Nationals Arm Race

"… the reason you win or lose is darn near always the same – pitching.” — Earl Weaver

World Series Game 5 Pitching Matchup and Prediction

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Four games into this World Series, and we’re tied up at 2 games a piece.  Boston got their must-win victory last night on the strength of the unlikely Jonny Gomes (former Nat) and on 85mph fastballs from Clay Buchholz.  Lance Lynn didn’t pitch badly; in fact his stuff looked pretty good early on.  But one bad pitch to Gomes and the game was over.

Game 5: Jon Lester versus Adam Wainwright.  a repeat of the Game 1 matchup, though this time the tables are reversed in terms of road team/home team.   In four career home playoff starts Wainwright has conceded exactly four runs.   Lester had a .500 record and a 4.21 ERA on the road this season.  Despite St. Louis’ inability to hit lefties, I don’t think Wainwright is losing tonight.

Expect a close game, with St. Louis perhaps coming out on top with a 2-1 victory.  And since we’ve already had two rather rare game-ending baserunning mishaps (an obstruction call and a pick-off), i’m calling for Game 5 to include something like a running out of order, or a missed base being called out on appeal or something random.  Maybe we’ll just get a hotly contested balk.

Written by Todd Boss

October 28th, 2013 at 8:15 am

3 Responses to 'World Series Game 5 Pitching Matchup and Prediction'

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  1. John Kruk had the best line about the World Series so far. He said if the teams had played this sloppy in the regular season neither would had made it this far.

    Mark L

    28 Oct 13 at 12:16 pm

  2. Your comments seem to be making it through lately. Good to see :-)

    Todd Boss

    28 Oct 13 at 4:45 pm

  3. As incredibly sloppy as the play has been, it sure has been riveting to watch.

    In the ‘what can possibly happen next’ department, maybe we’ll see the winning run come from a balk.

    Mark L

    28 Oct 13 at 6:51 pm

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