{"id":5477,"date":"2012-12-12T11:01:27","date_gmt":"2012-12-12T16:01:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=5477"},"modified":"2012-12-12T11:01:27","modified_gmt":"2012-12-12T16:01:27","slug":"ladsons-inbox-121112","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=5477","title":{"rendered":"Ladson&#8217;s inbox 12\/11\/12"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_5019\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/LaRocheAdam-unk-via-bleacherreport.com_.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-5019\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-5019\" title=\"2012-04-21_139222275RC041_Cincinnati_R\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/LaRocheAdam-unk-via-bleacherreport.com_-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-5019\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">LaRoche; Staying or going?  Photo Rob Carr\/Getty Images via bleacherreport.com<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Hey, everybody&#8217;s doing inbox responses this week. \u00a0Here&#8217;s <strong>Bill Ladson<\/strong>&#8216;s latest inbox column, <a href=\"http:\/\/washington.nationals.mlb.com\/news\/article.jsp?ymd=20121211&amp;content_id=40606976&amp;vkey=news_was&amp;c_id=was\">dated 12\/11\/12<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>As always, I write the response here before reading his, and sometimes edit questions for clarity.<\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>Are you pleased with the Denard Span trade? Or do you think the Nats should have tried to sign Michael Bourn?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: My <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=5362\">thoughts are pretty clear<\/a> on the <strong>Denard Span<\/strong> trade; in a sentence, I didn&#8217;t think we needed to make the trade, but the deal we struck was fair. \u00a0If it comes down to Span versus <strong>Michael Bourn<\/strong>, there&#8217;s no question in my mind you go with Span; Bourn wants too much money, is older, they&#8217;re roughly equivalent in terms of UZR\/150, and Bourn has lesser career batting stats (104 OPS+ career for Span versus 90 for Bourn). \u00a0I think there&#8217;s a reason that <strong>BJ Upton<\/strong> signed and most teams with CF needs\/wants have solved them (Phillies and <strong>Ben Revere<\/strong>, Giants and re-signing <strong>Angel Pagan<\/strong>, Braves and Upton, Nats and Span, etc)\u00a0and Bourn still sits unsigned; he and his super-agent <strong>Scott Boras<\/strong> are over-valuing his services. \u00a0<em>Ladson says he likes Span for his contract and his age versus Bourn<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>Why are the Nats thinking about getting rid of a 30-homer, 100-RBI guy in Adam LaRoche?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: First, lets be fair; the Nats are &#8220;not getting rid&#8221; of the Free Agent <strong>Adam LaRoche<\/strong>; he&#8217;s a free agent and can sign anywhere he chooses. \u00a0Maybe LaRoche is tired of the humidity in Washington and wants to find a team closer to home. \u00a0Maybe his wife really likes the Pacific Northwest and he&#8217;s looking to move to Seattle. \u00a0Ok seriously; the problem with LaRoche is simply his age; yes he was 30\/100 THIS year; what will he do next year? \u00a0More importantly, what would he do 3 years from now when he&#8217;s 35 and earning $15M\/year or so? \u00a0That&#8217;s the risk in any FA contract for someone in his 30s, and these types of contracts have a tendency to add up and really hamstring your budgets. \u00a0Just look at the Yankees and Phillies right now; think the Phillies wish they had about $50M in payroll flexibility to improve their .500 team? \u00a0The team really doesn&#8217;t want to commit more than a couple years, but at LaRoche&#8217;s age this is really his last shot at a big-time, life altering guaranteed contract. \u00a0He really needs to get as much guaranteed money as he can. \u00a0If the Red Sox give him a 3year guaranteed contract, he really needs to take it. \u00a0<em>Ladson states the obvious; Nats offering 2 years, LaRoche wants 3.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>Who will be the Nats&#8217; second baseman in 2013 &#8212; Danny Espinosa or Steve Lombardozzi? <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: <strong>Danny Espinosa<\/strong>. \u00a0The team showed patience waiting for <strong>Ian Desmond<\/strong> to turn it around and seem likely to do the same with Espinosa. \u00a0Now, if it were me, I wouldn&#8217;t mind cashing in Espinosa&#8217;s defensive stature and 20-home run prowness and shed his 190Ks\/season to obtain some farm system depth and just live with <strong>Steve Lombardozzi<\/strong> playing 2nd and batting 8th, but there&#8217;s really no reason to do that right now. \u00a0Espinosa is at MLB minimum and may make the leap; and Lombardozzi may really just be a utility\/backup infielder type. \u00a0<em>Ladson predicts a gold glove and an All-Star appearance for Espinosa. \u00a0That made me chuckle. \u00a0He&#8217;s very optimistic.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>What does the Span trade mean for the future of Tyler Moore? Moore has good pop and belongs in the everyday lineup.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: Well, clearly the Span acquisition means that <strong>Tyler Moore<\/strong> is at best looking at another season of backup at-bats. \u00a0What is more important to Moore is what happens with LaRoche\/<strong>Michael Morse<\/strong>. \u00a0Because those are the blockers to Moore getting actual playing time right now. \u00a0Moore&#8217;s production last season was great for a first \u00a0year guy; .840 OPS, 124 OPS+, a 22 home run full season pace. \u00a0He hit righties better than lefties, which fares well for his maturation as a hitter. \u00a0But there&#8217;s just no room for him right now. \u00a0I suspect he may be trade bait if the team signs LaRoche to a 3year deal, just as Morse will be. \u00a0<em>Ladson states the obvious; Moore will come off the bench this year. <\/em><\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>Who will be the Nationals&#8217; starting catcher on Opening Day?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: Great question. \u00a0I&#8217;d go with <strong>Kurt Suzuki<\/strong> for now, until hearing how <strong>Wilson Ramos<\/strong>&#8216; recovery is going. \u00a0Remember, Ramos had to have <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseballprospectus.com\/card\/card.php?id=49829\">two knee surgeries<\/a> last summer; I don&#8217;t think its a guarantee that he&#8217;s ready opening day. \u00a0<em>Ladson agrees, saying the team is taking it slow w\/ Ramos<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>Do you think Michael Morse is a defensive liability in the outfield? If LaRoche signs with the Nats, what impact will that have on Morse?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: Yes he&#8217;s a defensive liability in LF. \u00a0But I don&#8217;t mind having a 30 homer defensive liability in left. \u00a0But I&#8217;m not the GM of the Nationals who seems dead set on replacing all sub-par defenders on his roster. \u00a0If LaRoche signs, it pretty clearly means an imminent trade of Morse, since it makes little sense to have his bat sitting in a backup capacity. \u00a0 <em>Ladson doesn&#8217;t think he&#8217;s as big of a liability in LF as I do, pointing out that Morse seemed like he was playing hurt at the end of the season<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Q: <strong>What will the Nats do with Chien-Ming Wang?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A: Nothing. \u00a0<strong>Chien-Ming Wang<\/strong> is a free agent and can sign anywhere he wants. \u00a0If the Nats give him another dollar of guaranteed money I&#8217;ll be furious. \u00a0<em>Ladson says he&#8217;s not coming back and may not sign til mid-season, ala <strong>Roy Oswalt<\/strong>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hey, everybody&#8217;s doing inbox responses this week. \u00a0Here&#8217;s Bill Ladson&#8216;s latest inbox column, dated 12\/11\/12. As always, I write the response here before reading his, and sometimes edit questions for clarity. Q: Are you pleased with the Denard Span trade? Or do you think the Nats should have tried to sign Michael Bourn? A: My [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14,5],"tags":[184,262,484,498,182,188,37,135,482,1033,175,136,297,180,142,235,147],"class_list":["post-5477","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chatmailbag-responses","category-natsgeneral","tag-adam-laroche","tag-alex-meyer","tag-angel-pagan","tag-ben-revere","tag-bill-ladson","tag-bj-upton","tag-chien-ming-wang","tag-danny-espinosa","tag-denard-span","tag-kurt-suzuki","tag-michael-bourn","tag-michael-morse","tag-roy-oswalt","tag-scott-boras","tag-steve-lombardozzi","tag-tyler-moore","tag-wilson-ramos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5477","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5477"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5477\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5480,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5477\/revisions\/5480"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5477"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5477"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5477"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}