{"id":633,"date":"2011-02-17T14:10:07","date_gmt":"2011-02-17T19:10:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=633"},"modified":"2013-08-29T13:56:58","modified_gmt":"2013-08-29T17:56:58","slug":"hagerstowns-2010-rotation-in-review","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=633","title":{"rendered":"Hagerstown&#8217;s 2010 Rotation in Review"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s a look at Hagerstown&#8217;s pitching staff in 2010.<\/p>\n<p><strong>End of Season Rotation<\/strong>: Demny 21, Hicks 20, Bronson 23, Applebee 22, Ott 22<br \/>\n(<strong>rotation order<\/strong>: Demny, Hicks, Applebee, Ott, Bronson)<br \/>\n<strong>bullpen<\/strong>: Wort, Arnold, Vasquez, Weaver, Morrison, Erb, Graham, Garcia, McCatty<br \/>\n<strong>spot starts<\/strong>: Smoker 22 (demoted for Ott)<br \/>\n<strong>promotions<\/strong>: Holder, Rosenbaum,<br \/>\n<strong>up-and-back<\/strong>:<br \/>\n<strong>demotions<\/strong>: Gibson<br \/>\n<strong>dl<\/strong>: McGeary (TJ surgery, out for a while), Clegg<br \/>\n<strong>cut\/retired<\/strong>: Willems<\/p>\n<p>Hagerstown&#8217;s 2010 staff held three of our system&#8217;s biggest disappointments; <strong>Colton Willems<\/strong>, <strong>Jack McGeary<\/strong> and <strong>Josh Smoker<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>One of the stories of the season was the abrupt retirement of Colton Willems, the latest reminder of the absolute train wreck our 2006 draft was (slight tangent; only 3 players from that draft have even made it onto our 40-man roster; Marrero, Carr and Kimball, and none of these are really expected to compete for 2011 mlb spots).\u00a0 Willems was a supplemental #1 pick whose stuff as a starter seemed to plateau in the low-A league.\u00a0 He wasn&#8217;t able to get guys out in high-A in 2009, and was converting to be a reliever for the 2010 season when he retired.\u00a0 His 2010 numbers were bad, but he probably should have given it more time.<\/p>\n<p>Josh Smoker&#8217;s status as a flame out prospect is nearly as bad as Willems.\u00a0 He was a 2007 supplemental #1 pick has yet to show he can get guys out above the rookie league, and while he was slowed by an arm injury in 2009 his performance in 2010 (3-10 with a 6.50 era in low-A) may have buried his career in baseball.\u00a0 <strong>2011 Outlook<\/strong>: fully converted to a reliever in Hagerstown, where he has to show he can get guys out or he will be released.<\/p>\n<p>Another story of the season for the Nats franchise in general was the arm injury suffered by Jack McGeary.\u00a0 McGeary was having a decent start in low-A before blowing out his elbow and getting Tommy John surgery.\u00a0 McGeary was considered a drafting coup of the 2007 draft, signing for 1.8M as a 6th rounder with 1st round talent.\u00a0 But through parts of four pro seasons he&#8217;s never really shown the talent to match his pedigree and even post TJ surgery I doubt he will ever pan out.\u00a0 I can see the Nats hanging on to him until he recovers and giving him another shot based on prior investment and his age, but his days seem numbered.<\/p>\n<p>Hagerstown&#8217;s two elder statesmen (Holder and Rosenbaum) both moved up to high-A mid season, leaving a relatively young staff.\u00a0 Lets talk about each guy:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Mitchell Clegg<\/strong>: Despite not being in the rotation at the end, Clegg was clearly the best of what was left of Hagerstown&#8217;s mediocre rotation.\u00a0 He was 9-3, 3.48 era, 1.26 whip before a premature end to his season.\u00a0 <strong>2011 Outlook<\/strong>: I think he starts in Hagerstown again, with the idea of a quick jump up to high-A if the likes of Bronson or Applebee falters.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Paul Demny<\/strong>: Pitched a full season in Low-A, 27 starts, compiling mediocre numbers (6-10, 4.23 era, 1.35 whip, 106\/47 k\/bb in 129 ip).\u00a0 He improved upon his 2009 season in Hagerstown though, but probably not enough to merit a promotion to high-A.\u00a0 <strong>2011 Outlook<\/strong>: he may have peaked in terms of talent, but he should start in Hagerstown once again.\u00a0 If he pitches well, a quick trip to Potomac.\u00a0 If not, he may find himself moved to mop up duty for the rest of his days.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Graham Hicks<\/strong>: put up mediocre numbers as a 20-yr old in low-A for the first time (1-6, 5.27 era) but he&#8217;s a lefty with a live arm (58 ks in 66 ip).\u00a0 <strong>2011 outlook<\/strong>: we traded Hicks along with Morris and Burgess for Gorzelanny this off season.\u00a0 I suspect he&#8217;ll start in Chicago&#8217;s low-A franchise.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Evan Bronson<\/strong>: he put up pretty weak numbers (4-2, 5.40 era and less than 4.5 K&#8217;s\/9) after faring better in high-A.\u00a0 I don&#8217;t quite understand his demotion based on his performance in high-A, and perhaps that factored into his bad low-A performance.\u00a0 He was pretty dominant as a bullpen guy in short-A in 2009; perhaps he returns to that role eventually.\u00a0 <strong>2011 outlook<\/strong>: he&#8217;s a bit old for the level and seemed to be able to handle high-A last year, so I can see him starting there in 2011.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Paul Applebee<\/strong>: 6-6, 4.29 era in a mix of starting and relief appearances in 2010.\u00a0 He clearly is a starter though, and a lefty to boot, so I can see him continuing to get looks.\u00a0 <strong>2011 outlook<\/strong>: I&#8217;m predicting he takes the 5th slot in Potomac, unless someone like Lehman or Holder gets pushed down to take that spot.\u00a0 If so I can see him being a long man out of the bullpen or a spot starter.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>A couple other guys had spot starts in 2010: <strong>Billy Ott<\/strong> had two mediocre starts but may be given a rotation spot in 2011.\u00a0 <strong>Sammy Solis<\/strong> pitched 4 shutout innings before going off to the Arizona Fall season; he almost certainly starts in Low-A with the idea of moving up quickly and finishing the year in AA.<\/p>\n<p>Hopefully Hagerstown sees better pitching in 2011 than it did in 2010.\u00a0 At least you&#8217;ll get to see <strong>Bryce Harper<\/strong> blast a few balls to right-center before he starts his inexorable march towards the majors.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s a look at Hagerstown&#8217;s pitching staff in 2010. End of Season Rotation: Demny 21, Hicks 20, Bronson 23, Applebee 22, Ott 22 (rotation order: Demny, Hicks, Applebee, Ott, Bronson) bullpen: Wort, Arnold, Vasquez, Weaver, Morrison, Erb, Graham, Garcia, McCatty spot starts: Smoker 22 (demoted for Ott) promotions: Holder, Rosenbaum, up-and-back: demotions: Gibson dl: McGeary [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[853],"class_list":["post-633","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-minorspitching","tag-tommy-john"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/633","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=633"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/633\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":645,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/633\/revisions\/645"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=633"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=633"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=633"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}