{"id":18306,"date":"2024-01-24T20:31:55","date_gmt":"2024-01-25T01:31:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=18306"},"modified":"2024-01-25T08:59:58","modified_gmt":"2024-01-25T13:59:58","slug":"baseball-america-nats-top-30-prospects-for-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=18306","title":{"rendered":"Baseball America Nats top 30 Prospects for 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Young-jacob-ap-via-wp.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"275\" height=\"183\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Young-jacob-ap-via-wp.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-18311\"\/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Jacob Young gets some prospect love.  Photo AP via WashPost<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The first major shop to release a significant ranking for the 2024 prospect season has come out, and it is the standard bearer Baseball America.  This year i&#8217;ll keep a running list of every ranking that i&#8217;ve seen and just build on it as i post.  So far, here&#8217;s what we&#8217;ve seen:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1Xs9fmb-dctE90hTS3bdozznETS-Oc3GsMuGzRo2faUc\/edit?usp=sharing\">Here is a list of Every Nats prospect list<\/a> i&#8217;ve ever captured.  It was last uploaded 1\/25\/24 to capture the data from last June to today.  There&#8217;s now 223 ranking lists in this xls, dating to the Baseball America Nov 2004 ranking for our 2004 prospects (#1 prospect for the system in Nov 2004?  <strong>Mike Hinckley<\/strong>.  ouch).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s the pre-2024 list of prospect ranks that have been published so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/prospect361.com\/2023\/11\/24\/2024-washington-nationals-top-prospects\/\">BA&#8217;s pre-read top 10<\/a>, announced 11\/6\/23 (link now defaults to top 30 released today; no changes from the top 10 in Nov to now, a slight indictment perhaps of the BA process)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/prospect361.com\/2023\/11\/24\/2024-washington-nationals-top-prospects\/\">Prospects361 top 10<\/a>, released 11\/24\/23<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/prospects\/nationals\/\">MLBPipeline top 30<\/a>, post rule5\/pre off-season analysis released 12\/7\/23.  Note, the MLBPipeline link always defaults to the current, but i retain the rankings at the time of the capture into an XLS<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Baseball America 2024 top 30 1\/24\/24: this post<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Still to come: Baseball Prospectus, MLBPipeline, Eric Longenhagen\/Fangraphs, Keith Law\/the Athletic, Prospects1500, Bleacher Report, CBSSports, ProspectsLive, and Prospect Digest.  So, lots to come.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s a direct link to the Baseball America 2024 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/teams\/2013-washington-nationals\/prospects\/?season=2024&amp;ranking=preseason\">Nats top 30<\/a>, which is behind a paywall but i&#8217;m a subscriber so I&#8217;ll list them here.  It has detailed scouting reports on all 30 players, which is great especially for the new IFAs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<table id=\"tablepress-119\" class=\"tablepress tablepress-id-119\">\n<thead>\n<tr class=\"row-1\">\n\t<th class=\"column-1\">BA top 30<\/th><th class=\"column-2\"><em><strong>Last Name<\/strong><\/em><\/th><th class=\"column-3\"><em><strong>First Name<\/strong><\/em><\/th><th class=\"column-4\"><em><strong>Position<\/strong><\/em><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody class=\"row-striping row-hover\">\n<tr class=\"row-2\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">1<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Crews<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Dylan<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">OF (CF)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-3\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">2<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Wood<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">James<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">OF (Corner)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-4\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">3<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">House<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Brady<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">SS\/3B<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-5\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">4<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Cavalli<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Cade<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">RHP (Starter)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-6\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">5<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Morales<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Yohandy<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">3B<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-7\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">6<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Rutledge<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Jackson<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">RHP (Starter)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-8\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">7<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Hassell III<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Robert<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">OF (CF)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-9\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">8<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Vaquero<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Cristian<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">OF (CF)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-10\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">9<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Green<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Elijah<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">OF (CF)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-11\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">10<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Susana<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Jarlin<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">RHP (Starter)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-12\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">11<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Lile<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Daylen<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">OF (CF)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-13\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">12<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Hurtado<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Victor<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">OF<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-14\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">13<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Bennett<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Jake<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">LHP (Starter)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-15\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">14<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Sykora<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Travis<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">RHP (Starter)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-16\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">15<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Herz<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">DJ<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">LHP (Starter)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-17\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">16<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Lipscomb<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Trey<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">3B<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-18\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">17<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Nunez<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Nasim<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">SS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-19\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">18<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Young<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Jacob<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">OF (CF)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-20\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">19<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Pinckney<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Andrew<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">OF (Corner)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-21\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">20<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Brzykcy<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Zach<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">RHP (Reliever)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-22\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">21<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Pineda<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Israel<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">C<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-23\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">22<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Millas<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Drew<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">C<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-24\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">23<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Henry<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Cole<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">RHP (Starter)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-25\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">24<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Feliz<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Angel<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">3B\/SS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-26\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">25<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Made<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Kevin<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">SS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-27\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">26<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">De La Rosa<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Jeremy<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">OF (Corner)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-28\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">27<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Cruz<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Armando<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">SS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-29\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">28<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Baker<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Darren<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">2B<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-30\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">29<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">White<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">T.J.<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">OF (Corner)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"row-31\">\n\t<td class=\"column-1\">30<\/td><td class=\"column-2\">Parker<\/td><td class=\"column-3\">Mitchell<\/td><td class=\"column-4\">LHP (Starter)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<!-- #tablepress-119 from cache -->\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s some analysis, going from top to bottom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>BA has the same basic top 4 for us as nearly every other shop at this point.  <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Cavalli <\/strong>is now 25 and is the oldest guy on the top 30.  A big portion of our future fortunes sit on his shoulders and his ability to come back at the #2 starter that he was purported to be prior to TJ.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Morales <\/strong>up to #5 is great to see, especially given our (crummy) track record of 2nd round picks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Rutledge <\/strong>at #6 is great news.  A year ago he was in the mid-teens at best on most lists.  Now he&#8217;s on the verge of losing his rookie status in 2024.  Based on where he was in 2022, even if he&#8217;s a 5th starter that&#8217;s found gold.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Green <\/strong>down to #9.  Ok so 139 strikeouts in 75 low-A games isn&#8217;t a good thing.  His scouting report at BA is an interesting read.  Here&#8217;s how they grade his tools: Scouting Grades\u00a0Hit: 30 | Power: 60 | Run: 70 | Field: 55 | Arm: 60.  that&#8217;s two 60s and a 70.  Nobody has 60 power and 70 run; that&#8217;s like Eric Davis type combos.  He&#8217;s a project.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Our two big IFA signings this month (<strong>Victor Hurtado<\/strong> and <strong>Angel Feliz<\/strong>) come in at #12 and #24.  Ok that&#8217;s good.  They were both reasonable signings for IFAs; not the $4M for a 16yr old kind.  <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>We also picked up a new prospect with our Rule5 draftee, <strong>Nasim Nunez<\/strong>.  Coincidentally, I wonder if Nunez&#8217; drafting spells the end for <strong>Kieboom<\/strong>; he&#8217;s got no options, they&#8217;ve bought a starting 3B and a starting 1B, and he can&#8217;t play middle infield like <strong>Vargas <\/strong>and Nunez.  Heck, even <strong>Alu <\/strong>has more positional flexibility than Kieboom.  <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Both <strong>Bennett <\/strong>(TJ &#8211; out all of 2024) and <strong>Sykora <\/strong>(prep kid who threw zero innings in 2023) are ahead of <strong>DJ Herz<\/strong>.  Herz, lest anyone forget, is just 23, solved AA, is on the 40-man roster and is certain to get looks this year.  Um.  what are we looking at here boys?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Jacob Young<\/strong> at #18 &#8230; well I should hope so!!  All he did was rise 3 levels last year and may very well be the starting CF if Robles gets hurt, again.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Pineda <\/strong>and <strong>Millas<\/strong> back to back at 21 and 22.  I think the BA staff has guidelines that say, &#8220;ok when you get to the mid 20s, just throw in their top-level catcher depth b\/c we know they&#8217;ll get looks eventually).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Kevin Made<\/strong> absolutely fell apart after we acquired him, and plummeted down the list.  Hope he can recover.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Mitchell Parker<\/strong> bringing up the rear at #30.  So, #30 is where you put polished lefties who are on the 40 man who have solved three minor league levels by the age of 24.  Got it<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Missing names of note:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Andy Acevedo<\/strong> and <strong>Edwin Solano<\/strong>; both were $1.3M IFA signings last January, and who did near nothing all summer in 2023.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Brennar Cox.  <\/strong>As high as #11 on some lists last  year.  Geeze.  Why do we ever draft prep kids?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Andry Lara<\/strong>; finally someone ranks him realistically.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>All in all, not much to complain about with this list.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The first major shop to release a significant ranking for the 2024 prospect season has come out, and it is the standard bearer Baseball America. This year i&#8217;ll keep a running list of every ranking that i&#8217;ve seen and just build on it as i post. So far, here&#8217;s what we&#8217;ve seen: Here is a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4324],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18306","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-prospects"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18306","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18306"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18306\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18315,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18306\/revisions\/18315"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18306"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18306"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18306"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}