{"id":9997,"date":"2015-01-05T13:22:03","date_gmt":"2015-01-05T18:22:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=9997"},"modified":"2015-01-06T14:36:06","modified_gmt":"2015-01-06T19:36:06","slug":"2015-obligatory-hall-of-fame-post","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=9997","title":{"rendered":"2015 obligatory Hall of Fame Post"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_10017\" style=\"width: 354px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/JohnsonRandy-via-seattlepi.com_.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10017\" class=\" wp-image-10017    \" src=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/JohnsonRandy-via-seattlepi.com_.jpg\" alt=\"Randy Johnson leads the 2015 hall of fame ballot.  Photo (AP Photo\/   Elaine Thompson) via seattlepi.com\" width=\"344\" height=\"233\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/JohnsonRandy-via-seattlepi.com_.jpg 1992w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/JohnsonRandy-via-seattlepi.com_-300x203.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/JohnsonRandy-via-seattlepi.com_-1024x692.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 344px) 100vw, 344px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-10017\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Randy Johnson leads the 2015 hall of fame ballot. Photo (AP Photo\/ Elaine Thompson) via seattlepi.com<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/?p=7878\">Last year&#8217;s version<\/a> of this post is here; it has links to prior years where I went into my general thought process on yes\/no votes per individual player.\u00a0 I&#8217;ve tired of writing the same 2,000 word post on the topic since everyone else on the internet is, so this is a bit shorter of a HoF post.\u00a0 And it won&#8217;t insult me if you don&#8217;t respond or even read this post; there&#8217;s far, far too much hall of fame arguing going on in the baseball blogosphere, and i&#8217;m no more or less qualified to publish an opinion on this ballot than many of the official BBWAA writers at this point.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/awards\/hof_2015.shtml\">2015 ballot<\/a> at baseball-reference.com is here.\u00a0 Once again there&#8217;s too many deserving players for not enough spots.<\/p>\n<p>For me, there&#8217;s three no-brainer 1st ballot hall-of-famers new to the 2015 ballot: <strong>Randy Johnson<\/strong>, <strong>Pedro Martinez<\/strong> and <strong>John Smoltz<\/strong>.\u00a0 The first two should be unanimous but of course they won&#8217;t.\u00a0 In fact, we already have a published ballot of someone who left both off so he could vote for others who &#8220;needed the votes.&#8221;\u00a0 Smoltz might be borderline for some but for me he&#8217;s better than other hurlers recently enshrined; somehow I doubt he gets in this time around.<\/p>\n<p>Of the carry overs from last year&#8217;s ballot, I&#8217;d vote as follows:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Yes for <strong>Biggio, Piazza, Bagwell, Raines, Clemens, Bonds, Schilling, Martinez, McGwire<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Maybe later for <strong>Trammell, Mussina, Kent,<\/strong> and <strong>Sheffield<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>No for <strong>Smith, McGriff, Walker, Mattingly, Sosa<\/strong> and anyone else new to the ballot this year not otherwise mentioned. \u00a0Why are these No votes? \u00a0See 2012 and 2013\u2032s links for my reasoning on the names here, all of whom are repeats.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Of course, this is too many &#8220;Yes&#8221; votes.\u00a0 If I had to cut two of my 12 Yes votes, I&#8217;d guess Martinez and McGwire are the first two to go.\u00a0 Or maybe Schilling.\u00a0 Which is a shame because I think all the guys in the &#8220;maybe later&#8221; have legitimate cases too.\u00a0 But this is the bed that the BBWAA has made for itself with its arbitrary player limit and its wishy-washy stance on alleged PED users.<\/p>\n<p>2015 voting Prediction: Johnson, Martinez and Biggio elected.\u00a0 Smoltz just misses, and Piazza &amp; Bagwell get close enough that they&#8217;ll go in with the 2016 class (which only has one no-brainer candidate in <strong>Ken Griffey, Jr<\/strong>).\u00a0 Still no love for Bagwell, the PED brothers, or Raines, much to the chagrin of the sabr-crowd.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1\/6\/15 update<\/strong>: My prediction was too conservative: <a href=\"http:\/\/espn.go.com\/mlb\/story\/_\/id\/12128504\/pedro-martinez-randy-johnson-craig-biggio-john-smoltz-voted-hall\">Johnson, Martinez, Smoltz and Biggio inducted<\/a> in 2015.\u00a0 Piazza got 69% of the vote and seems like a good bet for 2016.\u00a0 however Bagwell and Raines lagged seriously behind, at just 55% of the vote each.\u00a0 Another huge gap after that leads to a trio of players in the mid 30s &#8230; not nearly enough to talk about them getting in next year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last year&#8217;s version of this post is here; it has links to prior years where I went into my general thought process on yes\/no votes per individual player.\u00a0 I&#8217;ve tired of writing the same 2,000 word post on the topic since everyone else on the internet is, so this is a bit shorter of a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1390],"tags":[1118,596,639,638,656,606,644,1353,576,1082,559,607,655,647,667,1083,636,745,374,637,501,573],"class_list":["post-9997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-hall-of-fame","tag-alan-trammell","tag-barry-bonds","tag-craig-biggio","tag-curt-schilling","tag-don-mattingly","tag-edgar-martinez","tag-fred-mcgriff","tag-gary-sheffield","tag-jeff-bagwell","tag-jeff-kent","tag-john-smoltz","tag-ken-griffey-jr","tag-larry-walker","tag-lee-smith","tag-mark-mcgwire","tag-mike-mussina","tag-mike-piazza","tag-pedro-martinez","tag-randy-johnson","tag-roger-clemens","tag-sammy-sosa","tag-tim-raines"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9997","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9997"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9997\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10189,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9997\/revisions\/10189"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9997"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9997"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.nationalsarmrace.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9997"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}