{"id":4551,"date":"2012-09-18T11:54:42","date_gmt":"2012-09-18T15:54:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=4551"},"modified":"2013-08-29T13:49:25","modified_gmt":"2013-08-29T17:49:25","slug":"auburnshort-a-pitching-staff-year-in-review-2012","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=4551","title":{"rendered":"Auburn\/Short-A Pitching Staff Year in Review; 2012"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<dl id=\"attachment_2360\">\n<dt>\n<div id=\"attachment_4562\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/MooneyhamBrett_Stanford_mlbdraftcountdown.wordpress.com_1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4562\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-4562\" title=\"MooneyhamBrett_Stanford_mlbdraftcountdown.wordpress.com\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/MooneyhamBrett_Stanford_mlbdraftcountdown.wordpress.com_1-300x246.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"246\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/MooneyhamBrett_Stanford_mlbdraftcountdown.wordpress.com_1-300x246.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/MooneyhamBrett_Stanford_mlbdraftcountdown.wordpress.com_1.jpg 350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-4562\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Brett Mooneyham was probably the biggest name in Auburn this year. Photo unknown via mlbdraftcountdown.wordpress.com<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=2436\">Click here for the 2011 version of this post<\/a>, for a look at how things were last year.<\/p>\n<\/dt>\n<\/dl>\n<\/div>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the Short-A version of the 2012 season pitching staff review.\u00a0 I&#8217;m going down the line from top to bottom; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=4462\">AAA is here<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=4470\">AA is here<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=4490\">High-A is here<\/a>, and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=4522\">Low-A is here<\/a>. As with the other reviews, we&#8217;ll look at the main rotation, the substitute and spot starters, then focus on key relievers.\u00a0 Rehab appearances are generally not mentioned.\u00a0 The lower you get in the minors, the harder it is to really pass judgement on a player&#8217;s real capabilities or career outlook, so take some of these evaluations with a grain of salt.\u00a0 They say not to depend on small sample sizes and I agree; we&#8217;re doing after-the-fact analysis on a small sample size of a half a pro season in most cases.\u00a0 This is especially true with Short-A and the GCL, where most of the roster are 2012 draftees.\u00a0\u00a0 So &#8220;outlook for next season&#8221; is almost entirely a guess for these players.\u00a0 A ton of them will be left in extended spring to compete for next year&#8217;s Auburn team, while a ton more will be released without much fanfare.<\/p>\n<p>The rotations in the lower minor leagues are also not nearly as clean as in the upper-levels.\u00a0 Lots of times the &#8220;starter&#8221; is slated to go as many innings as the &#8220;reliever,&#8221; a way to get two starter candidates longer stretches of innings.\u00a0 We&#8217;ll try to take that into consideration as we move forward.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Auburn starters<\/strong><\/em>.\u00a0 The rotation started the season with Jordan\/Medina, Baez, Monar, Encarnation, and Smith. \u00a0 Lets see how the original rotation and other primary starters fared.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Taylor Jordan <\/strong><\/span>got 6 rehab-ish starts for Auburn before finishing the season in Low-A post Tommy John surgery. <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: (from low-A post) Low-A rotation again.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Gregory Baez <\/strong><\/span>made <a href=\"http:\/\/www.milb.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=t458&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=547800\">3 starts<\/a> and was clearly hurt in his last one (giving up 5 runs and 5 hits in a 1\/3 of an inning) before hitting the DL, where he&#8217;s stayed the rest of the season.\u00a0 No word on the actual injury.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: get healthy, try out the Short-A rotation again.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Blake Monar<\/strong> <\/span>was one of two guys who stayed in the rotation from start to finish, ending the season with a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.milb.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=t458&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=543554\">2-3 record and a 3.29 ERA<\/a>.\u00a0 He averaged a K\/inning, but gave up too many walks (30 in 54 2\/3 innings) which drove up his WHIP.\u00a0 That being said, he kept the ball in the park (only one HR in those 54+ innings) and worked around his base runners effectively (his <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/statss.aspx?playerid=sa455504&amp;position=P\">FIP was lower<\/a> than his ERA).\u00a0 I think Monar is a good lefty starter prospect for 2013 and beyond.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: low-A rotation with a look towards promotion to Potomac.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Pedro Encarnation <\/strong><\/span>gave low-A a shot but couldn&#8217;t cut it, so he dropped to Short-A.\u00a0 He improved on 2011&#8217;s short-A outing by starting the whole season and putting up a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.milb.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=t458&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=547532\">4.20 ERA<\/a> that was better than it seemed (his <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/statss.aspx?playerid=sa507042&amp;position=P\">FIP was 3.59<\/a>).\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: a repeat of 2012; he&#8217;s getting another shot at the low-A rotation, probably dropping to bullpen.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Nicholas Lee<\/strong> <\/span>made the jump from wild bullpen lefty in 2011 to effective starter in 2012.\u00a0 He was <a href=\"http:\/\/www.milb.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=t458&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=595297\">3-1 with a 3.77 ERA<\/a> in 62 mostly starting innings.\u00a0 He cut down on his walk rate, he kept his stellar K\/inning rate, and kept the ball on the ground (2 homers in 62 innings and a 1.48 go\/ao ratio).\u00a0 Per <a href=\"http:\/\/nationalsprospects.com\/\">Nationalsprospects<\/a>, he&#8217;s &#8220;not a hard thrower and scouts love his change-up.&#8221;\u00a0 His <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/statss.aspx?playerid=sa550027&amp;position=P\">FIP was nearly a point below his ERA<\/a>, indicating that he was even more effective than we thought.\u00a0 I like this guy; his only issue is being an undersized lefty, and thus having a tendency to be type-cast as a Loogy.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: Low-A bullpen; I can&#8217;t see him sticking as a starter.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Brett Mooneyham<\/strong> <\/span>was the 2nd biggest name out of our 2012 draft, going 3rd round out of Stanford (and after having gotten picked by the Nats twice before).\u00a0 He&#8217;s a big, projectionable lefty who was effective in his first 10 pro appearances (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.milb.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=t458&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=543561\">2-2 with a 2.55 ERA<\/a>).\u00a0 But where&#8217;s the dominance?\u00a0 Only 29 Ks in 42 innings.\u00a0 I tend to agree with <strong>John Sickels<\/strong>&#8216; analysis, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.minorleagueball.com\/2012\/8\/22\/3258988\/2012-baseball-draft-update-third-round-picks\">as stated here<\/a>.\u00a0 I&#8217;ll quote: &#8220;<em>Just like in college: looks like a pitcher, good arm, but doesn&#8217;t dominate the way you think he should<\/em>.&#8221;\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: Low-A rotation.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>David Fischer <\/strong><\/span>was an 18th round 2012 draft pick who started the year in the bullpen and ended it in the rotation (probably to make up for promotions).\u00a0 Numbers were soso; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.milb.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=t458&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=543158\">4.96 ERA<\/a> in total, slightly better in 8 starts.\u00a0 I&#8217;m not sure he&#8217;s done enough to win a rotation spot in any 2013 team.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: Repeating short-A in the bullpen.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Ivan Pineyro <\/strong><\/span>dominated the GCL, moved up to short-A and was not as effective, getting shelled his last two outings to balloon his <a href=\"http:\/\/www.milb.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=t458&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=606335\">ERA to 5.50<\/a> in 34 1\/3 short-A innings.\u00a0 It took him a year to solve GCL, perhaps it&#8217;ll take him 2013 to solve short-A.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: Repeating short-A in the rotation.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Brian Rauh<\/strong> <\/span>earned a quick promotion out of Short-A and finished the year in Hagerstown. <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: (from the low-A post): low-A rotation.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Other guys who got spot starts here and there (non-rehab):\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Silvio Medina<\/strong> <\/span>got four spot starts amongst 16 short-A appearances and was something of a &#8220;wild thing;&#8221; 9 hit batsmen and 5 wild pitches to go with 20 walks in 47 innings.\u00a0 His <a href=\"http:\/\/www.milb.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=t458&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=593831\">4.98 ERA<\/a> was well-earned.\u00a0 He did average a K\/inning.\u00a0 The DSL graduate turned 22 and finished his 3rd pro season.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: I could see him trying the low-A bullpen despite his numbers; he can always drop back down if he can&#8217;t cut it there or loses out amongst stiff competition.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Jason Smith <\/strong><\/span>had one spot start and 11 other appearances; he was basically awful in all of them, to the tune of a 7.94 ERA in 22 2\/3 innings before getting shut down in early August.\u00a0 This 2011 undrafted free agent was good in 2011 in the rookie-league but couldn&#8217;t make the jump in 2012.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: short-A bullpen, if not released.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Wil Hudgins <\/strong><\/span>pitched mostly in the GCL after getting picked in the 22nd round this year.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: see GCL post.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em><strong>Auburn Relievers<\/strong><\/em>: taking a look at the relief corps at the end of the season.\u00a0 These are done in order by IP for any reliever who didn&#8217;t get at least one start.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Travis Henke<\/strong> <\/span>pitched most of the year in long-ish relief for Auburn and was pretty effective: 7-1, 2.78 ERA and good ancillary numbers.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: low-A bullpen competition.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Cody Davis <\/strong><\/span>is a fighter; non-drafted 2011 FA who is just 5&#8217;9&#8243; and 170 (hell, that&#8217;s my size.\u00a0 Well, not the weight part anyway) but puts up good numbers from the hill.\u00a0 2012: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.milb.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=t458&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=592245\">50 Ks in 42 innings and a 3.64 ERA<\/a>.\u00a0 He faces an uphill battle though because of his size.\u00a0 He&#8217;s got nothing left to prove though in either short-season league.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: low-A bullpen competition.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Derek Self <\/strong><\/span>was the Auburn closer and had effective numbers, but not the dominant K\/9 rates you&#8217;d expect.\u00a0 Stats: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.milb.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=t458&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=605464\">3.27 ERA in 33 innings<\/a> and 16 saves.\u00a0 He&#8217;s got the same issue Mooneyham does; big arm (92-95mph), projectionable frame (6&#8217;3&#8243; 205lbs), but missing dominance.\u00a0 Maybe he needs another pitch, or 20lbs of muscle on his body. \u00a0 Nonetheless, there&#8217;s no reason to think he won&#8217;t move up next season.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: low-A bullpen competition, though I doubt he sticks as a closer.<\/li>\n<li>The Nats took a flyer on local product <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Michael Boyden <\/strong><\/span>and it may be paying off; he had a 1.07 ERA in 33 2\/3 innings between the two short season teams.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 That ERA was slightly lucky; he had <a href=\"http:\/\/www.milb.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=t458&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=622239\">17 walks in 25 short-A innings<\/a>.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: low-A middle-reliever.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Robert Benincasa <\/strong><\/span>showed power stuff with impeccable control in his limited time in Short-A.\u00a0 23 1\/3 innings, 32 Ks and just 3 walks.\u00a0 Great season.\u00a0 Can&#8217;t wait to see what this 7th rounder in 2012 out of Florida State can do at the next level.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: low-A bullpen.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Jack McGeary<\/strong><\/span> threw a total of 9 1\/3 pro innings in 2012, only coming off the DL in early August.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: low-A rotation competition for what may be his final season in the organization.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Richie Mirowski <\/strong><\/span>threw 7 innings in short-A before finishing the season in low-A.\u00a0 See Low-A post.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Ronald Pena <\/strong><\/span>and <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Gilberto Mendez <\/strong><\/span>each started the year in the GCL and got a cup-of-coffee in Auburn.\u00a0 Both seem to feature as short-A bullpen candidates in 2013.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Other Relievers who appeared in Short-A<\/strong> (not including Rehabbing MLBers).\u00a0 Some of these guys threw fewer than 10 innings on the year, not nearly enough to write-up.\u00a0 <em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em> for all of these guys seems the same: another season in the low minors, struggling to make an impact.\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Elliott Waterman<\/strong><\/span>:\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.milb.com\/milb\/stats\/stats.jsp?pos=P&amp;sid=t458&amp;t=p_pbp&amp;pid=621411\"> 22 walks in 25 innings<\/a>.\u00a0 Needs to improve.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Bryan Harper <\/strong><\/span>had big K\/9 rates but not much else.\u00a0 He&#8217;ll need more than a famous younger brother.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Andrew Wall <\/strong><\/span>was mediocre in a handful of relief innings after signing as a non-drafted FA this year.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>John Peters <\/strong><\/span>threw a handful of innings for Auburn but ended the year in GCL.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em><strong>Summary<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Auburn made the playoffs behind the strength of its pitching.\u00a0 All up and down the staff you see dominant performances.\u00a0 This bodes well as these guys matriculate to Hagerstown and beyond in 2013.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Click here for the 2011 version of this post, for a look at how things were last year. Here&#8217;s the Short-A version of the 2012 season pitching staff review.\u00a0 I&#8217;m going down the line from top to bottom; AAA is here, AA is here, High-A is here, and Low-A is here. As with the other [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[946,201,856,921,945,937,934,938,944,943,203,935,206,924,947,939,933,190,941,940,942,202,24,853,932,936],"class_list":["post-4551","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-minorspitching","tag-andrew-wall","tag-blake-monar","tag-brett-mooneyham","tag-brian-rauh","tag-bryan-harper","tag-cody-davis","tag-david-fischer","tag-derek-self","tag-elliott-waterman","tag-gilberto-mendez","tag-gregory-baez","tag-ivan-pineyro","tag-jack-mcgeary","tag-jason-smith","tag-john-peters","tag-michael-boyden","tag-nicholas-lee","tag-pedro-encarnation","tag-richie-mirowski","tag-robert-benincasa","tag-ronald-pena","tag-silvio-medina","tag-taylor-jordan","tag-tommy-john","tag-travis-henke","tag-wil-hudgins"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4551","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4551"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4551\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7545,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4551\/revisions\/7545"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4551"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4551"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4551"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}