{"id":5390,"date":"2012-12-04T11:08:04","date_gmt":"2012-12-04T16:08:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=5390"},"modified":"2012-12-04T11:08:04","modified_gmt":"2012-12-04T16:08:04","slug":"duke-bray-signings-excellent-under-the-radar-moves-for-rizzo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=5390","title":{"rendered":"Duke, Bray signings: excellent, under the radar moves for Rizzo"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_5391\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/DukeZazh-AP-Photo-via-rr.com_.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-5391\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-5391\" title=\"Nationals Cardinals Baseball\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/DukeZazh-AP-Photo-via-rr.com_-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-5391\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Zach Duke seems an easy one-for-one replacement for Tom Gorzelanny.  Photo AP Photo\/Jeff Roberson via rr.com<\/p><\/div>\n<p>It was clear that the Nats stood to lose all three of their left-handed relievers this off-season, either by free agency (<strong>Sean Burnett<\/strong>, <strong>Michael Gonzalez<\/strong>) or by salary-driven non-tenders (<strong>Tom Gorzelanny<\/strong>). \u00a0And it also became pretty clear that the price for quality left-handed relief is on the rise, on the backs of <strong>Jeremy Affeldt<\/strong>&#8216;s 3yr\/$18M deal to remain with San Francisco. \u00a0The Nats have <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/blogs\/nationals-journal\/wp\/2012\/12\/03\/mike-rizzo-on-sean-burnett-not-a-fit-financially-right-now\/\">all-but-announced that Burnett is going to be too expensive<\/a> for them as a result. \u00a0Furthermore, the Nats farm system faces a specific <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/teams\/WSN\/2012-organization-pitching.shtml\">lack of quality left-handed reliever options<\/a> in the upper minors (2012 Nats farmhands\u00a0<strong>Atahualpa Severino<\/strong> having been DFA&#8217;d off the 40-man roster in 2012, <strong>Corey VanAllen<\/strong> posting a 6+ ERA in 2012, and <strong>Patrick McCoy<\/strong> only having reached AA. \u00a0Plus both Severino and VanAllen are minor league free agents to boot), so the team clearly was on the market for FA lefty relief.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Mike Rizzo<\/strong> took two nice steps towards rebuilding this lefty reliever depth with the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/blogs\/nationals-journal\/wp\/2012\/12\/03\/nationals-sign-zack-duke-bill-bray-to-bolster-left-handed-relief\/?wprss=rss_nationals-journal\">12\/3\/12 signings<\/a> of <strong>Zach Duke<\/strong> and <strong>Bill Bray<\/strong> to one year deals. \u00a0Duke salvaged his career in 2012 by putting in a 15-5 season in AAA starting, then providing decent (albeit generally low-leverage) relief for the big club in September. \u00a0He signs a major league deal, significant because he has 6+ years of service time and thus cannot be sent back to AAA without consent; clearly Duke is meant to be in the bullpen in 2013. \u00a0He seems to be a perfect like-for-like replacement for Gorzelanny, a lefty ex-starter who has the flexibility to pitch anywhere from one-batter to 5 innings as needed. \u00a0Its tough to draw a ton of conclusions from Duke&#8217;s 13 2\/3 September innings (short sample sizes), but his <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/d\/dukeza01.shtml\">numbers were great<\/a> (1.32 ERA, 1.098 whip and 10\/4 k\/bb in those innings). \u00a0I don&#8217;t think I like Duke as much as Gorzelanny, but at the likely price (terms were not announced but I&#8217;d be shocked if this was for much more than a $1.5M deal) compared to what Gorzelanny likely makes in arbitration ($3M or more) this represents a good bit of business.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, re-obtaining Bill Bray returns a special player to the fold; Bray was the franchise&#8217; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/draft\/?query_type=franch_round&amp;team_ID=WSN&amp;draft_round=1&amp;draft_type=junreg&amp;\">#1 draft pick in 2004<\/a>. \u00a0He&#8217;s a local kid (grew up in Virginia Beach, went to William and Mary, and he&#8217;s the cousin of a buddy of mine. \u00a0Apologies for the name dropping \ud83d\ude42 ), and he represents a pretty good gamble by the team. \u00a0His <a href=\"http:\/\/\">numbers with Cincinnati are very up-and-down<\/a>, but when he&#8217;s on, he&#8217;s good. \u00a0Signing Bray on a minor league deal allows him to compete for the 2nd lefty spot in the bullpen, but also gives the team 40-man roster flexibility to stash him in AAA to start the year if he&#8217;s still not recovered from his 2012 injuries (he missed most of 2012 after <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseballprospectus.com\/card\/card.php?id=45609\">two separate muscle strain issues<\/a>). \u00a0Or, if he&#8217;s looking like he&#8217;s in a 5.00 ERA form versus a 2.90 ERA form, there&#8217;s no damage in letting him work out kinks in Syracuse. \u00a0I like this move a lot.<\/p>\n<p>Two good pieces of business to start the Winter Meetings for Rizzo.<\/p>\n<p>As a side note, the <strong>Adam Kilgore<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/sports\/nationals\/nationals-mike-rizzo-in-search-of-their-kind-of-fifth-starter\/2012\/12\/03\/3d7aa56c-3dab-11e2-ae43-cf491b837f7b_story.html\">article in the Post this morning<\/a> reports a couple of interesting points:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The Nats plan on working Duke out as a starter this coming spring. \u00a0Now, as mentioned above Duke cannot be optioned to the minors by virtue of his service time, so I&#8217;m hoping that this move is merely as insurance against a spring training injury to one of the rotation members. \u00a0I&#8217;m not worried about Duke&#8217;s ability to adapt to a drop to the bullpen though; he did so admirably enough in September of last \u00a0year after starting in Syracuse the whole summer.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Christian Garcia<\/strong> is once again reported as &#8220;taking on a starter&#8217;s workload&#8221; in 2013 Spring Training. \u00a0I had an email chat with <strong>Luke Erickson<\/strong> about this topic and may turn it into an opinion piece. \u00a0What do we make of Garcia&#8217;s constantly reported conversion to being a starter?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It was clear that the Nats stood to lose all three of their left-handed relievers this off-season, either by free agency (Sean Burnett, Michael Gonzalez) or by salary-driven non-tenders (Tom Gorzelanny). \u00a0And it also became pretty clear that the price for quality left-handed relief is on the rise, on the backs of Jeremy Affeldt&#8216;s 3yr\/$18M [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,4],"tags":[111,141,820,84,539,1194,129,908,108,176,906],"class_list":["post-5390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-mlbpitching","category-minorspitching","tag-adam-kilgore","tag-atahualpa-severino","tag-bill-bray","tag-corey-vanallen","tag-jeremy-affeldt","tag-michael-gonzalez","tag-mike-rizzo","tag-patrick-mccoy","tag-sean-burnett","tag-tom-gorzelanny","tag-zach-duke"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5390","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5390"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5390\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5396,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5390\/revisions\/5396"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5390"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5390"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5390"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}