{"id":8206,"date":"2013-12-06T08:10:26","date_gmt":"2013-12-06T13:10:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=8206"},"modified":"2013-12-06T08:10:26","modified_gmt":"2013-12-06T13:10:26","slug":"what-part-of-detwilers-career-makes-him-assume-he-has-a-rotation-spot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=8206","title":{"rendered":"What part of Detwiler&#8217;s career makes him assume he has a rotation spot??"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_4943\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/detwilerRoss_HarazGhanbari_AP_viafederalbaseball.com_.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4943\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-4943\" alt=\"Detwiler may be in denial about his job.  Photo Haraz Ghanbari\/AP via federalbaseball.com\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/detwilerRoss_HarazGhanbari_AP_viafederalbaseball.com_-150x150.jpg\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-4943\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Detwiler may be in denial about his job. Photo Haraz Ghanbari\/AP via federalbaseball.com<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Washington Post beat reporter\u00a0<strong>Adam Kilgore<\/strong> called\u00a0<strong>Ross Detwiler<\/strong> for a reaction to the\u00a0<strong>Doug Fister<\/strong> acquistion and\u00a0<strong>Mike Rizzo<\/strong>&#8216;s follow-up comments on the pending 5th starter competition next spring. \u00a0Here&#8217;s the story:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/blogs\/nationals-journal\/wp\/2013\/12\/05\/ross-detwiler-wants-to-start-feeling-100-percent-healthy\/\">http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/blogs\/nationals-journal\/wp\/2013\/12\/05\/ross-detwiler-wants-to-start-feeling-100-percent-healthy\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I call out one quote from Detwiler in particular:<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cI didn\u2019t know there was going to be an open competition for the last spot,\u201d Detwiler said. \u201cOh, well. I\u2019ve gone into every year since I got here like that. \u00a0So why change that now?\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m sorry; what part of\u00a0Detwiler&#8217;s career, or his performance last year in particular, is such that he should be surprised that he&#8217;s going to be competing for a rotation spot?? \u00a0I&#8217;ll just note a few key points:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>He&#8217;s thrown more than <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/d\/detwiro01.shtml\">75 innings ONCE<\/a> in his MLB career. \u00a0In fact in his entire professional career he&#8217;s only thrown more than 75 innings twice; 2012&#8217;s 164 MLB inning season and 2008&#8217;s 124 inning Potomac season.<\/li>\n<li>He was <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/statss.aspx?playerid=2859&amp;position=P#advanced\">2-7 with a 4.04 ERA<\/a> (a 94 ERA+) and even worse advanced stats (his 4.44 SIERA ranked him <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders.aspx?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=70&amp;type=1&amp;season=2013&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2013&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;sort=21%2ca\">176th out of 206 MLB<\/a> pitchers who threw 70+ innings last year).<\/li>\n<li>He never goes deep into games; per Kilgore&#8217;s article he&#8217;s pitched past the 7th inning once, and a look at his <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/gl.cgi?id=detwiro01&amp;t=p&amp;year=2012\">game-logs <\/a>shows that he rarely throws even a 100 pitches in an outing.<\/li>\n<li>As others have stated, he basically throws one pitch &#8230; and batters begin to tattoo him when they see it enough; again per Kilgore&#8217;s article opposing batters are hitting\u00a0.314\/.366\/.493 the third time through the order against him.<\/li>\n<li>He had two separate D\/L stints in 2013, and a season ending stint in 2010.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>What part of those statistics inspires confidence that a) Detwiler is actually durable enough to count on for an entire season in the rotation, or b) he&#8217;s going to be better than one of our many alternatives at this point? \u00a0Or c) is he even good enough to be a starter for this team any more?<\/p>\n<p>To the c) part, I used to be a big proponent of Detwiler&#8217;s, especially after his 2011 and 2012 seasons with their stellar looking ERA+ figures and after hearing anonymous scouting reports that gush about Detwiler&#8217;s &#8220;stuff&#8221; being the best on the staff. \u00a0 But a look deeper (especially at 2012) shows that his ERA+ is a mirage; his advanced metrics put him far back on the leader boards of qualified starters. \u00a0 His bullpen stats are phenomenal (albeit short-sample-sized); maybe its time to accept that he&#8217;s a better bullpen weapon.<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps I&#8217;m overreacting to one quote in this article in particular since the rest of the article seemed to have him saying &#8220;the right things.&#8221; \u00a0But this quote shows a rather misguided opinion of his capabilities, given what his performance has been and given how much time he&#8217;s missed. \u00a0He has to be more aware of the possibility that the team no longer can count on him to be there to answer the bell 32-33 times with better than league average performance.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Washington Post beat reporter\u00a0Adam Kilgore called\u00a0Ross Detwiler for a reaction to the\u00a0Doug Fister acquistion and\u00a0Mike Rizzo&#8216;s follow-up comments on the pending 5th starter competition next spring. \u00a0Here&#8217;s the story: http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/blogs\/nationals-journal\/wp\/2013\/12\/05\/ross-detwiler-wants-to-start-feeling-100-percent-healthy\/ I call out one quote from Detwiler in particular: \u201cI didn\u2019t know there was going to be an open competition for the last spot,\u201d Detwiler [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[111,241,129,51],"class_list":["post-8206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-mlbpitching","tag-adam-kilgore","tag-doug-fister","tag-mike-rizzo","tag-ross-detwiler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8206","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8206"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8206\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8207,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8206\/revisions\/8207"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8206"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8206"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8206"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}