{"id":8246,"date":"2013-12-13T14:18:54","date_gmt":"2013-12-13T19:18:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=8246"},"modified":"2013-12-17T10:27:46","modified_gmt":"2013-12-17T15:27:46","slug":"nationalsmlb-pitching-staff-year-in-review-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=8246","title":{"rendered":"Nationals\/MLB Pitching Staff Year in Review; 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_4749\" style=\"width: 160px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/ZimmermannJordan_landing-unk-via-sportsun.com_.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4749\" class=\"size-thumbnail wp-image-4749\" alt=\"Jordan Zimmermann was the real &quot;ace&quot; of the 2013 Nats.  Photo Unk.\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/09\/ZimmermannJordan_landing-unk-via-sportsun.com_-150x150.jpg\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-4749\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Jordan Zimmermann was the real &#8220;ace&#8221; of the 2013 Nats. Photo Unk.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>I began thinking about system-wide predictions for the pitching staffs for the 2014 teams and realized that I heavily depend on doing staff-by-staff analysis to do the predictions. \u00a0I wasn&#8217;t going to do these review posts this year (mostly because they&#8217;re incredibly time consuming) but I also realize they&#8217;re a) the best way to do predictions for the coming year and b) the best way to becoming more vigilant in really forming an opinion on all the short-season guys.<\/p>\n<p>So, without further ado, and despite the fact that its mid December and this post should have been done two months ago, here&#8217;s the first of many organizational reviews of the pitching staffs of our various affiliates for the 2013 season. \u00a0We&#8217;ll start with the Majors and move downwards.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=4872\">same version of 2012&#8217;s post<\/a> for a historical review.<\/p>\n<p>I think we all know how the major league squad did, so I&#8217;ll try to be brief here for the stalwarts we know are going to be with the team in 2014. \u00a0(Editor&#8217;s note: &#8220;brief&#8221; has turned into nearly 3,000 words. \u00a0oh well). \u00a0A lot of this analysis is for the &#8220;Outlook for next season&#8221; sections, which help me drive the predictions for all the pitching staffs next year. \u00a0All stats are courtesy of either <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/teams\/WSN\/2013.shtml\">Baseball-Reference&#8217;s Washington 2013<\/a> page\u00a0or via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders.aspx?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=8&amp;season=2013&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2013&amp;ind=0&amp;team=24&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0\">Fangraph&#8217;s\u00a0Washington 2013<\/a> page. \u00a0Also useful here are the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheet\/ccc?key=0AmkEIm1TLiXQdHExYldZVUZJZk9uckFjeEVCSmR5Umc&amp;hl=en#gid=26\">Big Board<\/a>\u00a0and the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheet\/ccc?key=0AmkEIm1TLiXQdGhVRjRfNW81SG8xRlROQ1ZxZzNfbUE&amp;hl=en#gid=0\">Nats Draft Tracker<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Washington starters<\/strong><\/em>.\u00a0 The rotation started the season with Strasburg, Gonzalez, Zimmermann, Detwiler and Haren. \u00a0At season&#8217;s end it was Strasburg, Gonzalez, Zimmermann, Haren and Roark, though not necessarily in that exact order thanks to skipped starts, ejections\/washed out outings and some re-ordering at the all-star break.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Stephen Strasburg <\/strong><\/span>\u00a0had a down year for a supposed &#8220;Ace&#8221; in this league by conventional stats (8-9, 3.00 ERA) but by most advanced measures Strasburg was still in the top 10-15 pitchers in the league. \u00a0He still averaged more than a K\/inning, he had the 2nd highest fastball velocity for any starter in the majors (only behind\u00a0<strong>Matt Harvey<\/strong>). \u00a0He suffered from incredibly bad run support all year; the Nats scored <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/gl.cgi?id=strasst01&amp;t=p&amp;year=\">2 runs or less in 16 of his 30 starts<\/a>\u00a0and he got Losses or No-Decisions no less than 13 times when he allowed two or fewer earned runs and pitched enough to qualify for the decision. \u00a0That&#8217;s crazy. \u00a0With normal run support of 3-4 runs a game Strasburg easily could have had a record like 17-6 with a 3.00 era and been in the running for Cy Young votes. \u00a0On the bright side; he made 30 starts in year two post Tommy John surgery, and he should be in full force for 2014.\u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: 2014&#8217;s opening day starter.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Gio Gonzalez<\/strong><\/span> took a step back from his magical 2012 season and more closely resembled the starter that he was for Oakland in 2010-2011. \u00a0Which isn&#8217;t a bad thing; he still posted a 3-war season, he was still a 113 ERA+ guy, and he answered the bell every time his spot was up for the 4th year running. \u00a0 He was a bit more hittable this year, gave up nearly twice as many homers as in 2012 (but in line with his years prior) and we got a glance of what we can probably expect from him going forward. \u00a0On the year he was 11-8 with a 3.36 ERA, and like Strasburg he had a number of no-decisions where the team just didn&#8217;t score him any runs. \u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: 2014&#8217;s #2 starter.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Jordan Zimmermann<\/strong><\/span> had his best season as a pro, posting a 19-9 record with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.088 whip. \u00a0This earned him a 7th place Cy Young award finish and likely earned him tens of millions of dollars on his eventual contract extension. \u00a0Zimmermann maintained a 4\/1 K\/BB rate, good for <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders.aspx?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=y&amp;type=1&amp;season=2013&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2013&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;sort=5,d\">13th among all qualified starters<\/a> and even better considering the velocity at which he pitches (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders.aspx?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=y&amp;type=10&amp;season=2013&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2013&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0\">9th in the league<\/a> in vFA at 93.9mph). \u00a0A side note on just how amazing Matt Harvey is: he was 2nd in the league in K\/BB and FIRST in vFA; that&#8217;s a pretty special combination. \u00a0Zimmermann seems set to broach 8 figures in arbitration and it may behoove the team to try to work out a contract extension before he hits the open market. \u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: 2014&#8217;s #3 starter.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Ross Detwiler<\/strong><\/span> made <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/gl.cgi?id=detwiro01&amp;t=p&amp;year=\">8 decent starts in April and May<\/a> before missing a month thanks to an oblique strain, then made 5 mostly mediocre starts in June before being lost for the season thanks to a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseballprospectus.com\/card\/card.php?id=57701\">herniated disc in his back<\/a>. \u00a0Detwiler&#8217;s injury exposed the one glaring weakness in the construction of the 2013 Nationals; absolutely no starting pitching depth. \u00a0Much ink has been spilled here and elsewhere on Detwiler&#8217;s status for 2014, but I will say this: look at his game logs from the early part of the season and you&#8217;ll find that his performance was north of expectations for a #5 starter. \u00a0Because of this (and his option-less status frankly), I am predicting for now that he&#8217;ll win the 5th starter battle in the spring (more on this after all the organization reviews are done and we talk about 2014 predictions). \u00a0The question will be; can he stay healthy and can he keep the job? \u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: 2014&#8217;s #5 starter.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Dan Haren<\/strong><\/span> was, as we all know, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/split.cgi?id=harenda01&amp;year=&amp;t=p\">awful in April, mostly awful in May and god-awful in June<\/a>. \u00a0He hit the D\/L for a brief stint in what was an obvious &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=7045\">forced<\/a>&#8221; trip, for when he was asked he didn&#8217;t even know for what injury he was being shelved for. \u00a0At the time of his D\/L trip he literally was the worst or close to the worst starting pitcher in the game by nearly any statistical measure. \u00a0 Yes he picked up his performance after the D\/L trip, but by that point the damage had been done. \u00a0He had game after game where suddenly the offense was down 5-6 runs and the game was basically over. \u00a0For the year the team was 11-19 in his starts. \u00a0Not a great return for the $13M contract he signed. \u00a0The Nats didn&#8217;t dare to offer him a qualifying offer and his tenure ended with an ironic slap in the face as he <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/gl.cgi?id=harenda01&amp;t=p&amp;year=\">pitched one of his best games<\/a> in his final Washington appearance. \u00a0\u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: signed with Los Angeles Dodgers for 1yr\/$10m to be their 4th or 5th starter.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Nathan Karns<\/strong><\/span> was the first minor league reinforcement starter to get the call (here&#8217;s my <a href=\" http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=6792\">&#8220;first look&#8221; post at his 5\/28\/13 <\/a>debut). \u00a0In three starts he got hit hard: 17 hits and 5 homers that resulted in a 7.50 ERA and a return to AA. \u00a0We&#8217;ll talk more about Karns in the Harrisburg review. \u00a0Based on what I saw, it may be that he&#8217;s eventually bound for the bullpen, where he can throw harder for shorter bursts. \u00a0But his value as a starter is obvious if he can corral all of his pitches. \u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: AAA rotation.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Taylor Jordan<\/strong><\/span> got the call-up when the team finally lost patience with Haren and sent him to the D\/L in June (here&#8217;s my <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=7104\">&#8220;first look&#8221; post at his 6\/28\/13 debut<\/a>). \u00a0Jordan looked pretty good in his 9 starts, posting a 3.66 ERA and a 3.49 FIP. \u00a0Not bad considering where he started the year (in Potomac&#8217;s rotation). \u00a0Jordan was shut down in Mid-August thanks to the organizational innings limit for post-Tommy John surgery pitchers (he threw a total of 142 across 3 levels on the \u00a0year). \u00a0Now the big question; what to do with him for 2014? \u00a0Unfortunately for Jordan (and as we&#8217;ll talk about in a moment), his departure opened the door for other opportunistic pitchers and he may have been passed on the organizational depth chart. \u00a0For now, I&#8217;m predicting that Jordan won&#8217;t win the 5th starter job over Detwiler and will be sent to Syracuse to get starts and serve as the organizational starter depth that we struggled with in 2013. \u00a0\u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next season<\/strong><\/em>: AAA rotation.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Ross Ohlendorf<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0took a minor league gig with the Nationals to try to revitalize his career and went a somewhat pedestrian looking 4-6 in 13 starts at AAA. \u00a0He re-vamped his wind-up and mechanics, threw with some good pace and eventually a streak of good starts led to his June call-up. \u00a0He spent the rest of the season as the Nats&#8217; long-man\/spot starter, getting 16 apperances and 7 starts in posting a servicable 3.28 ERA. \u00a0He seemed to tire when featured as a starter, only going past the 5th inning three times, and\u00a0<strong>Davey Johnson<\/strong>\u00a0eventually seemed hesitatant to use him because of it. \u00a0Eventually, a shoulder strain 15 day D\/L trip and a poor spot-start in early September opened the door for others to grab starts (see below), but Ohlendorf remained the emergency starter for the rest of the season. \u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next<\/strong><strong>\u00a0season:\u00a0<\/strong><\/em>he did enough to get tendered a contract (which he quickly signed; 1yr\/$1.25M), and seemingly he will slot back in as the long-man\/spot-starter role for the MLB team. \u00a0He doesn&#8217;t seem to have enough to compete and win the 5th starter competition. \u00a0Will the team dump him to AAA as an inexpensive starter insurance policy? \u00a0I doubt it for now; they probably opt to keep Ohlendorf as the last guy out of the pen and keep Jordan on regular starts in AAA.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Tanner Roark<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0toiled in AAA most of the season, and seemingly was set to exit the organization as a MLFA before earning a call-up in August. \u00a0Roark&#8217;s body of work both in 2013 and over the past few seasons warranted his call-up, and his mixture of success both in the starter role and in a long-relief role in AAA made him the perfect candidate to replace Ohlendorf when he hit the D\/L. \u00a0All Roark did upon arriving in the majors is pitch lights-out (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/r\/roarkta01.shtml\">a 252 ERA+<\/a>) in 50 innings mixed with starts and relief apperances. \u00a0Here was my <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-admin\/post.php?post=7391&amp;action=edit\">&#8220;first look&#8221; post<\/a> on his relief debut, and by the end of the season he was putting in a series of effective starts in the rotation. \u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next<\/strong><strong>\u00a0season:<\/strong><\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>he&#8217;ll compete for the 5th starter job in spring but may not win it. \u00a0Its hard to imagine a guy who threw 50+ innings of 1.50 ERA ball to NOT make the team the following spring; \u00a0I see him as the 6th guy in the bullpen and the first emergency starter in case someone gets hurt.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Zach Duke<\/strong><\/span> got one spot-start but was mostly a reliever; see the next section.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em><strong>Washington relievers<\/strong><\/em>. \u00a0We&#8217;ll work the relievers backwards from the closer down the pen, starting with the original 7 guys in the pen to start the season and work from there.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Rafael Soriano<\/strong><\/span> was a surprise FA signing late in the 2012-2013 off-season, seemingly a\u00a0<strong>Scott Boras<\/strong> special for the Nats. \u00a0His signing unsettled the bullpen, brought in a veteran with a history of malcontentness and under-performance when he wasn&#8217;t closing (just look at his stats in closer and non-closer seasons), <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=5767\">cost a ton of money<\/a>, and\u00a0cost the team their 1st round draft pick (which could have netted them quite a prospect, as <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=6881\">discussed in my draft review post here<\/a>). \u00a0Other than that, I thought it was a fantastic signing (sarcasm). \u00a0For the year he went 43 for 49 in save opportunities, finished 58 games (important b\/c his 2015 option vests if he &#8220;finishes&#8221; more than 120 games), and pitched relatively pedestrian stats for a highly paid closer: 3.11 era, 122 ERA+, 1.230 whip. \u00a0Certainly he wasn&#8217;t putting up the kind of lights out numbers we saw from other such highly paid closers. \u00a0\u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next<\/strong><strong>\u00a0season:<\/strong><\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>back in the closer role, hopefully finishing fewer than 62 games so we can jettison him and his $11M salary.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Tyler Clippard<\/strong><\/span> returned to his dominant ways of 2011, throwing 71 innings of 2.42 ERA\/158 ERA+ ball. \u00a0He showed why he&#8217;s best suited to keep in the 8th inning role even if it costs him money in arbitration. \u00a0He remains the most effective reliever in the pen and is well worth the $6M he seems set to attain in arbitration. \u00a0A more interesting question eventually awaits the team; is Clippard going to price himself out of our bullpen? \u00a0Perhaps not this off-season but maybe next, he should be moved to a team to assume their closer role and provide value commensurate with his rising salary. \u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next<\/strong><strong>\u00a0season:<\/strong><\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>back in the 8th inning role.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Drew Storen<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0seemed to be the most unsettled by the Soriano acquisition, perhaps coupled with PTSD from his meltdown in the 2012 NLCS game 5. \u00a0He was ineffective in April, got it together for a while but then just blew up in July, giving up <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/split.cgi?id=storedr01&amp;year=&amp;t=p\">14 runs in 9 innings<\/a> and earning a demotion to work on his (admittedly) inconsistent mechanics. \u00a0To his credit, when he returned he was back to normal, giving up just 3 runs in 20 innings to finish out the season. \u00a0Lets hope he&#8217;s back to normal and can contribute for 2014. \u00a0Thanks to his inconsistent 2013, his name isn&#8217;t being mentioned as much in trade rumors, so hopefully that gives him some peace of mind this off-season.\u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next<\/strong><strong>\u00a0season:<\/strong><\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>back in the 7th\/8th inning role.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Craig Stammen<\/strong><\/span> continued his excellent workhorse performance as the classic right-handed middle reliever. \u00a0He put up a 2.76 ERA in 81 innings over 55 appearances. \u00a0Nothing much to say here; the biggest question with Stammen may be what happens NEXT off-season, when he faces the third and fourth arbitration years. \u00a0What kind of contract would you pay for him? \u00a0Is he going to price himself out of our bullpen? \u00a0We&#8217;ll see. \u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next<\/strong><strong>\u00a0season:<\/strong><\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>back in the 6th\/7th inning middle relief role.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Ryan Mattheus<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0was putting up the expected decent middle relief numbers when he\u00a0imploded in San Diego in late May, giving up 5 runs in an inning. \u00a0In a fit of pique he <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=6708\">punched a wall<\/a>, broke his pitching hand (didn&#8217;t he ever see\u00a0<em>Bull Durham<\/em>? \u00a0Never swing with your pitching hand!) and was sent to the D\/L. \u00a0More importantly, I think the organization lost quite a bit of respect for him. \u00a0He returned two months later but pitched relatively poorly the rest of the season, finishing with a 6.27 ERA. \u00a0 That&#8217;s just not going to cut it, not with the kind of arms who are pushing for spots lower down in the organization. \u00a0I think Mattheus will lose the competition for middle relief coming out of spring and will be sent to AAA as reliever depth. \u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next<\/strong><strong>\u00a0season:<\/strong><\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>AAA bullpen.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Henry Rodriguez <\/strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">was his typical self for the Nats early in the season; wild, ineffective and out of options, limiting the team&#8217;s flexibility. \u00a0Somewhere along the line the team finally gave up; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=6853\">DFA&#8217;ing Rodriguez<\/a>\u00a0 and somehow working out a trade to get something back (<strong>Ian Dickson<\/strong> from the Cubs). \u00a0Thus ends a long, frustrating tenure with the team. \u00a0The Cubs, for what its worth, DFA&#8217;d Rodriguez just 6 weeks after acquiring him, outrighted him to AAA Iowa, where apparently he got hurt after just 3 games and finished the season on the D\/L. \u00a0He&#8217;s pitching in winter ball now so it must have been a minor injury. \u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next<\/strong><strong>\u00a0season:<\/strong><\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>on Chicago&#8217;s AAA team presumably.<\/span><br \/>\n<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Zach Duke<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0was inexplicably ineffective for the team in the early parts of 2013, and was subsequently released in early June after the team presumably lost patience with him after an awful spot start and an even more unnerving\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/gl.cgi?id=dukeza01&amp;t=p&amp;year=\">4 walk relief outing<\/a>. \u00a0 It goes to show you; sometimes you cannot trust small sample sizes. \u00a0Duke pitched great in September 2012, awful in April 2013 &#8230; but then was absolutely fantastic for Cincinnati down the stretch working primarily as a loogy. \u00a0Go figure; maybe our loogy solution was in the pen the whole time. \u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next<\/strong><strong>\u00a0season:<\/strong><\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>he&#8217;s not listed as a FA, so presumably he&#8217;s still under contract to Cincinnati right now.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Fernando Abad<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0was a MLFA signing last off-season who pitched great for Syracuse and earned a call-up in May. \u00a0 He toiled in the pen decently most of the year for the big-club but wasn&#8217;t considered valuable enough to keep. \u00a0The team DFA&#8217;d him ahead of this year&#8217;s rule-5 draft and then worked out a trade with our favorite GM\u00a0<strong>Billy Beane<\/strong>. \u00a0This somewhat surprised me given Abad&#8217;s macro numbers for 2013 (3.35 ERA in 37 innings) but not when considering his lefty splits (a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/split.cgi?id=abadfe01&amp;year=&amp;t=p\">.306\/.338\/.452 lefty-lefty split<\/a> for the year). \u00a0<strong><em>Outlook for next<\/em>\u00a0<em>season<\/em>:<\/strong>\u00a0in Oakland&#8217;s organization.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Ian Krol<\/strong><\/span> exploded onto the scene for this team, getting a surprise \u00a0call-up in June from AA that coincided with the Duke and Rodriguez DFAs. \u00a0Here&#8217;s my <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=6860\">&#8220;first look&#8221; post<\/a> on him, pointing out the issue (he really has just one pitch) that would eventually drive him back to the minors. \u00a0Still, for a 22-yr old who had no experience above AA, he pitched pretty well; he maintained a sub 3.00 ERA until mid August and finished the year with a 3.95 ERA in 27 innings. \u00a0His lefty split numbers: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/players\/split.cgi?id=krolia01&amp;year=&amp;t=p\">.220\/.273\/.320<\/a>. \u00a0This was good enough to intrigue Detroit, and Krol was included in the package that acquired\u00a0<strong>Doug Fister<\/strong>. \u00a0\u00a0<strong><em>Outlook for next<\/em>\u00a0<em>season<\/em>:<\/strong>\u00a0in Detroit&#8217;s organization.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Erik Davis<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0was Syracuse&#8217;s closer in name for a bulk of the season, earning 15 saves while posting a 3.10 ERA in 52+ innings. \u00a0He was a Sept 2012 pre-rule5 40-man addition and spent a week in the MLB pen in June before getting recalled for September. \u00a0In 10 MLB appearances he gave up zero runs in 9 of them and showed excellent middle-reliever stuff (12\/1 K\/BB ratio in 8 2\/3 innings). \u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next season:<\/strong><\/em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>AAA bullpen again; he won&#8217;t beat out the names above him for the MLB bullpen.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Xavier Cedeno<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0was an April 2013 waiver claim off of Houston (of all teams), who spent most of the season in Syracuse (save for a quick June call-up). \u00a0In September, he pitched pretty effectively, giving up just one run in 9 outings and 12+ innings for the Nats. \u00a0He clearly hasn&#8217;t shown the team enough to be counted on as the go-to loogy, considering the Nats off-season trade for\u00a0<strong>Jeremy Blevens<\/strong>\u00a0and their talk of using the likes of\u00a0Detwiler\u00a0and\/or\u00a0<strong>Sammy Solis<\/strong>\u00a0as lefty reliever help in 2014.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<strong>\u00a0<em><strong>Outlook for next season:<\/strong><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0Syracuse bullpen.<\/li>\n<li>Lastly,\u00a0<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Yunesky Maya<\/strong><\/span> got a call-up to provide bullpen relief, got blitzed, DFA&#8217;d and outrighted. \u00a0See the Syracuse writeup for more.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em><strong>Summary<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>Washington&#8217;s rotation was by most measures a top 5-6 rotation in the majors (7th in starter ERA, 6th in starter FIP and 3rd in starter xFIP\/SIERA). \u00a0 Clearly we look to be improved on the rotation side, with Haren&#8217;s starts being replaced by the underrated\u00a0<strong>Doug Fister<\/strong>, with a healthy Detwiler and with plenty of reinforcements to back the starters up. \u00a0Look for this to continue to be a source of strength in 2014.<\/p>\n<p>The bullpen however was not a source of strength last year, ranking between 17th and 19th in the macro pitching categories (17th bullpen ERA, 19th bullpen xFIP and 18th in bullpen SIERA). \u00a0Has the team done enough to improve the bullpen for 2014 by just replacing the under-performers with call-ups and signings?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I began thinking about system-wide predictions for the pitching staffs for the 2014 teams and realized that I heavily depend on doing staff-by-staff analysis to do the predictions. \u00a0I wasn&#8217;t going to do these review posts this year (mostly because they&#8217;re incredibly time consuming) but I also realize they&#8217;re a) the best way to do [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[212,98,983,241,52,61,1503,385,181,1915,1695,2125,43,1666,196,1398,51,1554,86,19,180,38,77,24,128,1786,883,906],"class_list":["post-8246","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-mlbpitching","tag-billy-beane","tag-craig-stammen","tag-dan-haren","tag-doug-fister","tag-drew-storen","tag-erik-davis","tag-fernando-abad","tag-gio-gonzalez","tag-henry-rodriguez","tag-ian-dickson","tag-ian-krol","tag-jeremy-blevens","tag-jordan-zimmermann","tag-matt-harvey","tag-nathan-karns","tag-rafael-soriano","tag-ross-detwiler","tag-ross-ohlendorf","tag-ryan-mattheus","tag-sammy-solis","tag-scott-boras","tag-stephen-strasburg","tag-tanner-roark","tag-taylor-jordan","tag-tyler-clippard","tag-xavier-cedeno","tag-yunesky-maya","tag-zach-duke"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8246","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8246"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8246\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8312,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8246\/revisions\/8312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8246"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8246"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8246"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}