{"id":16777,"date":"2020-11-06T13:10:21","date_gmt":"2020-11-06T18:10:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=16777"},"modified":"2020-11-06T13:15:58","modified_gmt":"2020-11-06T18:15:58","slug":"nats-payroll-analysis-for-2021","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=16777","title":{"rendered":"Nats Payroll Analysis for 2021"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"
Newly minted Silver Slugger and MVP snub Soto is set for a big raise in arbitration; how will this factor into the Nat’s payroll plans? Source NYPost<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Before giving real thought to what the Nats might do this off-season, you have to know where they stand from a payroll consideration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick answer: they have about $50M to spend. See https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1Au_xTIni1eJbDGzravS1482wBbzN9DBQaOY1wwo2Mr0\/edit#gid=1520401900 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

More detailed answer: I have been maintaining a “Payroll worksheet” for the nats for years, which helps write t his particular post every year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I’ve posted this at the Big Board, in a new tab called “2021 Payroll” https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/186nm-v5F-zTCoR2Be7TFYM3e2cZ-gYi2WVqJLEkHdmc\/<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here’s a breakdown of the Nats payroll right now (note; every figure in this article is Luxury Tax dollars: I honestly don’t care about real or actual dollars anymore since everything is driven by the Luxury tax limit in this game, and if the Lerners are looking at deferred dollars and making spending decisions in real-time based on that, then they don’t deserve to be running a team that earns them tens of millions of dollars a year).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<\/tr><\/tr><\/tr><\/tr><\/tr>
$112,522,709 <\/td><– under contract<\/td><\/tr>
$18,850,000 <\/td><– arb est<\/td><\/tr>
$7,889,000 <\/td><– pre arb<\/td><\/tr>
$1,800,000 <\/td><– 40-man<\/td><\/tr>
$15,500,000 <\/td><– benefits<\/td><\/tr>
$156,561,709 <\/td><– total payroll estimate right now<\/td><\/tr>
$210,000,000 <\/td><– Luxury tax cap for 2020<\/td><\/tr>
$53,438,291 <\/td><– room under cap right now<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n

By category:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

  • The nats have $112M and change committed to its 8 current veteran players. Of course, the lion’s share of this is going to its big 3 starters in Strasburg, Scherzer<\/strong> and Corbin<\/strong>, who combine for $87M of this $112M themselves.<\/li>
  • We have 4 arb-eligible players, who i’m estimating to earn $18.8M; the two biggest earners of course will be Turner<\/strong> and Soto<\/strong>, who are projected to be at least $10M and $5M each<\/li>
  • The rest of the roster are estimates: 14 26-man roster players at roughly the MLB minimum comes out to $7.8M, a figure that will be a bit higher as 1 and 2-year guys get a bit of a raise. Plus the rest of the 40-man gets estimated at $150k per, so 12*$150K turns into $1.8M. Again, might not be exactly that b\/c we may not have 40 on the 40-man all year.<\/li>
  • the 2021 estimate for benefits is $15.5M this year.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    So that leaves us around $156M committed right now before we acquire a single player. $210M is the cap for 2021, so we’re working with an operating FA budget of $53M. My figures are slightly different from Cot’s because of the arb estimates and 40-man estimates, but we’re within $2M of each other right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    $53M is not a lot of money to acquire everything that this team needs. We need another starter, a catcher, a decent slugger to play 1B, we need another outfielder, and we need a few relievers. Catchers are rare and are not cheap, but we may be able to acquire a re-tread veteran starter for around $10-$12M. But for the rest of the roster we’re looking at taking fliers on MLFA\/NRI types and edge of the roster $1M major league deals.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Before giving real thought to what the Nats might do this off-season, you have to know where they stand from a payroll consideration. Quick answer: they have about $50M to spend. See https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1Au_xTIni1eJbDGzravS1482wBbzN9DBQaOY1wwo2Mr0\/edit#gid=1520401900 More detailed answer: I have been maintaining a “Payroll worksheet” for the nats for years, which helps write t his particular post […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16777","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-natsgeneral"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16777","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16777"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16777\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16782,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16777\/revisions\/16782"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16777"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16777"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16777"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}