{"id":17356,"date":"2021-12-23T16:13:22","date_gmt":"2021-12-23T21:13:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=17356"},"modified":"2021-12-23T16:13:22","modified_gmt":"2021-12-23T21:13:22","slug":"prospects361-nats-top-15-released","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=17356","title":{"rendered":"Prospects361 Nats top 15 released"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/Lara-Andry-via-mlb.com_.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/Lara-Andry-via-mlb.com_.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17357\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/Lara-Andry-via-mlb.com_.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/Lara-Andry-via-mlb.com_-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/Lara-Andry-via-mlb.com_-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>Andry Lara is rising up the prospect boards.  Photo via mlb.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Since I love prospect lists, I&#8217;ll write a reaction piece to every Nats prospect list ranking that I see this off-season.  What else are we gonna talk about during the lockout?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We already saw the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=17297\">Baseball America top 10<\/a> list, which I found laughable for a number of reasons.  Let&#8217;s see how Prospects361 and its author <strong>Rich Wilson<\/strong> did.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prospects361 does seem to have a fantasy focus, which means we&#8217;ll see some oddities in the rankings.  Fantasy focused sites generally over-rank several types of players:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>relievers who have closer ability (since &#8220;saves&#8221; are generally one of the 5 prime pitching fantasy categories)<\/li><li>very, very young prospects and\/or brand new prospects which get snapped up in Dynasty leagues<\/li><li>positions that are scarce (SS, C, 3B to a certain extent)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s a <a href=\"https:\/\/prospect361.com\/2021\/11\/26\/2022-washington-nationals-top-15-prospects\/\">direct link to his ranking<\/a>, which i&#8217;ve represented in the table below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td>Name<\/td><td>Position<\/td><td>Acquired<\/td><td>Rank<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cade Cavalli<\/td><td>RHP (Starter)<\/td><td>2020 1st<\/td><td>1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Keibert Ruiz<\/td><td>C<\/td><td>2014 IFA<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Brady House<\/td><td>SS<\/td><td>2021 1st<\/td><td>3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Andry Lara<\/td><td>RHP (Starter)<\/td><td>2019 IFA<\/td><td>4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Yasel Antuna<\/td><td>SS<\/td><td>2016 IFA<\/td><td>5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Jackson Rutledge<\/td><td>RHP (Starter)<\/td><td>2019 1st<\/td><td>6<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Jeremy De La Rosa<\/td><td>OF (corner)<\/td><td>2018 IFA<\/td><td>7<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Armando Cruz<\/td><td>SS<\/td><td>2020 IFA<\/td><td>8<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cole Henry<\/td><td>RHP (Starter)<\/td><td>2020 2nd<\/td><td>9<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Gerardo Carrillo<\/td><td>RHP (Starter)<\/td><td>2016 IFA<\/td><td>10<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Aldo Ramirez<\/td><td>RHP (Starter)<\/td><td>2018 IFA<\/td><td>11<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Daylen Lile<\/td><td>OF<\/td><td>2021 2nd<\/td><td>12<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Donovan Casey<\/td><td>OF (corner)<\/td><td>2017 20th<\/td><td>13<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Roismar Quintana<\/td><td>OF (CF)<\/td><td>2019 IFA<\/td><td>14<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cristian Vaquero<\/td><td>OF (CF)<\/td><td>2021 IFA<\/td><td>15<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>So, some reactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The same top 3 as nearly every other pundit shop right now, though he has <strong>Cavalli<\/strong> over <strong>Ruiz<\/strong>.  That&#8217;s surprising since most legit ranks have Ruiz over Cavalli given Cavalli&#8217;s well known challenges, plus Ruiz is a catcher.<\/li><li>He has <strong>Andry Lara<\/strong> a bit higher than most others at #4, but I don&#8217;t think its unwarranted.  The guy as an 18yr old pitched well in the GCL, which is now a much, much older league than it used to be.  He may have had a 4.54 ERA, but his peripherals were pretty good.  <\/li><li>Sigh; <strong>Yasel Antuna<\/strong> at #5.  He&#8217;s still listed as a SS, which we know isn&#8217;t gonna happen as Antuna has already been banished to the OF.  My concerns with Antuna being this high are well documented.  All i&#8217;ll say is this: he better be one hell of a better hitter than he&#8217;s shown in 2022.<\/li><li>Even after his crap season, <strong>Jackson Rutledge<\/strong> sits above <strong>Cole Henry<\/strong>, which is laughable at this point.  Perhaps he made this list before seeing anything that Henry was doing in Arizona.<\/li><li>He&#8217;s definitely high on <strong>Armando Cruz<\/strong>,  One homer and a .232 BA in 177 DSL at bats this year after signing a ridiculously high signing bonus ($3.9M).  So far, bust potential.<\/li><li>He&#8217;s about where the industry is on the guys in the 10-13 range, so no comment there.  <\/li><li><strong>Quintana<\/strong>: he&#8217;s definitely high on this guy.  Quintana barely played this year due to an apparent injury, so this ranking and his potential is entirely that; potential.<\/li><li>Lastly, and I hate it when prospect ranking shops do this, he lists a player we&#8217;re only rumored to be signing in <strong>Vaquero<\/strong>.  This is entirely fan service to dynasty fantasy players looking for some deep round pickup.  <\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Omissions:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>No mention of <strong>Joan Adon<\/strong>, who BA had #7.  Now, i&#8217;m also on record being somewhat skeptical of Adon being a 7th ranked prospect, but i&#8217;m ok with him being a bit further down in the 13-15 range.  <\/li><li>Slightly surprised there&#8217;s no <strong>Matt Cronin<\/strong> at the edges of his roster, given that Cronin is a closer candidate.  It might be due to Cronin&#8217;s injury this year.<\/li><li>Not much else to quibble about.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Thoughts?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since I love prospect lists, I&#8217;ll write a reaction piece to every Nats prospect list ranking that I see this off-season. What else are we gonna talk about during the lockout? We already saw the Baseball America top 10 list, which I found laughable for a number of reasons. Let&#8217;s see how Prospects361 and its [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,4324],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17356","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-natsgeneral","category-prospects"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17356","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17356"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17356\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17391,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17356\/revisions\/17391"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17356"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17356"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17356"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}