Nationals Arm Race

"… the reason you win or lose is darn near always the same – pitching.” — Earl Weaver

What about Maya?

3 comments

Maya in his first start for the P-Nats. Photo William Yoder/thenatsblog.com

I like to think i’m reading just about every bit of Washington Nationals news there is to be had during Spring Training.  I follow all the beat writers I know of plus try to read just about every columnnist or blogger that I know to be down in Viera.  But nobody is talking about Yunesky Maya.

We know, for example, that John Lannan bulked up over the off season, that Livan shot a 65 and plans on playing in the Senior Golf tour when he turns 50, that Marquis feels better, that Detwiler has new mechanics, that Wang is healthy and that Zimmermann is rearing to go.  But what about Maya?

Last we had heard, Maya had gone down to the Dominican Winter League (DWL), played for Leones del Escogido and pitched well.  Baseball America’s Lacy Lusk wrote a rather promising report in December (insider only, sorry), and Maya was named the league’s best pitcher at the Winter’s end.  He finished the DWL 4-2 with a 1.32era, striking out 42 batters in 41 innings pitched.  And according to reports he had his fastball up to 93mph.  Now, the DWL may be the “best” of the winter leagues but its talent level has dipped significantly over the past 10 years.  At best, i’d say its a AAA-level quality league.  So take the stats with a slight grain of salt.

This slight uptick in speed is important.  In my review of Maya’s first four starts (posted here last September) he was barely breaking 90, sitting in the 88-89 range and relying more on nibbling than going after hitters.  I feel the uptick in velocity is clearly a result of gaining arm strength over the course of throwing innings, indicating that he was rushed to the Majors last September.  Rizzo has all but admitted the team screwed up by rushing Maya through the minors, and his results showed.

However, if Maya can hump it up to 93 and combine it with the amazing arsenal of pitches he seems to have (in his MLB debut he showed at least EIGHT different pitches), I think he can be a very dangerous pitcher in this league. Which is why the team risked an $8M contract on him.

Now, what does this mean for the 2011 season?  So far, its hard to tell; Ladson posted a biopic piece today but I’ve yet to see any reports on how he looks during his mound sessions or how he’s throwing.  Perhaps its a language barrier issue; he doesn’t really speak English so interviews are difficult unless the interviewer also speaks Spanish.

I think he’s still bound for AAA to start the season, simply because he has options and certain guys (Gorzelanny in particular) do not.  But he may be first in line when someone gets hit by the injury bug.

Written by Todd Boss

February 25th, 2011 at 9:56 am

3 Responses to 'What about Maya?'

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  1. Gee, Todd, where do these blog spammers find you?

    Your article on Maya is exactly the same as the one I wrote in my head many times these last few months. The big question is how quick Rizzo will dump any of the pitchers after they start stinking it up in the show.

    Mark L

    25 Feb 11 at 7:29 pm

  2. Hehe. Spam is ubiquitous. You should see what hits me on bossconsulting.com 🙂 For this blog I think its b/c it is on WordPress.org and the wordpress code has some known exploits in it..

    Todd Boss

    26 Feb 11 at 10:29 am

  3. I really like Maya. I like his competitiveness, his confidence on the mound and his creativity. I wasn’t kidding when I said he had eight pitches. In a 5 inning debut you could clearly see him throwing a 2-seamer, 4-seamer, a sidearm fastball, a straight-change, a split-fingered change/forkball, an overhand slow curve, an overhand slider and a side-armed slider. He had Ramos behind the plate for that game, and it took Ramos a few innings to realize that Maya had the ability to throw something besides a 4-seamer on critical counts (3-1, 2-0, 3-2, etc).

    But we seem to have a log jam of starters now. How “cutthroat” will the team be if someone like Marquis under-performs again, or if Gorzelanny struggles out of the gate? We’ll see. Because now today in the WP there’s a big profile on Garrett Mock, repeating the mantra we’ve all heard about how he’s got this great arm (“2nd best arm behind Strasburg” per the article). But he’s probably 9th in the rotation competition right now.

    Todd Boss

    26 Feb 11 at 10:34 am

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