Here are the daily links from NationalsProspects, for reference below:
- Tuesday 5/17 game reviews (Stammen, Martis, Demny, Grace)
- Wednesday 5/18 game reviews (Maya, Harrisburg rained out, Bronson, Applebee)
- Thursday 5/19 game reviews (Detwiler, OPerez, Rosenbaum, Cole)
- Friday 5/20 game reviews (Meyers, Harrisburg rain out, Clegg, Ray)
- Saturday 5/21 game reviews (Milone, Peacock, Holder, Hansen)
- As much as I thought the Nats should have parted ways with Shairon Martis, you have to give him props for his 5/17 outing: 7IP 3H 0R 1BB 5K.
- Paul Applebee got the “suspended start” on 5/18, actually finishing the game that Grace really started the day before, and went 4⅓ 6H 1R 1ER 0BB 1K for the victory. He scattered 6 hits effectively enough to get his 4th victory on the season.
- Oliver Perez dominated in his first Harrisburg start on 5/19: 5+ IP 1H 1R 0ER 2BB 3K. As one would expect for a former 15-game MLB winner.
- Mitchell Clegg put in his second good outing in a row for Potomac on 5/20, putting in 7 effective innings for the win. Line: 7IP 4H 1R 1ER 2BB 2K.
- The Robbie Ray show continues in Hagerstown, as he finally gave up a run but still threw 6 great innings on 5/20. Line: 6IP 7H 2R 1ER 0BB 4K. Selik got promoted after 5 great starts in a row; is it possible that the same could happen with Ray?
- Another fantastic outing for Tom Milone for Syracuse on 5/21: 7IP 3H 0R 0BB 9K. This walk-less outing now gives Milone 44 Ks and THREE walks in 43 1/3 innings on the year. In fact, if his one blow-up start was removed from his stats, he’d have a 2.26 ERA and a 0.85 whip.
- The Brad Peacock show continued in Harrisburg on 5/21: 6IP 1H 1R 1ER 2BB 10K 1HR. One hit through six complete to go with 10ks. Milb.com is now making Peacock’s starts required attendance, with this story showing up yesterday. Peacock’s ridiculous numbers on the season? 66ks and 9 walks in 48 1/3 innings, a 0.83 whip and a 2.05 era. These numbers dwarf what Meyers had before he earned his promotion.
- Bobby Hansen gave Hagerstown another quality start on 5/21, but his bullpen conspired to cost him a victory. Line: 6IP 5H 2R 2ER 2BB 6K.
- Ross Detwiler was lit up in the first and left in for 5 yet was rewarded with a “win” for his work on 5/19. Line: 5IP 5H 4R 4ER 4BB 3K. What is going on with Detwiler? He now has an ERA above 5.00 and a WHIP in the 1.66 range on the season and has more or less gotten hammered in 3 of his last 4 starts. Is he hurt?
- In another example of why W/L records are meaningless as indicators of a pitcher’s value, Denny Rosenbaum got lit up in his 5/19 start: 5⅔ IP 7H 6R 6ER 4BB 4K. Yet, because his team hit SIX homers on the day, he got a victory as Potomac out-slugged Frederick 14-6.
- See my last point: Trevor Holder had a meltdown start but still got the victory in Potomac on 5/21: 5⅓ IP 7H 5R 5ER 0BB 6K.
- Craig Stammen had a ho-hum quality start on 5/17: 6IP 9H 3R 3ER 0BB 7K. I guess i’m just expecting more out of a guy with 38 major league starts.
- Paul Demny had enough walks and baserunners to turn his quality start into a relatively mediocre outing for me. Perhaps i’m a harsh judge. Final line on 5/17: 6IP 5H 2R 2ER 3BB 4K.
- Matt Grace was struggling on 5/17 before his start got called after 3 innings. His abbreviated line: 3IP 5H 2R 2ER 1BB 3K.
- Yunesky Maya was plagued by the “one big inning” syndrome that plagued him in September of last year, giving up 3 runs in the first and then shutting down Norfolk on 5/18. Line: 6⅓ IP 4H 3R 3ER 1BB 2K 1HR. After the first inning, Maya didn’t give up another hit, retired 13 straight, then got inexplicably yanked after giving up a one-out single in the 7th when he was sitting on just 71 pitches. How do you judge such an outing? 5 no-hit and nearly perfect innings, and one inning with 4 hits and a 2-run homer. Its officially “inconclusive.”
- Spot Starter Evan Bronson had a mediocre-teetering-on-bad outing on 5/18 in Potomac: 3⅔ IP 5H 2R 2ER 3BB 1K 1HR. That’s 8 baserunners in less than 4 innings. Amazingly he only gave up 2 runs despite all these baserunners.
- AJ Cole got touched up for 5 runs in 4 innings on 5/19, but showed flashes of dominance with 5Ks. Final line: 4IP 6H 5R 2ER 0BB 5K. He gave up 4 of the 5 runs in a messy 2nd inning where he threw a wild 3rd-strike pitch to allow on a punch-out victim, then gave up a 2-run double one play after an inning-ending error by his shortstop let in another run. He did get a 1-2-3 4th inning, for what that’s worth.
- Brad Meyers didn’t have the worst possible outing on 5/20, but getting touched up for two homers is never a good thing. Line: 5⅓ IP 7H 3R 3ER 0BB 3K 2HR. The two homers were enough to give him a ND on the night.
Relievers of Note and other Thoughts
- A few pitcher moves were announced at the beginning of this cycle: Ryan Tatusko returned to Harrisburg, Ryan Mattheus rightfully earning a promotion from AA->AAA, and the enigmatic Oliver Perez reporting for duty in Harrisburg. Tatusko clearly didn’t merit the promotion and seemed destined to return; most are calling the transaction a “paper promotion” to allow Harrisburg to do some roster maintenance w/o having to DL someone. Meanwhile, Perez will slot right into the open rotation spot in AA and at age 30 will be nearly the oldest pitcher in the league.
- Who is making way in the Harrisburg rotation? I thought Perez would be taking Roark’s place but apparently not. Tatusko’s spot was skipped but we havn’t seen him out of the bullpen yet …
- New Harrisburg closer Pat McCoy has had a string of sub-par outings lately, including a 4-run implosion to blow a game in which Martis had pitched pretty well. This was apparently enough to put McCoy onto the DL. Are we close to seeing Potomac’s Patrick Lehman moved up? Perhaps not for a bit because….
- Potomac made a bunch more moves on 5/17-5/18, putting Cameron Selik and Lehman on the 7-day DL. Replacing them was Rafael Martin and Hector Nelo. Martin’s assignment is a bit curious; he was after all a AA all star in 2010 for Harrisburg and pitched pretty well there. He’s 27 and is way too old for high-A ball; my guess is that he’s promoted up to replace McCoy as Harrisburg’s closer. Nelo got dumped by Texas in April and we picked him up; he’s been stuck in A-ball within the Texas organization for 3 years. He’s got good k/9 numbers but pretty bad ERAs over the past two seasons. Lets see what he can do. Meanwhile there’s no word on what Selik’s injury is; he’s had two sub-par outings thus far in high-A and the team needs a rotation spot (in theory) for Sammy Solis, so perhaps this is just administrative use of the DL for the next week or so.
- (copied this point from my MLB rotation review pending post): Brian Broderick’s DFA was dated 5/14, and teams have 10 days to finalize that assignment. We’ve heard no word on possible negotiations with St. Louis to keep Broderick up to this point, and odds are that no other team would claim him at this point (any claim would mean the claiming team would ALSO have to keep the Rule5 draftee on their active roster for the duration of the season). I wonder if he’s about to be returned outright to St. Louis.
- Lastly, on 5/21 Christopher McKenzie and Chad Jenkins were “demoted” from Hagerstown to extended spring. McKenzie struggled badly (though his final outing was good) in 6 starts, posting more walks than strikeouts. Jenkins was similarly wild out of the pen. I’m guessing both guys catch on with the Short-A squad for another shot at career redemption. Both guys were middle round draft picks out of JuCo and earned some bonus money, but seemingly would be expendable if outperformed by the next draft class.
I have only included the starter trends for those that are actually in the rotations right now. I honestly don’t know who the 5th starter is in Potomac right now; I’ve been assuming Solis will be activated from the DL to take the spot. Perhaps it will be Bronson or Frias. We’ll see; i think the spot comes up in two games.
AAA trends (in rotation order)
Peacock soso,good,great,good,very good,bad,great,great
Clegg soso,soso,soso,unbelievably bad,soso,good,good
Hansen soso,good,very bad,very good,soso,soso,good,good
Top 3 starters deserving promotion: Peacock, Milone, Ray
Top 3 starters whose jobs are in jeopardy: Detwiler, Holder, Grace.