{"id":15883,"date":"2019-06-05T00:24:21","date_gmt":"2019-06-05T04:24:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=15883"},"modified":"2019-06-05T00:24:21","modified_gmt":"2019-06-05T04:24:21","slug":"nats-2019-draft-1st-and-2nd-day-reactions-of-top-10-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=15883","title":{"rendered":"Nats 2019 Draft: 1st and 2nd Day Reactions of top 10 picks"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_15905\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/MendozaDrew-via-the-Daily-nole.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-15905\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-15905\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-15905\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/MendozaDrew-via-the-Daily-nole-300x240.jpg\" alt=\"Mendoza is our 2nd highest 2019 pick out of FSU. Photo via the Daily Nole\" width=\"300\" height=\"240\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/MendozaDrew-via-the-Daily-nole-300x240.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/MendozaDrew-via-the-Daily-nole-768x614.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/MendozaDrew-via-the-Daily-nole.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-15905\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Mendoza is our 2nd highest 2019 pick out of FSU. Photo via the Daily Nole<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s a first look at our top 10 rounds worth of draft picks, or where we stand after day 2 of the MLB Draft.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, the mock draft pundits really nailed the top of this draft, perfectly predicting the first 7 picks.\u00a0 Starting around pick 8 though, we started to see enough surprises\/reaches that allowed the Nats to end up with a guy ranked as\u00a0 high as #12 on most pre-draft boards at the #17 pick, pretty good value all things considered.\u00a0 They also got pretty good &#8220;value&#8221; with their 3rd and 4th rounders.<\/p>\n<p>How about the Nats picks?<\/p>\n\n<table id=\"tablepress-71\" class=\"tablepress tablepress-id-71\">\n<thead>\n<tr class=\"row-1\">\n\t<th class=\"column-1\">Round<\/th><th class=\"column-2\">Overall<\/th><th class=\"column-3\">Name<\/th><th class=\"column-4\">Position<\/th><th class=\"column-5\">Col\/HS<\/th><th class=\"column-6\">College or Cmtm<\/th><th class=\"column-7\">State<\/th><th class=\"column-8\">Slot Value<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody class=\"row-striping row-hover\">\n<tr class=\"row-2\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">1<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">17<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Rutledge, Jackson<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">RHP (Starter)<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">Col J2<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">San Jacinto College North (TX<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">TX<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">3609700<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-3\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">2<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">57<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">forfeited<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">forfeited<\/td><td class=\"column-5\"><\/td><td class=\"column-6\"><\/td><td class=\"column-7\"><\/td><td class=\"column-8\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-4\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">3<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">94<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Mendoza, Drew<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">3B<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">Col Jr<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">Florida State U<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">FL<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">618200<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-5\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">4<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">124<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Cronin, Matt<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">LHP (reliever)<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">Col Jr<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">Arkansas<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">AR<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">464500<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-6\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">4comp<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">139<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">forfeited<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">forfeited<\/td><td class=\"column-5\"><\/td><td class=\"column-6\"><\/td><td class=\"column-7\"><\/td><td class=\"column-8\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-7\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">5<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">155<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Dyson, Tyler<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">RHP (starter)<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">Col Jr<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">Florida<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">FL<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">346800<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-8\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">6<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">184<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Cluff, Jackson<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">SS<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">Col So<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">BYU<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">UT<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">266000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-9\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">7<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">214<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Peterson, Todd<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">RHP (reliever)<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">Col Jr<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">LSU<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">LA<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">208200<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-10\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">8<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">244<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Ydens, Jeremy<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">OF (corner)<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">Col Jr<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">UCLA<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">CA<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">169500<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-11\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">9<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">274<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">McMahon, Hunter<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">RHP (starter)<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">Col Jr.<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">Texas State<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">TX<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">152600<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-12\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">10<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">304<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Pratt, Andrew<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">C<\/td><td class=\"column-5\">Col Sr<\/td><td class=\"column-6\">Lubbock Christian<\/td><td class=\"column-7\">TX<\/td><td class=\"column-8\">144100<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<!-- #tablepress-71 from cache -->\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Pick by Pick<\/strong><\/span>:\u00a0 I&#8217;ve included draft board rankings if they&#8217;re ranked on the main prospect ranking\u00a0sites I like (see links at bottom for the sources);<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>1st Round\/#17 overall: <b>Jackson Rutledge<\/b>, RHP from Texas Juco.\u00a0 See <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=15886\">stand-alone post on Rutledge for more<\/a>.\u00a0 Pre-draft Ranks: #15th by\u00a0<strong>Keith Law<\/strong>, 12th by MLB, 14th by Baseball America, 13th by 20\/80, 21st by Fangraphs.<\/li>\n<li>(2nd Round\/#57 overall): forfeited in the\u00a0<strong>Patrick Corbin<\/strong> signing.\u00a0 \u00a0#57 pick ended up being\u00a0<strong>Matt Gorski<\/strong>, a College Jr CF from Indiana U as selected by Pittsburgh.<\/li>\n<li>3rd Round\/#94 overall:\u00a0<strong>Drew Mendoza<\/strong>, 3B from Florida State.\u00a0 Ranks: #55 on MLBpipeline, #84 on 20\/80, #52 on Fangraphs, #75 on BA.\u00a0 Was a 1st-2nd round prospect coming out of HS, is a huge guy (6&#8217;5&#8243;).\u00a0 Left-handed hitting, big power guy.\u00a0 67\/65 K\/BB ratio in 60 college games for a <a href=\"https:\/\/seminoles.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/2019-Baseball-Stats.pdf\">gaudy slash line <\/a>of .320\/.482\/.631 with 16 homers.\u00a0 Of concern: 15 errors in 60 games at the hot corner.\u00a0 Seems like he&#8217;s headed to 1B.\u00a0 Hey, as long as he hits.\u00a0 I like the general rankings of Mendoza (50s to 70s) versus his draft spot (94), that&#8217;s almost a round worth of value.<\/li>\n<li>4th Round\/#123 overall:\u00a0<strong>Matt Cronin<\/strong>, LHP (reliever) from Arkansas.\u00a0 Ranks: #74 Keith Law, #73 MLB, #99 fangraphs, #71 BA, #72 20\/80.\u00a0 Arkansas&#8217; closer, posted 40\/14 K\/BB in 27 innings.\u00a0 .163 BAA and a WHIP just above 1.00.\u00a0 Reportedly hits 98 with little in the way of secondary pitches, so sounds like a lefty reliever all the way.\u00a0 The Nats also drafted some reliever-only guys high up in 2018 (<strong>Reid Schaller<\/strong><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>was exclusively in the bullpen in college, but then did nothing but start in short season in 2018), so it remains to be seen how he&#8217;d be used.\u00a0 As with Mendoza, lots of value here.\u00a0 He&#8217;s ranked generally in the mid 70s by nearly every pundit but lasts until #123 in the draft.<\/li>\n<li>(4th round comp\/138 overall):\u00a0also forfeited in the Corbin singing.\u00a0 Actual pick at #138 was\u00a0<strong>Darrell Hernatz<\/strong>, prep HS SS from Texas.<\/li>\n<li>5th round\/#154 overall:\u00a0<strong>Tyler Dyson<\/strong>, RHP (starter\/reliever) from Florida.\u00a0 Ranks: #123 BA, #142 MLB.\u00a0 Hard throwing but wild starter who was a pre-season All American selection .. but ended up kicked out of U-Florida&#8217;s rotation.\u00a0 It sounds to me like he&#8217;s a project; a two pitch guy who&#8217;s lost faith in one of them and thus gotten whacked around.\u00a0 With refinement of a 2nd pitch, he&#8217;s a useful bullpen guy.\u00a0 With the reclamation of a third pitch, he&#8217;s back to being an effective starter.\u00a0 He&#8217;s a 1st round talent without the 1st round consistency.\u00a0 An interesting risk pick here.<\/li>\n<li>6th round\/184 overall:\u00a0<strong>Jackson Cluff<\/strong>, SS draft-eligible Soph. from BYU.\u00a0 He&#8217;s a bit older (he missed 2 years with a Mission), hence why he&#8217;s draft eligible sophomore.\u00a0 \u00a0BA reports him has being basically a utility infielder type, able to play 2B, SS, 3B, with decent hitting and good speed (12-for-12 SBs on the\u00a0 year).\u00a0 \u00a0He is unranked by any service, making me think perhaps this is a slot-savings pick.<\/li>\n<li>7th round\/214 overall:\u00a0<strong>Todd Peterson<\/strong>, RHP reliever from LSU.\u00a0 #218 on BA.\u00a0 Reliever-only guy for LSU, sharing closer duties this year.\u00a0 BA scouting report says he&#8217;s a 2-pitch guy with some inconsistencies.<\/li>\n<li>8th round\/244 overall: <strong>Jeremy Ydens<\/strong>, corner OF for UCLA, college Jr.\u00a0 BA scouting report says he made the All Star team in the Cape Cod league last summer, broke a finger early this season and barely played.\u00a0 I wonder if he&#8217;s even signable here; slot value is $169k: I wonder if he&#8217;d roll the dice and return to school.\u00a0 That being said, basically every player taken in the top 10 rounds has a pre-selection deal verbally agreed to, so there shouldn&#8217;t be any surprises.<\/li>\n<li>9th round: 274 overall:\u00a0<strong>Hunter McMahon<\/strong>, a RHP starter for Texas State.\u00a0 He&#8217;s a RS sophomore, so this isn&#8217;t a senior slot savings pick.\u00a0 He was a weekend starter for Texas State with crummy numbers on the season, but some flashes of brilliance (a complete game with 11 Ks and 0 walks against Louisiana-Lafayatte for example).\u00a0 BA has little to no scouting on the guy.<\/li>\n<li>10th round\/304 overall:\u00a0<strong>Andrew Pratt<\/strong>, college Sr C from Lubbock Christian.\u00a0 This seems like the sole &#8220;senior slot&#8221; guy the Nats are taking and its a classic; senior from a small school with no scouting reports on any major service.\u00a0 PG notes that he was committed to New Mexico out of high school; perhaps he transferred to the smaller school to maintain eligibility.\u00a0 Kudos to saving bonus money and getting a college catcher.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>First 10 rounds worth of picks breakdown<\/strong><\/span>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>5 arms, 4 position players<\/li>\n<li>9 college (1 juco), 0 high schoolers.<\/li>\n<li>Of the 5 arms: 2 starters, 2 relievers, and one starter-dumped-to-relief arm.<\/li>\n<li>Just 1 slot-saving senior draftee; 10th round Pratt pick.<\/li>\n<li>Heavy influence from major college programs: Florida, two from Vanderbilt, Oklahoma, Arizona State, Florida State.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><\/span>: I liked the Rutledge pick, based on the run on college bats ahead of it and the selection of Rutledge over other college arms that went just after him.\u00a0 I like Mendoza, even if it seems like he&#8217;s destined for 1B.\u00a0 \u00a0Cronin &amp; Dyson seem like relievers now, but with professional coaching perhaps can make a return to the rotation (much like last year&#8217;s\u00a0<strong>Reid Schaller<\/strong>).\u00a0 \u00a0Ydens could be a good value pick, a guy who slid several rounds from his true talent thanks to hand injury this year.\u00a0 Peterson, like the other two relievers, maybe uses some coaching to improve.\u00a0 Cluff and Pratt seem like short-A utility guys.\u00a0 I&#8217;m curious to see how McMahon fares against better competition than C-USA.\u00a0 All in all, not a bad collection of picks given the lack of a 2nd rounder.<\/p>\n<p>What do you guys think of it?<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Draft Links of\u00a0Use<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Mlbpipeline&#8217;s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/draft\/tracker\/nationals\">Draft Tracker for 201<\/a>9<\/span><\/li>\n<li>All 10 rounds of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/stories\/2019-mlb-draft-order-slot-values-team-bonus-pool-amounts\/\">slot bonus figures<\/a>\u00a0for 2019<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/draft-history\/mlb-draft-database\/#\/\">BA&#8217;s draft database<\/a>\u00a0with search options by team, state, etc. (behind a paywall)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.perfectgame.org\/default.aspx\">Perfect Game<\/a>\u00a0to get profiles on more obscure draftees.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Draft Rankings referred to within here<\/strong><\/span>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>ESPN (<strong>Keith Law):\u00a0<\/strong>Apr 2019\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/insider\/story\/_\/id\/26634346\/ranking-top-50-2019-mlb-draft-prospects\">top 50 Ranks<\/a>,\u00a0May 2019 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/insider\/story\/_\/id\/26789854\/keith-law-2019-big-board-updated-top-100-draft-prospects\">Top 100 Big board<\/a><\/li>\n<li>MLBPipeline (<strong>Callis &amp; Mayo<\/strong>): <a href=\"http:\/\/m.mlb.com\/prospects\/2019?list=draft\">Top 200 draft board for 2019<\/a><\/li>\n<li>BaseballAmerica: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/stories\/2019-mlb-draft-coverage\/#BA\">2019 Top 500 Draft Prospect List<\/a>\u00a0(behind a paywall)<\/li>\n<li>Fangraphs;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/prospects\/the-board\/2019-mlb-draft?type=0&amp;sort=-1,1&amp;pagenum=0&amp;pageitems=10000000000000\">Fangraphs Draft Board for 2019<\/a><\/li>\n<li>2080baseball;\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/2080baseball.com\/2019\/05\/2019-final-mlb-draft-ranking\/\">top 125 players ranked<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s a first look at our top 10 rounds worth of draft picks, or where we stand after day 2 of the MLB Draft. Overall, the mock draft pundits really nailed the top of this draft, perfectly predicting the first 7 picks.\u00a0 Starting around pick 8 though, we started to see enough surprises\/reaches that allowed [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[4191,4186,4184,4190,4187,4181,4189,440,475,110,4185,4183,1855,3870,4188,3656],"class_list":["post-15883","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-draft","tag-andrew-pratt","tag-darrell-hernatz","tag-drew-mendoza","tag-hunter-mcmahon","tag-jackson-cluf","tag-jackson-rutledge","tag-jeremy-ydens","tag-jim-callis","tag-jonathan-mayo","tag-keith-law","tag-matt-cronin","tag-matt-gorski","tag-patrick-corbin","tag-reid-schaller","tag-todd-peterson","tag-tyler-dyson"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15883","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15883"}],"version-history":[{"count":17,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15883\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15915,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15883\/revisions\/15915"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15883"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15883"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15883"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}