{"id":16150,"date":"2019-11-11T11:07:47","date_gmt":"2019-11-11T16:07:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=16150"},"modified":"2020-02-03T12:40:50","modified_gmt":"2020-02-03T17:40:50","slug":"my-2019-mlb-awards-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=16150","title":{"rendered":"My 2019 MLB Awards Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Is Trout going to get shut out again? Photo Gary Vasquez\/US Presswire via espn.com<\/p><\/div>\n

Hi there.\u00a0 Its time to write about the\u00a0“silly season” of baseball.\u00a0 \u00a0Its my annual awards predictor piece.<\/p>\n

(Important note: despite publishing this after the post-season … like the voters, I write the entirety of this at the end of September.\u00a0 This is not skewed or influenced by anything that happened in the post-season.\u00a0 Which is pretty important, because likely NL MVP\u00a0Cody Bellinger<\/strong> was embarrassed in the NLDS while his competitor\u00a0Anthony Rendon<\/strong> really out-classed him, both in that series and throughout the post-season.\u00a0 Same thing with Cole versus Verlander for the NL Cy Young; after the post-season, i’m sure many would want to reconsider their votes).<\/p>\n

Side Note: I was listening to a Ringer podcast and\u00a0Bill Simmons<\/strong> had a very simple, elegant solution the long running debate about what the “Most Valuable Player” means.\u00a0 \u00a0His point about the MVP is the same as my point: how can you be the “most valuable”player on a team that only wins 75 games?\u00a0 You were so valuable that you prevented that team from only winning 65 games?\u00a0 \u00a0Instead he thinks we should add an “Most Outstanding Performance” award in each league to identify exactly what it says; the best individual performance irrespective of the player’s impact on the playoff race.\u00a0 Many times it may very well be the same player.\u00a0 But a lot of the time it won’t be.\u00a0 The “MOP” can be heavily driven by WAR totals, perhaps looking at all three iterations of it.<\/p>\n

So, would MVP and MOP differ over the past few years?\u00a0 Lets look.\u00a0 Here’s a list of MVP winners<\/a> historically, and then links to b-r’s WAR<\/a>, fangraphs WAR<\/a> and BP’s WAR<\/a>.<\/p>\n