{"id":18694,"date":"2024-09-30T09:04:16","date_gmt":"2024-09-30T13:04:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=18694"},"modified":"2024-09-30T09:04:18","modified_gmt":"2024-09-30T13:04:18","slug":"nats-finish-in-line-to-pick-4th-in-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=18694","title":{"rendered":"Nats finish in line to pick 4th in 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/FrankTheTank.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"178\" height=\"178\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/FrankTheTank.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-18695\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/FrankTheTank.webp 178w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/FrankTheTank-150x150.webp 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 178px) 100vw, 178px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Year four of the rebuild is complete.  The team was flirting with .500 well into June but just couldn&#8217;t hold it together once they lost their best starter.  From the trade-deadline forward they went 22-30 to end the season at 71-91, a .438 winning percentage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s a quick summary of where we are in the rebuild:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Year 1: 2021: moved Turner, Scherzer, Schwarber, et al.  Finished 65-97.  Earned 5th overall pick in 2022 draft (Elijah Green)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Year 2: 2022: moved Soto and Bell, finished 55-107, Earned 2nd overall pick in 2023 draft after losing lottery, got Dylan Crews.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Year 3: 2023: Improved to 71-91, dropped to 10th in 2024 draft thanks to new CBA rules despite winning lottery, got Seaver King<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Year 4: 2024: Finished 71-91 again.  <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Our 71-91 finish, combined with the White Sox getting the same treatment we got last year (i.e., being a big market team that is bad two years in a row getting kicked out of the top 10) and Oakland getting kicked out of the lottery as well (they&#8217;re a revenue recipient that&#8217;s been in the lottery two years in a row), we stand to benefit by moving up a couple of slots of lottery odds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tankathon.com\/mlb\">Tankathon.com<\/a> has the current reverse order of draft standings, showing us in 4th place\/4th best lottery odds.  We can pick no worse than 7th, but can move up to pick #1.  (all the draft rules are at the bottom of the tankathon page).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We&#8217;re a ways off of from the 2025 draft, but we are starting to see some commonality for the names at the 2025 draft boards.  Its looking like a college-heavy first round right now, even though a prep kid could go 1-1 overall.  If we&#8217;re in the top 7 though, we&#8217;re in line to get one of these names right now:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/players\/1325398-ethan-holliday\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Ethan Holliday<\/a>, <\/strong>SS, Stillwater (Okla.) HS. Brother of Jackson Holliday, son of Matt Holliday<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/players\/20300-jace-laviolette\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Jace LaViolette<\/a>, <\/strong>OF, Texas A&amp;M. <a href=\"https:\/\/d1baseball.com\/awards\/2024-d1baseball-all-america-teams\/\">1st team<\/a> All American as a sophomore, 29 homers last year.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/d1baseball.com\/player\/1657110\/tyler-bremner\/\"><strong>Tyler Bremner<\/strong><\/a>, RHP, UC Santa Barbara. 11-1, 2.54 ERA as a sophomore last year, dominated this past summer for the <a href=\"https:\/\/d1baseball.com\/prospects\/2024-usa-collegiate-national-team-breakdown-scouting-the-pitchers\/?utm_source=feedly&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=2024-usa-collegiate-national-team-breakdown-scouting-the-pitchers\">US Collegiate Nat&#8217;l Team<\/a>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/players\/21214-caden-bodine\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Caden Bodine<\/a>, <\/strong><\/strong>C, Coastal Carolina; .347\/.432\/.564 first two years at CCU as a plus defensive Catcher.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/players\/676063-jamie-arnold\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Jamie Arnold<\/a>, <\/strong>LHP, Florida State. 1st team AA, Friday starter for FSU. 159 Ks in 102ip in 2024, co-ace for US Collegiate National Team this summer with Bremner.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/players\/9056-cam-cannarella\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Cam Cannarella<\/a>, <\/strong>OF, Clemson Freshman ACC POTY, .363\/.440\/.560 first two college seasons while playing with injury.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/players\/18605-devin-taylor\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Devin Taylor<\/a>, <\/strong>OF (CF), Indiana. <strong>.<\/strong>357\/.449\/.660 with 20HRs his sophomore season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/players\/20122-nolan-schubart\/\">Nolan Schubart<\/a><\/strong>, OF Oklahoma State. Ridiculous 1.351 OPS in 2024. Huge slugger potential.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>There&#8217;s also a couple of other prep kids in the mix for the top 10, but something tells me we&#8217;ll be taking a college player this time around and not a project.  We don&#8217;t &#8220;need&#8221; Bodine or an outfielder necessarily, would love to get one of these two college arms.   The top of the class certainly is looking outfielder heavy right now.  I like the connection to Schubart, an Oklahoma kid (we seem to take a lot of players from that region) who could mash his way up, but BA has him slipping into the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baseballamerica.com\/rankings\/2025-top-mlb-draft-prospects\/?utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=new-no-1-2025-draft-prospect&amp;_bhlid=cc4ae4fc9e8029d1587d292673ff5d65d468d874\">20s for the class<\/a> so he may not really be in the conversation for the top 6-7 of the draft.  I like a slugger outfielder who could project as a 1B\/LF\/DH rotation kind of guy, but it has to be a major slugger.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Anyway, lots to discuss this off-season.  I&#8217;m not sure how much i&#8217;ll &#8220;cover&#8221; the playoffs this year due to other writing commitments, but we have options, rule5, and other fun stuff to cover coming up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Year four of the rebuild is complete. The team was flirting with .500 well into June but just couldn&#8217;t hold it together once they lost their best starter. From the trade-deadline forward they went 22-30 to end the season at 71-91, a .438 winning percentage. Here&#8217;s a quick summary of where we are in the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18694","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-draft","category-natsgeneral"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18694","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18694"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18694\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18696,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18694\/revisions\/18696"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18694"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18694"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18694"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}