and I thought i’d take a quick gander at what the “rotations” looked like, with some short sample size judgements as to who has come out of the gate hot or not from a stats perspective.\u00a0 I have not seen any of these games, just looking at milb.com’s stat page.\u00a0 So feel free to add in any personal opinions \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n

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AAA\/Fresno 2019<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

The rotation is looking like:\u00a0McGowin, Copeland, Voth, Espino, Alvarez<\/strong>, with Dragmire<\/strong> as a spot-starter and Joe Ross<\/strong> having been yanked up to MLB bullpen duty (replaced by Alvarez).\u00a0 Espino returns to the fold, having signed elsewhere as a MLFA a couple years back.<\/p>\n

The Bullpen is looking like:\u00a0AAdams, Rainey, Hoover, Nuno, Self, Cordero<\/strong> and Bacus<\/strong> (recently promoted to replace Austen Williams<\/strong>, himself promoted to cover for MLB injuries).<\/p>\n

Who’s hot<\/strong><\/em>: Voth and McGowin have started well out of the rotation, Voth sporting a 16\/1 K\/BB ratio and McGowin 12\/2.\u00a0 I’m liking the first start from off-season signing Copeland too.\u00a0\u00a0 In the bullpen, Adams has 5 innings, 1 hit and 11 punch outs while Hoover has yet to give up a hit (though.. he’s walked 7 guys in 6 innings).<\/p>\n

Who’s not?\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/em>Dragmire.\u00a0 In three appearances so far, he’s pitched 9\u00a0 2\/3rds innings, given up 21 hits and only struck out 3 guys.\u00a0 \u00a0Ouch.\u00a0 In the bullpen, both Rainey and Hoover have more walks than Ks so far.<\/p>\n

Who’s next guy to get the call<\/strong><\/em>?\u00a0 \u00a0Honestly, it might be time to give Adams another shot.\u00a0 His numbers merited the promotion moreso than Williams (who has the highest ERA in Fresno).\u00a0 Next time there’s a spot start you have to think Voth is putting his name first in line.<\/p>\n

Who’s getting the Axe<\/strong>?\u00a0\u00a0<\/em>Dragmire seems to be in trouble; he’s a MLFA re-signing so I can’t imagine the team has much invested in him, especially now that Alvarez and Espino are in the AAA rotation.<\/p>\n

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AA\/Harrisburg 2019<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Rotation:\u00a0Crowe, Fedde, Sharp, Mapes, Braymer*, <\/strong>with\u00a0 swingman\/spot starts by Baez <\/strong>and MSanchez<\/strong> (who we get back after having flipped him for Jimmy Cordero<\/strong> on the AAA squad).<\/p>\n

Bullpen:\u00a0Bourque,\u00a0 Brinley, Condra-Bogan, JMills*, RPena,\u00a0 Guilbeau*, ABarrett<\/strong> (Bacus already promoted).\u00a0 Great to see Barrett back here and hope he can re-contribute at the MLB level.<\/p>\n

Who’s hot<\/strong><\/em>: Crowe and Fedde in the rotation: Crowe’s given up just 6 baserunners in his first two starts, Fedde just 7.\u00a0 Mapes has an 11\/1 K\/BB ratio in his two starts.\u00a0 In the bullpen, Barrett and Condra-Bogan have been solid.<\/p>\n

Who’s not<\/strong><\/em>?\u00a0 Sterling Sharp has a 6.30 ERA through 2 starts.\u00a0 Bourque and Gilbeau have elevated whips but they’ve only thrown a handful of innings.<\/p>\n

Who’s next guy to get the call?<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0 I think Crowe may merit a promotion to AAA if he keeps this up for the rest of the month, perhaps to cover for injury or if one of our veteran guys exercises an opt-out.\u00a0 \u00a0We know Fedde is staying put to serve as the Nats 6th starter.<\/p>\n

Who’s next to get the Axe<\/strong><\/em>?\u00a0 \u00a0Nobody really; Sharp has the highest ERA but he’s a solid prospect who is in AA at age 23.\u00a0 We may have to keep an eye on Guilbeau; 2019 is his make-or-break season after two successive full seasons in high-A.<\/p>\n

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High-A\/Potomac 2019<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Rotation:\u00a0\u00a0Johnston, Borne*, Tetreault, Raquet*, MPena, LReyes<\/strong> with swingman\/spot starts by\u00a0Howard*,\u00a0 ALee<\/strong>,<\/p>\n

bullpen:\u00a0 Acevedo, Bogucki, Fuentes,\u00a0 \u00a0McKinney,\u00a0 Bartow<\/strong>,<\/p>\n

Who’s hot<\/strong><\/em>: Tetreault and perhaps Malvin Pena in the rotation, McKinney & Fuentes in the bullpen.<\/p>\n

Who’s not<\/strong><\/em>?\u00a0 Reyes’ first start was not good.\u00a0 \u00a0Bourne’s sporting a 2.31 whip so far.\u00a0 And Howard has given up 12 hits in 6 IP.<\/p>\n

Who’s next guy to get the call?\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/em>Nobody really screaming for a promotion so far; if you had to pick one of each i’d go with Tetrault and Fuentes (who is just 21 but has started great).<\/p>\n

Who’s next to get the Axe<\/strong><\/em>?\u00a0 Reyes struggled last year in AA; if he can’t get guys out this year in High-A he’s not long for the league.\u00a0 Borne missed all of 2018 but is repeating a level and is now 25; its put up or shut up time.<\/p>\n

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Low-A\/Hagerstown 2019<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Rotation:\u00a0 Alastre\/Day, Adon, Cate*\/Tapani, Irvin\/Teel*, FPeguero\/AGuillen, Strom\/Stoeckinger*<\/strong><\/p>\n

bullpen:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0German,\u00a0 Fletcher*<\/strong><\/p>\n

Lots of “tandem” starting going on, though the roles seem to have settled into the “starter” going 4-5 and the tandem guy typically going 2-3.\u00a0 So its likely at some point the tandem guys either move into starters or purely bullpen roles.<\/p>\n

Who’s hot<\/strong><\/em>: Peguero and Cate.\u00a0 Peguero has 10\/1 K\/BB in 10 IP while Cate has struck out 12 in 9.\u00a0 \u00a0Both the “relievers” in Hagerstown have been solid: German sporting 8 Ks and a 0.75 whip in 4 games, and Fletcher an even better 0.53 whip in 3 outings.<\/p>\n

Who’s not<\/strong><\/em>? Alastre; the opening day starter has 11 walks and 12 hits given up in his 12 IP of work.\u00a0 Adon’s first start was a struggle; he’ll get another crack at it tonight before passing too much judgement.<\/p>\n

Who’s next guy to get the call?\u00a0<\/strong><\/em>I’d promote Peguero and Fletcher first from each group.<\/p>\n

Who’s next to get the Axe<\/strong><\/em>?\u00a0 Alastre is only 20, but is repeating low-A with similar results to last\u00a0 year.<\/p>\n

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XST names of interest<\/p>\n

    \n
  • Where is Istler<\/strong>?\u00a0 \u00a0 He was solid in AA and even had some AAA time last year<\/li>\n
  • Where’s\u00a0Jhon Romero<\/strong>?<\/li>\n
  • Pantoja<\/strong>?\u00a0 I wonder if he’s been released as a 25yr old and we just havn’t seen it updated on milb.com yet.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    We’re now a couple turns through the four full season minor league rotations and I thought i’d take a quick gander at what the “rotations” looked like, with some short sample size judgements as to who has come out of the gate hot or not from a stats perspective.\u00a0 I have not seen any of […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[916,3882,3328,3974,2859,3620,2469,3379,1815,3333,3753,3037,3884,3874,2005,938,2425,3664,3879,2826,3215,2060,3626,3608,4030,3871,2924,3643,4033,4032,3390,2371,3988,3028,2691,3732,2885,3607,3380,3634,2138,3621,3026,3604,2658,942,2884,3889,4006,3335,3038,3986,2829,3763,3617,2936,2305,3588],"class_list":["post-15746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-minorspitching","tag-aaron-barrett","tag-aaron-fletcher","tag-aj-bogucki","tag-andrew-istler","tag-andrew-lee","tag-angel-guillen","tag-austen-williams","tag-austin-adams","tag-austin-voth","tag-ben-braymer","tag-brady-dragmire","tag-carlos-acevedo","tag-carson-teel","tag-chandler-day","tag-dakota-bacus","tag-derek-self","tag-erick-fedde","tag-francys-peguero","tag-frankie-bartow","tag-grant-borne","tag-hayden-howard","tag-henderson-alvarez","tag-jackson-stoeckinger","tag-jackson-tetreault","tag-jacob-condra-bogan","tag-jake-irvin","tag-james-bourque","tag-jeremy-mckinney","tag-jhon-romero","tag-jhonatan","tag-jimmy-cordero","tag-jj-hoover","tag-joan-adon","tag-joan-baez","tag-joe-ross","tag-jordan-mills","tag-jorge-pantoja","tag-kyle-johnston","tag-kyle-mcgowin","tag-leif-strom","tag-luis-reyes","tag-malvin-pena","tag-mario-sanchez","tag-nick-raquet","tag-paolo-espino","tag-ronald-pena","tag-ryan-brinley","tag-ryan-tapani","tag-scott-copeland","tag-sterling-sharp","tag-steven-fuentes","tag-tanner-rainey","tag-taylor-guilbeau","tag-tim-cate","tag-tomas-alastre","tag-tyler-mapes","tag-vidal-nuno","tag-wil-crowe"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15746","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15746"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15746\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15786,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15746\/revisions\/15786"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15746"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15746"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15746"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}