{"id":17121,"date":"2021-06-27T17:08:50","date_gmt":"2021-06-27T21:08:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=17121"},"modified":"2021-06-28T14:12:55","modified_gmt":"2021-06-28T18:12:55","slug":"2021-cws-group-winners-and-cws-final-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=17121","title":{"rendered":"2021 CWS Group Winners and CWS final preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Here\u2019s a recap of our CWS coverage so far for 2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=17096\">Field of 64 announced<\/a><\/li><li>Regional results (post lost during hosting migration)<\/li><li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=17111\">Super Regional Results<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Lets review the CWS group play.&nbsp; The CWS plays just one or two games a day; a far cry from the first weekend, where 64 teams played hundreds of games over the course of a long weekend.&nbsp; So this post has been written in one or two sentence increments for a week and a half\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My initial Predictions for the Group stages: Vanderbilt and Tennessee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>In the Top&nbsp;Bracket<\/strong> ( NC State, #9 Stanford, #5 Arizona, #4 Vanderbilt )<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>In the opening games<\/strong>, NC State continued its upset ways and shocked #9 Stanford with ease, while Vanderbilt&#8217;s #1 <strong>Kumar Rocker<\/strong> gave up 5 runs in 6 innings against a solid-hitting Arizona team, but somehow Vandy rallied to win in extra-innings 7-6 to move on.<\/li><li><strong>In the first elimination game, <\/strong>two top programs in #9 Stanford and #5 Arizona battled to stay alive, and Stanford sent home Arizona two and out with a comfortable 14-5 win.  Arizona goes 2 and out.<\/li><li><strong>In the winner&#8217;s bracket game<\/strong>, Vandy&#8217;s run in the post season came to a halt despite <strong>Jack Leiter<\/strong>&#8216;s best efforts.  Leiter went 8 innings, gave up 4 hits, 1 walk and struck out 15.  Normally that&#8217;d be a winning score line &#8230;but one of those 4 hits was a no-doubt blast from NC State&#8217;s cleanup hitter, and that&#8217;s all it took.  Leiter was matched pitch for pitch by NC state 2nd-year freshman <strong>Sam Highfill<\/strong>, who shut down Vanderbilt over seven 2-hit innings, handing it over to Richmond-native <strong>Evan Justice<\/strong> for the two-inning save.  NC State shockingly is in the driver&#8217;s seat. <\/li><li><strong>In the play-in game<\/strong>, Vanderbilt was down to their last strike in the 9th before rallying and winning on a walk-off wild-pitch from Stanford&#8217;s ace <strong>Brendan Beck<\/strong>, who had come out of the bullpen to the horror of every draft evaluator this year (he threw 109 pitches on Saturday and another 43 high-leverage pitches last night on 3 days rest).  They survive and advance, but have to beat NC State twice to move on.  Luckily they have their two aces lined up on decent rest for the task.<\/li><li><strong>In the group final<\/strong>, Vanderbilt topped the 13-man NC State team behind Rocker&#8217;s solid 7 innings, then got a walk-over into the CWS final.  The situation is extraordinary enough to require a separate post coming soon.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Final Group standings<\/strong>: Vanderbilt, NC State, Stanford, Arizona<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>In the Bottom&nbsp;Bracket<\/strong> ( #3 Tennessee, UVA, #7 Mississippi State and #2 Texas)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li> <strong>In the opening games<\/strong>, UVA got a huge pitching performance from Halifax County&#8217;s <strong>Andrew Abbott<\/strong> who shut out #3 Tennessee for 6 innings before UVA&#8217;s bat&#8217;s exploded for the win.  But Abbott&#8217;s pitching wasn&#8217;t nearly as good as Miss State&#8217;s <strong>Will Bednar<\/strong>, who struke out 15 in 6 innings against #2 Texas to shut them down and lead his team to victory.<\/li><li><strong>In the first elimination game, <\/strong>#2 Texas won a slug-fest against #3 Tennessee in a back-and forth game to send the SEC finalists home 2-and-out.<\/li><li><strong>In the winner&#8217;s bracket game<\/strong>, UVA faced off against Mississippi State for the CWS winner&#8217;s bracket driver&#8217;s seat.  UVA&#8217;s <strong>Griff McGarry<\/strong> took a no-hitter into the 8th with a 4-0 lead &#8230; and somehow Mississippi State won the game 6-5.  Just one thing after another in a nightmare 8th inning for UVA, who went from absolutely controlling this bracket to being dumped to the loser&#8217;s bracket inside of about 15 minutes.<\/li><li><strong>In the play-in game<\/strong>, UVA sent former ace <strong>Mike Vasil<\/strong> to the mound for what likely was his final collegiate appearance, and he shook off some early dust to put in a great line: 7ip, 4h, 1ER, 8\/1 K\/BB.  However, the bullpen couldn&#8217;t hold that lead, and Texas&#8217; big middle of the order bats kept pushing and broke through in the 8th and 9th innings to put it away.  UVA&#8217;s cinderella season is over; Texas moves on.<\/li><li><strong>In the group final<\/strong>, Texas clased one back to forced the decider, but then Mississippi State advanced with a walk-off in the final.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Final Group standings<\/strong>: Mississippi State, Texas, Virginia, Tennessee<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>CWS finals discussion<\/strong>: Vanderbilt given a huge advantage by getting the walk-over and thus not burning Leiter, who will throw in game 1.  Mississippi State had to burn both their top starters just to get to the CWS final.  A rested full strength Mississippi State lost 2 of 3 in Vanderbilt earlier this year, but did beat Leiter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"background-color: rgb(232, 234, 235);\"><b>Pitching Matchups:<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vandy&#8217;s 3 starters look like this:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>6\/28: Jack Leiter, last pitched Mon 6\/21, threw 123 pitches, would be on 6 days rest<\/li><li>6\/29: Christian Little, last pitched Wed 6\/23, threw 70 pitches, would be on 5 days rest<\/li><li>6\/30: Kumar Rocker: last pitched friday 6\/25, threw 111 pitches, projected to pitch Wednesday if needed, would be on 4 days rest<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>So, this would be an entirely different series if Vandy had been forced to burn Leiter to beat NC State a second time \u2026 the only potential for damage here is if Rocker comes into game 2, which would be pretty reckless.  123 pitches for Leiter a week ago was \u2026 pushing it.  But the same coach pulled Rocker in the 7th at 111 pitches, doing the right thing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Miss State&#8217;s 3 starters look like this:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>6\/28: Christian Macleod, last pitched 6\/22, threw just 35 pitches and got knocked out of the 1st.  would be on 5 days rest<\/li><li>6\/29: Houston Harding, last pitched 6\/25, threw 82 pitches, would be on 3 days rest<\/li><li>6\/30: Will Bednar, last pitched 6\/26, threw 97 pitches, would be on 3 days rest<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Bednar is the ace.  Macleod has struggled and Harding is more of a swing man.  But you see the significant dis-advantage Mississippi State is in; the only way they get their Ace is if it goes 3 and even then he&#8217;s on 3 days rest, for a guy who is used to 6 days rest.  And their game 2 starters is on 3 days rest regardless \u2026 and he&#8217;s their 3rd best arm. Meaning its likely a bullpen game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This situation represents a massive advantage for Vanderbilt in this series.  But, on the flip side, Vandy&#8217;s offense has been in neutral.  I think its enough to make this a pretty close series.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Prediction<\/strong>: Vanderbilt in three.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>College CWS tournament references<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>d1baseball.com&#8217;s&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.d1baseball.com\/daily\/today.htm\">daily scoreboard<\/a>&nbsp;is my go-to link<\/li><li>d1baseball&#8217;s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/d1baseball.com\/ncaa-regionals-tournament-central\/\">Tourney Central<\/a><\/li><li>Baseball America&#8217;s&nbsp;College coverage home page<\/li><li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.collegebaseballdaily.com\/\">CollegeBaseballDaily.com<\/a>&nbsp;has coverage as well.<\/li><li>CollegeBaseballCentral.com has coverage as well.<\/li><li>Ncaa.com&#8217;s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/brackets\/baseball\/d1\/2021\">interactive full 64-team bracket<\/a><\/li><li>NCAA&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncaa.com\/stats\/baseball\/d1\/current\/individual\/200\">Individual player stats<\/a><\/li><li>Warren Nolan.com&#8217;s&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.warrennolan.com\/baseball\/2018\/index\">College Baseball RPI<\/a><\/li><li>Warren Nolan&#8217;s&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/warrennolan.com\/baseball\/2019\/conferencerpi\">Conference RPI ranking<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here\u2019s a recap of our CWS coverage so far for 2019 Field of 64 announced Regional results (post lost during hosting migration) Super Regional Results Lets review the CWS group play.&nbsp; The CWS plays just one or two games a day; a far cry from the first weekend, where 64 teams played hundreds of games [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17121","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-college"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17121","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17121"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17121\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17147,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17121\/revisions\/17147"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17121"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17121"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17121"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}