Some quick Keith Law links for you this week. I know he comes across as abrasive, and his evaluations are sometimes at odds with other prospect hounds in the industry, but I’ve always liked his methodology and his unapologetic analysis.
- His annual ranking of the Farm systems 1-30.
- His annual (pre-season) ranking of the top 100 prospects in the game
- His ranking of the Nats top-10 prospects
- His weekly ESPN chat on 1/29/15 mostly spent answering questions about said rankings
The first two links are behind ESPN insider’s pay-wall. I’ve already gone on record saying that ESPN’s insider access is more than worth it, so consider buying it. Its $3.33 a month on a year’s subscription and comes with the magazine (which is actually really good).
Anyway. Law has increased his ranking of the Nats system significantly from last year, ranking them 9th in the league (last year they were ranked 18th). The Steven Souza deal (a guy who Law did NOT rank in his own top 100 prospects despite being eligible) netted two prospects out of San Diego who did rank in Law’s top 100 (Joe Ross and Trea Turner), who joined no less than four other guys in Law’s top 100 prospect list.
- 2015: Giolito, Ross, Taylor, Lopez, Turner and Cole are in Law’s top 100
- 2014: Giolito, Cole and Goodwin were in Law’s top 100
Look at the growth of prospects by virtue of trade acquisition (Ross & Turner) and player development (Taylor and Lopez). Goodwin isn’t even mentioned here, nor is last year’s 1st rounder Erick Fedde (yet to throw a pro pitch), both of whom have the capability of adding depth to this system (along with the Ross Detwiler bounty, minor leaguer of the year Wilmer Difo, and other under-the-radar guys).
From a system ranking perspective, here’s how Law’s rankings for Washington’s system have gone year over year:
- 2015: 9th
- 2014: 18th
- 2013: 21st
- 2012: 21st
- 2011: 19th (this was the year BA ranked the system #1 … just prior to the Gio Gonzalez trade. Law got to do his rankings well after the trade)
- 2010: 23rd
- 2009: 29th
So, this is the highest we’ve ever seen Washington in Law’s opinion. Great to see, given the performance of the on-field team and given the FA losses that we face in the coming two off-seasons.
I’ve uploaded and updated the historical Minor League Organizational System Ranking xls in google with Law’s 1-30 rankings (I was going to hold off on this until I saw that you could just get his numbers 1-30 by reading the team top 10 RSS feed).