{"id":18474,"date":"2024-06-19T08:50:14","date_gmt":"2024-06-19T12:50:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=18474"},"modified":"2024-06-19T08:50:43","modified_gmt":"2024-06-19T12:50:43","slug":"2024-draft-coverage-next-group-of-mock-drafts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=18474","title":{"rendered":"2024 Draft Coverage &#8211; Next Group of Mock Drafts"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Griffen-Konnor-prep2024-via-mississippi-scoreboard.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"538\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Griffen-Konnor-prep2024-via-mississippi-scoreboard-1024x538.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-18539\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Griffen-Konnor-prep2024-via-mississippi-scoreboard-1024x538.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Griffen-Konnor-prep2024-via-mississippi-scoreboard-300x158.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Griffen-Konnor-prep2024-via-mississippi-scoreboard-768x403.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Griffen-Konnor-prep2024-via-mississippi-scoreboard-1536x807.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/Griffen-Konnor-prep2024-via-mississippi-scoreboard.jpg 1950w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Konnor Griffen is looking like a popular pick to mock to the Nats at #10.  Photo via Mississippi Scoreboard<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Instead of sitting on a massive mock draft post this year, I published the first cut of mocks to show how the top 5 and our thinking at #10 have morphed from mid 2023 until about mid May 2024.  This post has basically mid May to Mid June, as a slew of mocks have just come out in the last couple of days that show some crystallization of moves post D1 playoffs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As most pundits point out, this is basically a 9-10 person draft.  Those 10 players are (in rough order of draft rank):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Charlie Condon<\/strong>: 3B\/OF,  University of Georgia<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Travis Bazzana<\/strong>, 2B, Oregon State<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Jac Caglianone<\/strong>, 1B\/LHP Florida<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Nick Kurtz<\/strong>, 1B Wake Forest<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Braden Montgomery<\/strong>, OF, Texas A&amp;M <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Hagen Smith<\/strong>, LHP starter, Arkansas <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Chase Burns<\/strong>, RHP starter, Wake Forest<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>J.J. Wetherholt<\/strong>, 2B\/SS, West Virginia <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Konnor Griffin<\/strong>, SS\/CF, Jackson Prep (Flowood, Miss.)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Bryce Rainer<\/strong>, SS from Harvard Westlake HS in LA<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>James Tibbs<\/strong>, OF Florida State University (he&#8217;s now creeping into the top 10 in a lot of mocks)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If you&#8217;d like to see some scouting reports, go to one of these main spots:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/prospects\/2024\/draft\/christian-moore-695681\">MLBPipeline 2024 top 150 Draft Ranks<\/a> with scouting reports (click on the player for the breakout to the right)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/rankings\/2024-top-mlb-draft-prospects\/\">Baseball America 2024 top 400 Draft ranks<\/a> (paywall):<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/prospects\/the-board\/2024-mlb-draft\">Fangraphs The Board<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s some mock draft links starting from Mid May to Mid June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USAToday\/<a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/sports\/mlb\/draft\/2024\/05\/22\/2024-mlb-mock-draft-college-world-series\/73803867007\/\">Jack McKessy Mock 5\/22\/24<\/a>: no original analysis; he&#8217;s aggregating others.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>MLBPipeline&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/news\/2024-mlb-draft-no-1-overall-pick-odds\">Odds of going #1 5\/23\/24<\/a>: Bazzana, Condon, Caglianone, Smith. This isn&#8217;t a mock as much as it is analysis of the 4-5 players who might go 1-1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Kiley McDaniel\/ESPN <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/insider\/story\/_\/id\/40233926\/2024-mlb-mock-draft-kiley-mcdaniel-first-pick-projection-guardians\">Mock Draft 1.0 5\/29\/24<\/a>: Condon, Burns, Bazzana, Caglianone, Smith.  Burns takes a big rise up here from other mocks.  Nats at #10 get Rainer, as McDaniel predicted earlier in the month.  Yesevage falls to #15, White at #27 to Philly, which, honestly, would make a ton of sense and he&#8217;d seemingly fit right into that clubhouse.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bleacher Report\/Joel Reuter <a href=\"https:\/\/bleacherreport.com\/articles\/10122850-2024-mlb-mock-draft-30-early-picks-for-every-1st-round-selection\">Mock 3.0 5\/30\/24<\/a>: Bazzana, Condon, Caglianone, Kurtz, Griffen.  Nats at #10 get Wetherholt who has slipped to them in this sequence of events.  Wetherholt at #10 would be a steal, a guy who started the cycle in the conversation for 1-1.  I&#8217;d take this outcome.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>MLBPipeline\/<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/nationals\/news\/mlb-pipeline-2024-mock-draft-may-30\">Jonathan Mayo 5\/30\/24 Mock<\/a>: Bazzana, Condon, Burns, Montgomery, Caglianone. A run on college talent at the top leaves the Nats at #10 with the last &#8220;big 9&#8221; name in Griffin, as Yesevage drops to #15.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Baseball America <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/stories\/2024-mlb-mock-draft-3-0-updated-first-round-ahead-of-ncaa-tournament\/\">Mock Draft v3.0 5\/31\/24<\/a>: Bazzana, Condon, Burns, Caglianone, Wetherholt. Nats at #10 grab Griffen over Yesavage. We&#8217;ve definitely seen a shift in the industry; nearly every major pundit now has Bazzana going 1 over Condon, probably in a cost savings move.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>ESPN\/Kiley McDaniel <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/insider\/story\/_\/id\/40101500\/2024-draft-rankings-20-mock-draft-top-prospects\">Mini-Mock 5\/31\/24<\/a>: Bazzana, Condon, Caglianone, Kurtz, Smith. Nats at #10project to Rainer. This is turning into a common theme: Bazzana over Condon despite Condon being the higher-ranked talent, and Nats picking the prep SS. However, in this mock the Nats would be leaving both Yesevage and Wetherholt on the table, and I don&#8217;t think they leave Wetherholt on the table.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>CBSSports\/<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/news\/2024-mlb-mock-draft-georgias-charlie-condon-just-misses-no-1-two-way-florida-phenom-slips-out-of-top-five\/\">Mike Axisa mock 6\/13\/24<\/a>: Bazzana, Condon, Burns, Kurtz, Smith.  Nats take Griffin over Yesevage and Rainer (Tibbs sneaks into top 10).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sbnation.com\/mlb\/2024\/6\/14\/24176628\/mlb-draft-2024-mock-draft-mens-college-world-series\">SBNation\/Mark Schofield 6\/14\/24 mock<\/a>: Condon, Bazzana, Caglianone, Burns, Smith.  Nats at #10 take Griffin over Rainer, Tibbs, Yesevage.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>MLPPipeline\/Jonathan Mayo <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/nationals\/news\/mlb-pipeline-2024-mock-draft-june-13\">Mock 6\/14\/24<\/a>: Bazzana, Burns, Condon, Montgomery, Caglianone. Nats at #10 get Rainer, who they continue to have the nats on.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>BA <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/stories\/2024-mlb-mock-draft-4-0-projecting-the-top-39-picks\/?utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=new-mlb-mock-draft-version-4-0\">Mock Draft v4.0 6\/17\/24<\/a>: Wetherholt, Condon, Burns, Bazzana, Caglianone. Nats at #10 get Kurtz, who&#8217;s fallen behind both prep bats.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.sportingnews.com\/us\/mlb\/news\/mlb-mock-draft-2024-jac-caglianone-vance-honeycutt\/881f3d2503e3c9aaad899fcc\">Sporting News\/Edward Suteland 6\/15\/24 Mock<\/a>: Bazzana, Condon, Burns, Caglianone, Wetherholt.  Nats at #10 take Rainer.  This mock interestingly has Florida State OF slugger <strong>James Tibbs<\/strong> sneaking into the top 10, maybe on the huge performance he&#8217;s had in the post season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/news\/2024-mlb-draft-who-will-guardians-take-with-no-1-pick-two-way-sec-player-power-hitters-more-on-the-board\/\">CBSsports\/RJ Anderson 6\/18\/24 odds of going #1<\/a>: Bazzana, Condon, Wetherholt, Caglianone, Burns. Only did a top 5.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>ESPN\/Kiley McDaniel <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/insider\/story\/_\/id\/40378166\/2024-mlb-mock-draft-20-kiley-mcdaniel-predicts-first-two-rounds-top-picks\">6\/19\/24 Mock 2.0<\/a>: Wetherholt, Condon, Burns, Bazzana, Caglianone.  Very contrarian top 5, considering many others have Bazzana nowhere else besides #1 or #2.  Nats at #10 take Griffen, even though in this mock Kurtz is still on the board (who he has going 13th!).  Kiley predicts into the 2nd round and has us taking a duke LHP named Santucci in the second.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Athletic\/Keith Law <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/5572706\/2024\/06\/19\/mlb-mock-draft-2024-charlie-condon-bryce-rainer\/\">6\/19\/24 Mock 2.0<\/a>: Condon, Bazzana, Caglianone, Kurtz, Wetherholt.  Nats at #10 get Montgomery, who falls b\/c of his injury with memories of the way Rendon fell to us.  They leave Griffin and Yesevage on the board.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s the collection of Draft Ranking lists from Mid May leading upto the draft.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NOTE: there&#8217;s a difference between a Mock draft and a Draft board Ranking. Mocks take into account a thought process as to what a team might do, and includes the value-add of the networking and intelligence the writers have. So, keep that in mind when reading Ranks versus Mocks here. I&#8217;ll pull out all these Draft Ranks again when we do 2024 draft recaps to show where our draftees rank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Kiley McDaniel\/ESPN <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/insider\/story\/_\/id\/40101500\/2024-draft-rankings-20-mock-draft-top-prospects\">Top 100 Draft Ranks 5\/8\/24:<\/a> Bazzana, Condon, Caglianone, Kurtz, Smith. Nats at 10 take <strong>Bryce Rainer<\/strong>, a SS from Harvard Westlake.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Keith Law <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/5508698\/2024\/05\/22\/mlb-draft-2024-top-100-prospects\/\">Top 100 Draft Ranks 5\/22\/24<\/a>: Condon, Bazzana, Kurtz, Wetherholt, Montgomery. If the draft went chalk to his rankings, at #10 we&#8217;d have Caglianone. Honestly, while Caglianone is certainly famous and many think he&#8217;s going to try the Ohtani two-way route, most scouting reports put him as hitter-only, which means he&#8217;s 1B limited with huge power but also huge swing and miss concerns. I&#8217;d rather have an arm. In his ranks, Burns and Smith go ahead, but Yesavage goes right behind.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>ProspectsLive Draft <a href=\"https:\/\/www.prospectslive.com\/prospects-live\/2024\/5\/29\/2024-mlb-draft-top-300-prospects\">top 300 ranks 5\/29\/24<\/a>: Condon, Bazzana, Caglianone, Montgomery, Smith. Coming in ranked 10th is Yesevage, right above Rainer.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>MLBpipeline <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mlb.com\/nationals\/news\/mlb-s-top-200-draft-prospects-for-2024\">top 200 Draft ranks 5\/30\/24<\/a>: Bazzana, Condon, Caglianone, Kurtz, Burns. #10 is Rainer, #11 is Yesevage, so they&#8217;re consistent with other ranks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Baseball America <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/rankings\/2024-top-mlb-draft-prospects\/?utm_source=baseballamerica.beehiiv.com&amp;utm_medium=newsletter&amp;utm_campaign=ranking-the-top-500-draft-prospects-latest-ncaa-tournament-coverage\">top 500 Draft Ranks 5\/31\/24<\/a>: Condon, Bazzana, Burns, Wetherholt, Montgomery. Rainer comes in ranked 10th.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>ESPN\/Kiley McDaniel <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/mlb\/insider\/story\/_\/id\/40101500\/2024-draft-rankings-20-mock-draft-top-prospects\">top 150+ ranks<\/a> 5\/31\/24: Condon, Bazzana, Montgomery, Smith, Caglianone. 10th ranked is Wetherholt.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>CBSSports\/RJ Anderson <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbssports.com\/mlb\/news\/2024-mlb-draft-player-rankings-college-bats-lead-list-of-top-30-prospects-in-class\/\">6\/14\/24 Draft Rankings<\/a>: Condon, Bazzana, Burns, Kurtz, Caglianone.  Ranked 10th is the Florida State slugger <strong>James Tibbs<\/strong> III, the first time we&#8217;ve heard his name in this series but certainly not the first time we&#8217;ve written about him after he dominated in the Super Regionals.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>So, what do I think will happen with the Nats pick?  Right now it really seems like we&#8217;ll take one of the two prep shortstops.  I&#8217;d love it if one of the college guys fell down.  Not sure what I think about Montgomery yet.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Instead of sitting on a massive mock draft post this year, I published the first cut of mocks to show how the top 5 and our thinking at #10 have morphed from mid 2023 until about mid May 2024. This post has basically mid May to Mid June, as a slew of mocks have just [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,4324],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18474","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-draft","category-prospects"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18474","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18474"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18474\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18540,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18474\/revisions\/18540"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18474"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18474"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18474"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}