{"id":3032,"date":"2011-11-16T13:29:30","date_gmt":"2011-11-16T18:29:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=3032"},"modified":"2011-11-16T13:29:30","modified_gmt":"2011-11-16T18:29:30","slug":"ask-boswell-111411-edition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=3032","title":{"rendered":"Ask Boswell 11\/14\/11 edition"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_3035\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/RamosWilsonhomesafe-via-wvec.com_.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3035\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-3035\" title=\"RamosWilsonhomesafe via wvec.com\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/RamosWilsonhomesafe-via-wvec.com_-300x166.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"166\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/RamosWilsonhomesafe-via-wvec.com_-300x166.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/RamosWilsonhomesafe-via-wvec.com_.jpg 432w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-3035\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Glad to see the Ramos situation handled with no violence or harm.  Photo ESPN screengrab via wvec.com<\/p><\/div>\n<p>I somehow missed last week&#8217;s <strong>Tom Boswell<\/strong> chat; brain fart I suppose.\u00a0 Either that or I got caught up in work and life and never got to it. However he only took three baseball-related questions this week, so I dug back and answered last week&#8217;s chat too.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/live.washingtonpost.com\/ask-boswell-1114.html\">the 11\/14 version<\/a>.\u00a0 Despite Redskins meltdown, he did manage to squeeze in some baseball and Nats related questions.<\/p>\n<p>As always, I edit the &#8220;questions&#8221; for clarity and pen my own response before reading Boswell&#8217;s.<\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>What are the chances that the kidnappers in Venezuela took the wrong person? <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: The implication being, why kidnap <strong>Wilson Ramos<\/strong> when he&#8217;s the one with access to all the money.\u00a0 Wouldn&#8217;t it be better to kidnap (say) Ramos&#8217; brother or another relative, then squeeze Ramos for cash?\u00a0 Answer: yeah that does make more sense frankly, unless the kidnappers had plans of grandiose and were thinking that the Nationals franchise or MLB in general would pay a multi-million dollar ransom.\u00a0 <em>Boswell notes that we may eventually find out, as it is in Venezuela&#8217;s best interest to get to the bottom of the story to preserve their winter league.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>Why would any MLB player return home to face the violence or risks that Ramos did?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: A sense of country, a sense of pride, home-sickness, visiting family, or a sense of loyalty to the grass roots programs that enabled the player to make it.\u00a0 Take your choice.\u00a0 Foreign players returning home in the off-season will never stop.\u00a0 <em>Boswell doesn&#8217;t really answer<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>Worse Owner: Snyder or McCourt<\/strong>?<\/p>\n<p>A: <strong>McCourt <\/strong>by far; he took a cherished franchise and bankrupted it for personal gain.\u00a0 <strong>Snyder <\/strong>has done nothing but vastly increase the value of the Redskins.\u00a0 In that respect he&#8217;s one of the BEST owners out there.\u00a0 So what if the Redskins are headed for another sub .500 season; the stadium is still sold out, idiots, er I mean &#8220;Redskins Fans&#8221; are still paying $60\/day to park, and a hot dog and beer at the stadium still sets you back nearly $20.\u00a0 If you want change, stop giving Snyder thousands of dollars and stop going to the games.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Here&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/live.washingtonpost.com\/ask-boswell-1107.html\">the 11\/07 version<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>Since the Nats are a year away, do the pursue Grady Sizemore as a stop  gap and if he plays well trade him and get value like Matt Capps?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: That&#8217;s not a bad idea in theory, but in reality I&#8217;m pretty sure <strong>Sizemore<\/strong>&#8216;s days of being a productive and (more to the point) reliable outfielder are done.\u00a0 The Nats NEED a center fielder; they don&#8217;t need another experiment (<strong>Nyger Morgan<\/strong>) or another stop-gap (<strong>Rick Ankiel<\/strong>).\u00a0 I&#8217;ll bet Sizemore doesn&#8217;t get more than a veteran FA deal (1yr, $1.5M) based on his injury history.\u00a0 And he&#8217;ll go to a team that already has OF coverage and could use him as a DH or a 4th OF.\u00a0 <em>Boswell says forget Sizemore and look at <strong>Coco Crisp<\/strong>.\u00a0 Or wait til the Rays non-tender <strong>BJ Upton<\/strong> and go after him.\u00a0 I concur<\/em><strong>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>Why are the Nats looking for a #3 starter, like Mark Buehrle?  It seems like they have more  than enough pitching between Strasburg, Zimmerman, Wang, Detweiler, Lannan, Peacock, Milone.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: A good question &#8230; unless you don&#8217;t really trust your rookies.\u00a0 <strong>Detwiler <\/strong>had a few good starts in September, but the previous two years of trials didn&#8217;t turn out so well.\u00a0 <strong>Peacock <\/strong>and <strong>Milone <\/strong>similarly looked good in September &#8230; is that enough?\u00a0 <strong>Buehrle <\/strong>is a known quantity, a better pitcher than most of the above, and would allow the team to enter 2012 with a relatively veteran rotation.<\/p>\n<p>Another angle; sign Buehrle (or <strong>Oswalt <\/strong>for that matter, the goal with both is the same; to find a vet innings eater who can win) and non-tender <strong>Lannan<\/strong>.\u00a0 This saves $4M or so, and then you have Detwiler, Peacock and Milone compete for #5.\u00a0 I&#8217;m not saying this is a wise direction at all mind you; Lannan is a known quantity as well.\u00a0 A sub 4.00 era who allows more base-runners than you&#8217;d like but who gets results.\u00a0 <em>Boswell notes that with <strong>Wang<\/strong>&#8216;s signing, we don&#8217;t NEED another starter but may end up with one.\u00a0 And he says don&#8217;t sleep on <strong>Yu Darvish<\/strong>, who apparently the Nats brass has been asking about for years.\u00a0 Great.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>How accurate is Adam Kilgore&#8217;s article <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/blogs\/nationals-journal\/post\/the-nationals-payroll-an-overview\/2011\/11\/03\/gIQAemusiM_blog.html\">projecting the Nats salaries<\/a><\/strong>?<\/p>\n<p>A: In my opinion, he was probably guessing low (he guessed $62M prior to any Fa signings).\u00a0 \u00a0 Per my own calculations I project the Nats salary rising from last year&#8217;s $68M range to at least $72M before any more FA signings after Wang.\u00a0 I&#8217;ve got $49M in guaranteed salaries to guys already signed for 2012, plus $15.9M for arbitration raises, plus around $6.7M for the min-salary guys.\u00a0 This also assumed we were tendering both Lannan and <strong>Gorzelanny<\/strong>.\u00a0 But this is all hypothetical anyway.\u00a0 In reality the only number that matters is the payroll ceiling given to <strong>Rizzo<\/strong> by the <strong>Lerners.<\/strong> <em>Boswell hadn&#8217;t read it and didn&#8217;t comment, then went off on a tangent on Davey Johnson&#8217;s pirate ship<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>What do you think the Nats will do with Norris?  It looks like his path is blocked due to Wilson Ramos<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>A: I&#8217;d say that eventually they trade <strong>Jesus Flores<\/strong> to bring up <strong>Norris<\/strong>, then allow Norris to compete with Ramos for starts.\u00a0 There&#8217;s never a bad thing with having depth; it allowed the Twins to trade Ramos to acquire a resource they felt they needed in <strong>Matt Capps<\/strong>, whether or not you though it was a poor trade or not.\u00a0 So eventually maybe Norris becomes trade bait as well.\u00a0\u00a0 <em>Boswell didn&#8217;t really say what he thought would happen to Norris, just that its a good thing to have this &#8220;problem.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>Hey Boz At what point do you have to look at Jose Reyes as the catalyst the Nats need<\/strong>?<\/p>\n<p>A: Hopefully, never.\u00a0 As I <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=2793\">opined here<\/a>, <strong>Reyes<\/strong> played well above career values in his contract year and seems sure to regress and disappoint.\u00a0 <em>Boswell agrees, noting also rumors of character\/clubhouse issues that led to the Mets collapse a few years ago.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I somehow missed last week&#8217;s Tom Boswell chat; brain fart I suppose.\u00a0 Either that or I got caught up in work and life and never got to it. However he only took three baseball-related questions this week, so I dug back and answered last week&#8217;s chat too. Here&#8217;s the 11\/14 version.\u00a0 Despite Redskins meltdown, he [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,14,5],"tags":[111,188,35,37,360,383,369,367,256,39,43,113,339,434,129,122,179,51,297,38,366,125,176,34,147,300],"class_list":["post-3032","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nonnatsbaseball","category-chatmailbag-responses","category-natsgeneral","tag-adam-kilgore","tag-bj-upton","tag-brad-peacock","tag-chien-ming-wang","tag-coco-crisp","tag-dan-snyder","tag-derek-norris","tag-frank-mccourt","tag-grady-sizemore","tag-john-lannan","tag-jordan-zimmermann","tag-jose-reyes","tag-mark-buehrle","tag-matt-capps","tag-mike-rizzo","tag-nyjer-morgan","tag-rick-ankiel","tag-ross-detwiler","tag-roy-oswalt","tag-stephen-strasburg","tag-ted-lerner","tag-tom-boswell","tag-tom-gorzelanny","tag-tommy-milone","tag-wilson-ramos","tag-yu-darvish"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3032","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3032"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3032\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3063,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3032\/revisions\/3063"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3032"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3032"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3032"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}