{"id":9471,"date":"2014-06-30T09:07:30","date_gmt":"2014-06-30T13:07:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=9471"},"modified":"2014-06-30T09:07:30","modified_gmt":"2014-06-30T13:07:30","slug":"who-really-should-be-in-the-hr-derby","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=9471","title":{"rendered":"Who *really* should be in the HR derby?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_7771\" style=\"width: 270px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/09\/PuigYasiel_homerswing_mlb.com_.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-7771\" class=\"size-full wp-image-7771\" alt=\"Puig would *make* the home run derby.  photo mlb.com\" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/09\/PuigYasiel_homerswing_mlb.com_.jpg\" width=\"260\" height=\"190\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-7771\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Puig would *make* the home run derby. photo mlb.com<\/p><\/div>\n<p>I have to admit it: the home run derby has probably become my favorite part of the all-star game festivities. \u00a0That and the futures game of course. \u00a0The all-star game itself has devolved into a farce with a slew of issues (I posted a lot of these criticisms in my <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=1938\">2011 Nats all-star piece<\/a>, and they remain issues today, so no need to go back into them here).\u00a0 Lets talk about the Home Run derby.<\/p>\n<p>I kind of like the wrinkle of naming &#8220;captains,&#8221; which for this year <a href=\"http:\/\/hardballtalk.nbcsports.com\/2014\/06\/23\/jose-bautista-and-troy-tulowitzki-named-captains-for-next-months-home-run-derby\">occurred on 6\/23\/14<\/a>.\u00a0 But the captains have to pick the right guys.\u00a0 I hate the format; when a guy like\u00a0<strong>Josh Hamilton<\/strong> is remembered for his epic performance in an early round moreso than the winner, something&#8217;s wrong with the format. \u00a0 But they&#8217;re changing it this year. \u00a0 And the players take *way* too many pitches. \u00a0But whatever. \u00a0This year&#8217;s captains are\u00a0<strong>Troy Tulowitzki<\/strong> and\u00a0<strong>Jose Bautista<\/strong>. \u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/mlb.mlb.com\/mlb\/events\/all_star\/y2014\/hrd\/ballot.jsp\">Fans can vote<\/a> on who they want to see in the competition.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s my ideal home-run derby slate of participants.\u00a0 In the interest of keeping the competition &#8220;small&#8221; i&#8217;ve limited this to 5 per league:<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">National League<\/span><\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Giancarlo Stanton<\/strong>: owner of 3 of the biggest 11 homers on the year, on pace for 45+ homers, leading the NL in home runs. \u00a0And <a href=\"http:\/\/espn.go.com\/video\/clip?id=11133220\">he wants in<\/a> this year.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Bryce Harper<\/strong>: last year&#8217;s runner-up is one of the few players in the majors scouted with 80 power; despite his injury-plagued season he belongs in this competition.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Michael Morse<\/strong>: not too many all-or-nothing hitters like Morse, whose name dots the leader board on hittracker.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Evan Gattis<\/strong>: you don&#8217;t just turn on chest-high fastballs from Strasburg if you&#8217;re a plain ole hitter.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Yasiel Puig<\/strong>: just because. \u00a0Can he do a bat flip after every homer?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Left out:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Troy Tulowitzki<\/strong>: He&#8217;s in as a captain, but even despite that selection he&#8217;s a decent choice: he&#8217;s 5th in the majors in ISO and tied for 6th in Homers.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Paul Goldschmidt<\/strong>: has the power capabilities and the overall game.\u00a0 But he&#8217;s not nearly as explosive as the guys above.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ryan Howard<\/strong>: He may not merit inclusion based on his performance, but he&#8217;s a classic three-true outcomes hitter.\u00a0 Lefties get him out with ease; i&#8217;m sure batting practice pitchers don&#8217;t.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Todd Frazier<\/strong>: his power numbers spike thanks to playing in Cincinnati, but he&#8217;s still got some serious underrated power.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Justin Upton<\/strong>: Owner of the 3rd longest homer on the year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><strong>American League<\/strong><\/span>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Yoenis Cespedes<\/strong>: gotta let the man defend his crown.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Edwin Encarnacion<\/strong>: MLB leader in Homers as of this writing. \u00a0Has to be in this competition.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Jose Abreu<\/strong>: MLB leader in ISO and on a 40 homer pace despite hitting the D\/L.<\/li>\n<li><strong>David Ortiz<\/strong>: Owns the 2nd longest homer hit this season and would make a nice homecoming in Minnesota.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Mike Trout<\/strong>: He&#8217;s such a good hitter, that he could just sit at the plate and hit homer after homer.\u00a0 And, he just hit a 489 foot homer to take over the longest homer of the year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Left Out<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Jose Bautista<\/strong>: He&#8217;s a captain, so we&#8217;ll list him here. \u00a0 Otherwise he&#8217;s a stretch to make this list.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Victor Martinez<\/strong>: he&#8217;s quietly one of the best power hitters in the league right now.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Mark Trumbo<\/strong>: too bad he&#8217;s hurt; he&#8217;s a great power hitter to watch.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Nelson Cruz<\/strong>: his homer totals may be augmented by playing in Baltimore, but he&#8217;s still putting numbers on the board.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Adam Dunn<\/strong>: you know he&#8217;d be a favorite to win if he was named to this team, but I could only select 5.\u00a0 He&#8217;d be the 6th man in for the AL.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Are these the best lineups you could possibly ask for in this competition? \u00a0Who else would you put on this list of power-crazy players? \u00a0<strong>Jim Caple<\/strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/espn.go.com\/mlb\/allstar14\/story\/_\/id\/11128050\/mlb-five-fun-home-run-derby-candidates\">posted his own<\/a> tongue-in-cheek version of this same post, worth a read for a quick giggle. \u00a0There&#8217;s a handful of other DH-only types in the AL (<strong>Billy Butler, Chris Carter<\/strong><strong>,\u00a0Adam Lind<\/strong>, <strong>Juan Francisco<\/strong>, etc) who might make sense.<\/p>\n<p>(I used three resources to name these names: the current major league leaders in\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders.aspx?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=y&amp;type=8&amp;season=2014&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2014&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;sort=5,d\">Homers<\/a>, the current major league leaders in\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/leaders.aspx?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=y&amp;type=8&amp;season=2014&amp;month=0&amp;season1=2014&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;sort=11,d\">Isolated Power<\/a>, and an eyeballing of the leader board for most astoundingly long homers on the year from\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.hittrackeronline.com\/\">Hit Tracker Online<\/a>. \u00a0All stats are as of 6\/24\/14 and may have changed slightly between then and the publication of this post).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I have to admit it: the home run derby has probably become my favorite part of the all-star game festivities. \u00a0That and the futures game of course. \u00a0The all-star game itself has devolved into a farce with a slew of issues (I posted a lot of these criticisms in my 2011 Nats all-star piece, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[139,689,1312,164,1751,605,1192,1718,795,628,2017,404,238,2543,2542,409,136,456,358,1662,675,1179,458,1589,1869,393],"class_list":["post-9471","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nonnatsbaseball","tag-adam-dunn","tag-adam-lind","tag-billy-butler","tag-bryce-harper","tag-chris-carter","tag-david-ortiz","tag-edwin-encarnacion","tag-evan-gattis","tag-giancarlo-stanton","tag-jim-caple","tag-jose-abreu","tag-jose-bautista","tag-josh-hamilton","tag-juan-francisco","tag-juston-upton","tag-mark-trumbo","tag-michael-morse","tag-mike-trout","tag-nelson-cruz","tag-paul-goldschmidt","tag-ryan-howard","tag-todd-frazier","tag-troy-tulowitzki","tag-victor-martinez","tag-yasiel-puig","tag-yoenis-cespedes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9471","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9471"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9471\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9497,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9471\/revisions\/9497"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9471"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9471"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9471"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}