{"id":16158,"date":"2019-09-24T12:43:23","date_gmt":"2019-09-24T16:43:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=16158"},"modified":"2019-09-24T12:43:23","modified_gmt":"2019-09-24T16:43:23","slug":"race-to-the-bottom-2019-edition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=16158","title":{"rendered":"Race to the Bottom; 2019 Edition"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Casey<\/a>

Casey Mize was Detroit’s 2018 1-1 pick; who will join him next June? Photo d1baseball.com<\/p><\/div>\n

So, with a week to go, who’s in the lead for the #1 overall draft pick\/largest bonus pool for the 2020 draft?<\/p>\n

http:\/\/www.tankathon.com\/mlb<\/p>\n

I love that there’s an official “Tanking” page now tracking this.<\/p>\n

With a week to go, here’s how we stack up (records as of 9\/24\/19).\u00a0 There’s really only four teams to discuss; there’s a 7 game gap to the 5th worst team right now.<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Detroit: 46-109, projecting to 48-114.\u00a0 Remaining Schedule: home to Min, away to CWS.\u00a0 Likely getting swept by Minnesota, who is pushing for playoff positioning but may get some wins against CWS.<\/li>\n
  2. Baltimore: 51-106, projecting to 53-109.\u00a0 Remaining schedule: away to Tor, away to Bos.\u00a0 may end up picking up a couple of wins here since all remaining teams also playing out the stretch.<\/li>\n
  3. Miami: 55-101, projecting to 57-105.\u00a0 Remaining schedule: away to NYM, away to Phi.\u00a0 May very well lose out, given that these two teams are finishing strong.\u00a0 but seems locked into 3rd spot.<\/li>\n
  4. Kansas City: 57-100, projecting to 59-103.\u00a0 Remaining schedule: home to Atl, home to Minn.\u00a0 hosting all playoff teams still pushing, might lose out.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    So, here’s the top 4 of next year’s draft.\u00a0 At this point, it seems pretty likely that this will be the tankathon finish too.\u00a0 Detroit is locked in for #1, Baltimore is pretty well locked into #2.\u00a0 We might see a flip between 3 and 4 but doubtful since both teams are playing motivated squads to finish up.<\/p>\n

    So, what’s the prize of the 2020 draft?\u00a0 Well, unlike 2019, when the conesnsus 1-1 overall pick\u00a0Adley Rutschmann<\/strong> was pretty well established even at this early date, the 2020 draft isn’t consensus for #1 overall yet.\u00a0 \u00a0But the top few picks likely will include names from this list:<\/p>\n

    College top candidates for 2020<\/p>\n

      \n
    • Spencer Torkelson<\/strong>, 1B\/LF Arizona State.\u00a0 \u00a03rd team AA PG\/Rawlings 2018 as a freshman.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a02nd\u00a0team d1baseball AA 2018.\u00a0\u00a02018 Collegiate USA team as freshman.\u00a0 Hit 25 homers as a freshman, 22 homers as sophomore.\u00a0 2nd team d1baseball.com AA as sophomore.\u00a0 2nd\u00a0team NCBWA AA as sophomore.\u00a0 \u00a02nd team\u00a0BA AA 2019 as sophomore.\u00a0\u00a02019 Collegiate National team<\/li>\n
    • Emerson Hancock<\/strong>, RHP Georgia.\u00a0 High-90s fastball, 3-pitch guy, great sophomore numbers for #3 team in the land.\u00a0 2nd team d1baseball.com AA 2019 as sophomore.\u00a0\u00a02nd\u00a0team NCBWA AA as sophomore.\u00a0\u00a02nd team\u00a0BA AA 2019 as sophomore<\/li>\n
    • Austin Martin<\/strong>, 2b\/ss\/3B Vanderbilt.\u00a0 Slashed\u00a0.410\/.502\/.603 as a sophomore w\/ speed.\u00a0\u00a01st team d1baseball.com AA 2019 as sophomore.\u00a0 Plays 6 positions, should be primary SS in 2020.\u00a0 1st team BA AA 2019 as sophomore.\u00a0\u00a02019 Collegiate National team<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Or, if a prep player goes:<\/p>\n

        \n
      • Pete Crow-Armstrong<\/strong>, OF (CF) Harvard-Westlake HS, CA.\u00a0 top all-around prep position player in draft.\u00a0 \u00a0Vanderbilt commit.\u00a0 3rd\u00a0team Baseball america AA in 2019 as junior.\u00a0\u00a0Maxpreps 2nd team AA as junior<\/li>\n
      • Blaze Jordan<\/strong>, 1B\/3B\u00a0DeSoto Central High School (Southaven, Mississippi).\u00a0 Re-classified\/graduating early.\u00a0 \u00a0Mississippi State commit<\/li>\n
      • Dylan Crews<\/strong>, OF Lake Mary HS (Fla).\u00a0 LSU commit.\u00a0 PG has him as #2 prep player in class, long-time member of US national teams.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        The last time Detroit picked 1st overall, they got a guy in\u00a0Casey Mize<\/strong>\u00a0in 2018\u00a0who dominated high-A in 6 starts to begin the 2019 season, then threw a no-hitter in his AA debut.\u00a0 He finished off AA this year with solid numbers for a 22 yr old, and could be featuring in the Detroit rotation mid-next season … that is if the team doesn’t play service time manipulation games.<\/p>\n

         <\/p>\n

         <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        So, with a week to go, who’s in the lead for the #1 overall draft pick\/largest bonus pool for the 2020 draft? http:\/\/www.tankathon.com\/mlb I love that there’s an official “Tanking” page now tracking this. With a week to go, here’s how we stack up (records as of 9\/24\/19).\u00a0 There’s really only four teams to discuss; […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16158","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nonnatsbaseball","category-draft"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16158","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16158"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16158\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16162,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16158\/revisions\/16162"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16158"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16158"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16158"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}