Thanks to the Billy-Ball.com website for this interesting phenomena:
We know Stephen Strasburg has been suffering from some pretty crummy run support so far in 2013 (2.7 runs per start, and it took the team 7 games to score more than 3 runs for him). What’s also interesting is the table in the above link; Strasburg leads the league in ERA in losses. He’s got a 3.38 ERA in his 5 losses.
Whats special about that? Well, most pitchers have dazzling ERAs in their Wins, awful ERAs in their losses, and mediocre-to-bad ERAs in their no-decisions. Through his first nine starts though Strasburg doesn’t really show this.
- in 2 wins: 0.60 ERA; he’s given up just 6 hits in 15 innings. Pretty much unhittable.
- in 2 No-Decisions: 4.15 ERA
- in 5 losses: 3.38 ERA.
Compare these numbers to what he did last year:
- in 15 wins: 1.88 ERA
- in 7 No-Decisions: 3.12 ERA
- in 6 Losses: 7.39 ERA.
By and large you see his 2012 numbers for nearly every starting pitcher; when they’re on, they win. When they’re off, they lose. Usually the No-decision ERA gives you a relatively decent indicator as to the “true” talent of the pitcher. I’ve never seen a loss ERA as low as his 2013 number frankly, and it seems to support what we’ve kind of know all along about Strasburg’s 2013 season; no run support, lots of errors and unearned runs behind him, and a lot of bad luck have contributed to an ugly W/L line.
Given these numbers, there’s just no way his W/L record continues to be this bad.