{"id":17918,"date":"2022-12-01T12:55:05","date_gmt":"2022-12-01T17:55:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=17918"},"modified":"2022-12-01T12:55:53","modified_gmt":"2022-12-01T17:55:53","slug":"baseball-america-2023-short-list-released","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=17918","title":{"rendered":"Baseball America 2023 Short List Released"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/RudledgeJackson-arkansas-via-3rdmanin.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"400\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/RudledgeJackson-arkansas-via-3rdmanin.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15888\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/RudledgeJackson-arkansas-via-3rdmanin.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/RudledgeJackson-arkansas-via-3rdmanin-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>Rutledge continues to impress scouts with h is 4.90 ERA in low-A. \n photo via 3rdmanin.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Hat tip to <strong>Luke Erickson<\/strong> and <a href=\"https:\/\/nationalsprospects.com\/2022\/12\/baseball-america-ranks-the-top-10-nats-prospects-10\/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=baseball-america-ranks-the-top-10-nats-prospects-10\">Nationalsprospects.com<\/a>, because I had no idea that Baseball America had released its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/teams\/1012\/washington-nationals\/organizational\/\">organizational top 10 list<\/a> yesterday.  This is incredibly irritating to me as a Baseball America subscriber; I somehow failed to get an email notification of this event, which means I <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/stories\/2023-washington-nationals-top-10-prospects-chat\/\">missed the chat they held yesterday<\/a>, which would have allowed me to ask the most obvious question, &#8220;Why in the hell would you still have <strong>Jackson Rutledge<\/strong> in your top 10??&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But, more on that later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>BA releases its top 10 in the fall, then works on its Prospect handbook for several months, and releases a full top 30 usually in Late Jan\/Early Feb.  So this is just a preview of what we&#8217;ll get in a few months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s the top 10, and in parentheses i&#8217;ve listed where BA had the player ranked in their last 2022 ranking (released on 8\/10\/22 after all draft and trade machinations).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>James Wood, OF (#3)<\/li><li>Robert Hassell, OF (#2)<\/li><li>Elijah Green, OF (#4)<\/li><li>Cade Cavalli, RHP (#5)<\/li><li>Brady House, SS (#6)<\/li><li>Crithian Vaquero (#7)<\/li><li>Jarlin Susana, RHP (#8)<\/li><li>Jeremy De La Rosa, OF (#10)<\/li><li>Jackson Rutledge, RHP (#9)<\/li><li>T.J. White, OF (#29)<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>So, some comments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Their #1 prospect in August was, of course, <strong>C.J. Abrams<\/strong>.  It must have been published during the 24 hours that dude was at AAA before getting called back to the majors and losing his rookie eligibility.<\/li><li>In BA&#8217;s eyes, <strong>Wood <\/strong>did enough in a month at our Low-A post trade acquisition to jump over <strong>Hassell<\/strong> to be our #1 prospect.  Its the first ranking i&#8217;ve seen with Wood at #1.<\/li><li>However, in all honesty, BA has the top 3 guys correct, and then the next two guys correct.  A consistent top 5 with basically every other shop since these guys arrived in 2022.<\/li><li>Not too much to quibble about with Vaquero at #6, or Susana at #7.  Prospects361 had Susana slightly higher, but this is in line with where MLBpipeline has these guys as well.<\/li><li>De la Rosa: he&#8217;s been in the 8-10 range in every ranking i&#8217;ve seen since the 2022 trade deadline.<\/li><li>I&#8217;ll jump over the elephant in the room to note that in the last two months, BA has decided that <strong>T.J. White<\/strong> has gone from a fringe, useless prospect (A guy in low A ranked #29 is not someone you&#8217;d expect to ever amount to anything), to our top 10.  White&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.milb.com\/player\/t-j-white-695604\">low-A numbers<\/a>: .258\/.353\/.432, 10 homers in 92 games and 329 ABs\/382 PAs.  But, wait for it &#8230; 104 strikeouts in those 382 PAs.  104!  that&#8217;s more than 27% K rate.  I mean, hell, for 27% K rate in the low minors i&#8217;d expect a homer at least every 20 PAs.  But we got 10 homers in 382 PAs, or one homer every 38 PAs.  that&#8217;s awful.  That&#8217;s one homer a week.  That&#8217;s 10 punch outs for every homer.  That&#8217;s a lot.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>So we get to <strong>Jackson Rutledge<\/strong>.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rutledge, who had 20 starts in Low-A as a fourth year pro out of a Juco.  A 1st rounder college draftee in his 4th pro season, still in Low-A b\/c he has yet to prove he can cut it any higher.  Rutledge, who pitched to a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.milb.com\/player\/jackson-rutledge-671131\">4.90 ERA in 20 starts<\/a> in low-A, with a 99\/29 K\/BB ratio (so, not even a K\/inning!).  1.39 whip.  Averaged less than 5 innings a start against a bunch of 20 and 21 yr olds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rutledge.  This is a top 10 prospect in our system.  Not Henry (who&#8217;s hurt yea but dude was still in AAA at the same damn age).  Not Cruz or Lara, or Bennett or any of the 2022 draftees who immediately debuted at a higher level.  Rutledge.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some people were like, &#8220;oh he finished strong.&#8221;  No he didn&#8217;t.  His last 2 starts were the 4 ER in 5 IP variety.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He had 20 starts in Low-A: any guesses as to how many quality starts that comprised?  Eight.  He had 8 QS in 20 low-A starts this year.  A guy with his pedigree should be dominating Low-A of course, but i mean, not even a 50% QS rate?  That&#8217;s a pretty low bar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And now he&#8217;s on the 40-man.  Did he prove he had mastered Low-A in 2022?  I don&#8217;t think so; if his bio started with anything else besides &#8220;1st round pick &#8230;&#8221; he&#8217;d be closer to a release than a promotion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But here we are.  Rant off.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hat tip to Luke Erickson and Nationalsprospects.com, because I had no idea that Baseball America had released its organizational top 10 list yesterday. This is incredibly irritating to me as a Baseball America subscriber; I somehow failed to get an email notification of this event, which means I missed the chat they held yesterday, which [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4324],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17918","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-prospects"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17918","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17918"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17918\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17920,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17918\/revisions\/17920"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17918"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17918"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17918"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}